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  • BetterBizness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-20-06
    • 5737

    #1
    ML Maddness
    This is the crazy azz thread dedicated to the "purity" of the NFL Money Line...
  • BetterBizness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-20-06
    • 5737

    #2
    Starting with 0.5 Units on 2 very nice looking plays for parlay value...


    Baltimore +100
    KC +180
    2 Team (+435)

    Looking to start out strong... No crazy Bankroll busters. Just a half unit, particularly with the KC play which hurt me oh so many times last year...

    Fitting I would start with them this year...
    Comment
    • BetterBizness
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-20-06
      • 5737

      #3
      OK so we're on a bit of a roll... Lets keep rolling in the 2nd half...
      Comment
      • BetterBizness
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-20-06
        • 5737

        #4
        Originally posted by BetterBizness
        Starting with 0.5 Units on 2 very nice looking plays for parlay value...

        Baltimore +100
        KC +180
        2 Team (+435)
        cash 2.2 Units...

        Cassell 10/22 for 68 yards... WOW!
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #5
          There are 3 Games I really love tomorrow ML...

          2 Units Cinci +120 ML
          1 Unit Miami +200 ML
          1 Unit Seahawks +160 ML

          0.25 Unit Parlay Cin+Mia+Sea = 16:1
          Comment
          • BetterBizness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-20-06
            • 5737

            #6
            Originally posted by BetterBizness
            There are 3 Games I really love tomorrow ML...

            2 Units Cinci +120 ML
            1 Unit Miami +200 ML
            1 Unit Seahawks +160 ML

            0.25 Unit Parlay Cin+Mia+Sea = 16:1
            Cash +2.4 Units Cinci...
            Cash +2 Units Miami...
            Lose 1 Unit Sea...
            Lose 0.25 Units Parlay


            Net +3.15 Units Week 2
            Net +2.2 Units Week 1

            Total +5.35 Units
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #7
              4 Plays I like today... at all different levels... Mild Medium and Whoa!
              3 of them are Home Doggies...

              2 Units - TB +127
              1 Unit - Sea +171
              1 Unit - Den +217
              0.5 Units - Cleveland +569


              .5 parlay 3 team TB+Sea+Den= 18:1
              .1 Parlay 4 Team TB+Cle+Sea+Den = 125:1
              Comment
              • BetterBizness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-20-06
                • 5737

                #8
                Originally posted by BetterBizness
                4 Plays I like today... at all different levels... Mild Medium and Whoa!
                3 of them are Home Doggies...

                2 Units - TB +127
                1 Unit - Sea +171
                1 Unit - Den +217
                0.5 Units - Cleveland +569


                .5 parlay 3 team TB+Sea+Den= 18:1
                .1 Parlay 4 Team TB+Cle+Sea+Den = 125:1
                The funny part is that the biggest bet, TB, was the only team that had ZERO chance... Too bad Cle didn't come in, they had the lead...

                Thus

                -2 Units TB
                -1 Unit Den
                -0.5 Units Cle
                -0.6 Units Parlays

                +1.7 Units Sea

                Overall Week 3

                -2.4 Units

                Overall

                +5.35 - 2.4 = +2.95 Units
                Comment
                • cant call it
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-29-10
                  • 8817

                  #9
                  no take on the game tonight?
                  Comment
                  • cant call it
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-29-10
                    • 8817

                    #10
                    good call on the hawks by the way
                    Comment
                    • BetterBizness
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-20-06
                      • 5737

                      #11
                      I really liked Green Bay, but am only putting in this thread ML dogs for the most part... I let the game go.. Good thing I did...

                      Notice every play of the 3 that lost had a shot in the 4th Quarter except for the bigger play on Tampa... ugh...
                      Comment
                      • hitman2010
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-03-10
                        • 1465

                        #12
                        +3 units, winning, keep it up man.
                        Comment
                        • tiekush
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 09-24-10
                          • 35

                          #13
                          chi / nyg

                          got chi -4 what u think
                          Comment
                          • BetterBizness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-20-06
                            • 5737

                            #14
                            Even though I don't pick Favs in this thread.. I will this week... Using Spicy Factors...

                            Mild:
                            2 Units Sea -130

                            Some Medium:
                            2 Units Bal +125

                            And some HOT!
                            .5 Units Car +525

                            Parlay

                            1 Unit Sea+Bal = 3:1
                            .2 Units Car+Sea+Bal = 24:1
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #15
                              I will bite on one more...

                              1.5 Units Cle +100
                              Comment
                              • BetterBizness
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-20-06
                                • 5737

                                #16
                                ok Cle looks good... Carolina is Hanging on late...

                                Adding one afternoon Spicy special..

                                1 Unit Jacksonville +270 - They get their first win of the year, when no one expects them too...
                                Comment
                                • BetterBizness
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-20-06
                                  • 5737

                                  #17
                                  wow.. 59 yarder... Count it...

                                  Cash 1 unit +270
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #18
                                    Cash 2 Units Bal +125 = 2.5 Units
                                    Cash 1 Units Jac +270 = 2.7 Units

                                    -2 Units SeaDonkeys...
                                    -.5 Carolina ugh!
                                    -1.2 Parlay

                                    =+5.2 Units - 2.7 Units = +2.5 Units

                                    We are Up 2.5 Units in week 4... + 2.95 Units Week 1-3

                                    +5.45 Units Weeks 1-4
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #19
                                      For Interest's sake.. I'm avoiding all (most) of the madness of this pickem... I am putting one small unit (as opposed to a big unit) down on

                                      1 Unit NE ML First Half (-102)

                                      From trying to cap the game, to capping the cappers OF the game on this site... I am VERY undecided... But I feel the best money is found elsewhere, and I believe that If the Fins win, it will be in the second half... So I'm going to play what I feel is a reasonably sound play and Bet the Hoodie to start strong... that's it.. Nothing else...

                                      The Best in whatever you play...
                                      Comment
                                      • loopydude11
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-23-09
                                        • 1702

                                        #20
                                        Good luck, I hope NE wins both halves tho
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #21
                                          Up 4.45 units after 4 weeks... Lets try and get a few more..

                                          5 Units Chi +130
                                          1 Unit Ten +270
                                          1 Unit Oak +230
                                          Monday - 2 Units Calgary (CFL) +150

                                          .5 Unit 3tm Parlay Chi+Cal+Ten= 20:1


                                          No huge plays like last week that I see... doesn't obviously mean it won't happen... Not alot of big spreads this week...

                                          Huge fan of the Bears winning this game.. Martz has a decent backup in Collins who has shown in his career that he can throw the ball when asked to do so... But he won't have to go nuts in the offense, he will just need to be effective and take the field position his Defense will be giving him... Route Chicago!
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                            Up 4.45 units after 4 weeks... Lets try and get a few more..

                                            [B] 5 Units Chi +130

                                            Huge fan of the Bears winning this game.. Martz has a decent backup in Collins who has shown in his career that he can throw the ball when asked to do so... But he won't have to go nuts in the offense, he will just need to be effective and take the field position his Defense will be giving him... Route Chicago!
                                            I like our start... Just don't like missing 3 shots at the one.... 17-3 Da Bearz!
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                              Up 4.45 units after 4 weeks... Lets try and get a few more..

                                              5 Units Chi +130
                                              1 Unit Ten +270
                                              1 Unit Oak +230
                                              Monday - 2 Units Calgary (CFL) +150

                                              .5 Unit 3tm Parlay Chi+Cal+Ten= 20:1


                                              No huge plays like last week that I see... doesn't obviously mean it won't happen... Not alot of big spreads this week...

                                              Huge fan of the Bears winning this game.. Martz has a decent backup in Collins who has shown in his career that he can throw the ball when asked to do so... But he won't have to go nuts in the offense, he will just need to be effective and take the field position his Defense will be giving him... Route Chicago!
                                              Cash 5 Units Chi
                                              Cash 2.7 Units Ten
                                              Cash 2.3 Units Oak

                                              Net 10 Units


                                              Calgary still in play... Parlay still in play...
                                              Comment
                                              • BetterBizness
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-20-06
                                                • 5737

                                                #24
                                                Had small $3 - 7 teamer for a dime... Still had a game left... but still ...

                                                Really Buffalo?

                                                Internet Combo Bet
                                                Date Time Stake Refund Win Acc. Odds Status
                                                Oct 10,2010 05:01 3.00 0.00 0.00 +35422 Processed
                                                Line Competition Match Match Date Forecast Odds Correct? Result
                                                1 ***NFL Football Lines*** Jacksonville Jaguars v Buffalo Bills Oct 10, 2010 11:00 Buffalo Bills -1½ -110 No 36 - 26
                                                2 ***NFL Football Lines*** Kansas City Chiefs v Indianapolis Colts Oct 10, 2010 11:00 Indianapolis Colts -7 -110 Yes 9 - 19
                                                3 ***NFL Football Lines*** St Louis Rams v Detroit Lions Oct 10, 2010 11:00 Detroit Lions -3 -110 Yes 6 - 44
                                                4 ***NFL Football Lines*** Chicago Bears v Carolina Panthers Oct 10, 2010 11:00 Chicago Bears To Win +130 Yes 23 - 6
                                                5 ***NFL Football Lines*** New York Giants v Houston Texans Oct 10, 2010 11:00 New York Giants To Win +140 Yes 34 - 10
                                                6 ***NFL Football Lines*** Tennessee Titans v Dallas Cowboys Oct 10, 2010 14:15 Tennessee Titans To Win +270 Yes 34 - 27
                                                7 CFL Lines Calgary Stampeders v Montreal Alouettes Oct 11, 2010 11:05 Calgary Stampeders To Win +150 No Result Yet No Result Yet
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                  Up 4.45 units after 4 weeks... Lets try and get a few more..

                                                  5 Units Chi +130
                                                  1 Unit Ten +270
                                                  1 Unit Oak +230
                                                  Monday - 2 Units Calgary (CFL) +150

                                                  .5 Unit 3tm Parlay Chi+Cal+Ten= 20:1

                                                  Miss...
                                                  2 Units Calgary...
                                                  0.5 Units Parlay...

                                                  Week 5 Net = 7.5 Units

                                                  Week 1-5 Total = 11.95 Units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                    • 5737

                                                    #26
                                                    Going for the Mild - Medium -Hot Approach again

                                                    Mild -
                                                    3 Units - Atlanta Pk (+100)

                                                    Med
                                                    2 Units -Den (+165)
                                                    1 Unit - Sea (+225)


                                                    Hot
                                                    0.5 Units Det (+400)

                                                    Parlay
                                                    0.5 Units - Atl+Den+Sea = 17:1
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #27
                                                      Updated Scorecard

                                                      Denver Jobbed us.. Atlanta didn't bother showing up.. Oddly enough Detroit had one of the best shots of the day early on...

                                                      Cash
                                                      Seattle 2.25 Units

                                                      Miss
                                                      3 Units Atl
                                                      2 Units Den
                                                      0.5 Units Det
                                                      0.5 units Parlay

                                                      Week 6 Net = -3.75 Units
                                                      Weeks 1-6 Total = +8.2 Units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                        • 5737

                                                        #28
                                                        Going to take a shot against the One time Superbowl contenders... The 49ers... As well though I really like Phily in this spot to win not just cover... But some good value in +130... Some pure shot taking for value with Cleveland...

                                                        2 Units Phily +130
                                                        1 Unit Carolina +126
                                                        0.25 Units Cleveland +516
                                                        Comment
                                                        • manicart
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-10-10
                                                          • 829

                                                          #29
                                                          Pittsburgh -150
                                                          cincinnati +160
                                                          kansas city -430
                                                          philadelphia +125
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetterBizness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-20-06
                                                            • 5737

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by manicart
                                                            Pittsburgh -150
                                                            cincinnati +160
                                                            kansas city -430
                                                            philadelphia +125
                                                            You serious? KC -430?

                                                            I appreciate you coming to the thread and putting up opinions...

                                                            But this thread is about the value of the moneyline as much as it is about the purity.... If you feel like you want to put your house on a -430, that's fine, but its pretty clear ML's over -200 this year have been pretty scary...

                                                            I stayed away from Cinci ML, it that looks like a good decision as well so far...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BetterBizness
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-20-06
                                                              • 5737

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                              Going to take a shot against the One time Superbowl contenders... The 49ers... As well though I really like Phily in this spot to win not just cover... But some good value in +130... Some pure shot taking for value with Cleveland...

                                                              2 Units Phily +130
                                                              1 Unit Carolina +126
                                                              0.25 Units Cleveland +516
                                                              Cash

                                                              1.26 Units Car
                                                              1.29 Units Cle


                                                              Miss (Somehow? )

                                                              2 units Phi...

                                                              Week 7 Net = +0.55 Units

                                                              Weeks 1-7 Total = +8.75 Units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetterBizness
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-20-06
                                                                • 5737

                                                                #32
                                                                I like so little on this card... But I like these Aft Games...

                                                                2 Units Seattle +110
                                                                1 Unit Minny +19
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Miss
                                                                  2 units Sea...
                                                                  1 Unit Minny...

                                                                  Week 8 Net = -3.00 Units

                                                                  Weeks 1-8 Total = +5.75 Units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                                    • 5737

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I'm liking the Fins alot in this spot, especially considering their road game... Cleveland is waiting in the weeds with this one over NE... Can't help think NE is due for a letdown... One day...

                                                                    2 Units Miami +205
                                                                    1 Unit Cleveland +168


                                                                    .25 Unit Parlay Mia+Cle+Det (24-1)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #35
                                                                      2 Units Houston -101
                                                                      1 Unit Sea +180
                                                                      1 Unit Toronto (CFL) +230
                                                                      Comment
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