BigShotRex, Week 1

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  • BigShotRex
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-10-10
    • 6

    #1
    BigShotRex, Week 1
    Hi everyone, I'm Rex. I've been lurking for a bit but gambling for years. I love the content on this site and I'm PUMPED that the NFL is back, so I wanted to give back a little and start posting myself.

    My gambling style is a little different than most. I am definitely NOT a flat better. I like to start with small bankrolls and take calculated risks to drastically increase the BR. I'm not afraid to reload at least once. This is a pretty volatile style which sometimes involves busting, but when things go well the gains are HUGE.

    Starting BR: $2,200
    Target br:$20,000

    Unlikely? Yes. Impossible? Nope, I've gotten it before! Realistically though, I'm happy with any profit I can get. I just like to set high goals for myself.

    My week 1 Sunday Picks

    Indy (-2) $880 to win $800
    This is a public pick, which sometimes makes me nervous. But there are too many factors for me to ignore:

    - In the past 5 years, Indy has started the year with a minimum 7 game win streak
    - Indy has won outright vs Houston in 9 of last 10. The one loss occured in the end of December of 2006.
    - Houston had a good year in 2009 but took advantage of some less than stellar competition. Only 2 of their wins were against teams with better than .500 records: cincy (quality win) and NE (meaningless week 17 game for the Pats)

    Atl (-1) $440 to win $400
    Steelers fade. They are sending out a third string quarterback and a rookie center who shouldn't be able to exploit Atlanta's shaky pass D. I expect a good effort from the Falcons, so my only concern is if Pitt can keep up. I don't think they will.

    Chi/Det (O44) $880 to win $800
    I think this number is way too low. Probably driven down my the Bears general poor showing in the preseason but I expect that to turn around. Both teams will throw and I expect both teams to break 20 points.
  • RANDAZZO
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-21-10
    • 758

    #2
    Good luck.
    Comment
    • MickChunky
      SBR MVP
      • 10-31-06
      • 1452

      #3
      Nice first post, good luck. I like the Bears/Lions O44
      Comment
      • bonduforlife
        Restricted User
        • 08-21-10
        • 1222

        #4
        it would suck if u go broke in one day, hopefully u dont. BOL
        Comment
        • BigShotRex
          SBR Rookie
          • 09-10-10
          • 6

          #5
          Thanks guys! I'd be shocked to go broke but yes that would suck. Like I said, I'm not afraid to reload the BR, but I need to take some big shots early in the season if I'm going to turn 2k into 20.
          Comment
          • Snowball
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-15-09
            • 30064

            #6
            the public is on Houston for the most part.
            that's why the line moved toward Houston.
            I am also on Indy
            and the Bears/Det makes sense to me

            disagree on Falcons coming to Three River
            I see them getting manhandled
            and the Steelers take home opener.
            Comment
            • TiTlist
              Restricted User
              • 09-06-10
              • 402

              #7
              im so glad to see someone else on the det over 44 its $$$$$$$$
              Comment
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