Preview: Arizona @ St. Louis +4

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  • tickingclock1
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-05-10
    • 162

    #1
    Preview: Arizona @ St. Louis +4
    The Arizona Cardinals, fresh off of two post season appearances are going into Saint Louis this Sunday as a four point favorite that steamed up from three. In an offseason where their number two receiver was let go, Leinart was sent packing after their hall of fame quarterback retired, and they made no backfield improvement many still found reason to bet the Arizona Cardinals off the all important -3 to -4, a valueless number.

    Why is this? The bettors have no sense.
    Here are some major reasons:

    1. Derek Anderson has started many NFL games in numerous seasons for the Cleveland Browns. Despite have Josh Cribbs and Kellen Winslow in recent years he has rarely accumulated a passer rating over 90 on a by game basis. His receiving corps does improve with Fitzgerald(P), Breaston, and Hightower can catch a ball or two out of the backfield. However, Anderson has had trouble getting the ball to playmakers downfield and that will continue this week with an undervalued secondary of Saint Louis featuring All-Pro OJ Atogwe, Dockery, and Bartell. Hightower is a capable pass catcher but was not prolific enough last season to score a TD on 63 receptions. Arizona may pass for a fair number of yards this week but won’t get the ball into the end zone through the air.
    2. The Cardinals running game hasn’t been a huge threat in recent years. Featuring Tim Hightower and Beanie Wells, this year should be no different. The Offensive Line was built as a pass blocking line: less mobile and prone to missing assignments on run schemes. However, with the resurgence of the Rams secondary and ineptitude at quarterback the Cardinals will be forced to become more balanced and run the ball. With lackluster line play, lackluster backfield play and a strong linebacker and end presence on the Rams defense the Cardinals will have a hard time running the ball. St. Louis linebackers Laurinaitis, Diggs, and Grant should be able to hold most inside runs within 3 yards by plugging the open gaps as Long and Hall are more than capable contain men.
    3. The Rams defense not surprisingly looks sufficient with defensive minded Steve Spagnulo as head coach. The problem lies within their offense. They had trouble scoring last year with a veteran (albeit lame) at quarterback. Sam Bradford takes over the role as starting quarterback with an underrated receiving core that is capable of making plays. Even with the loss of Avery, a burner; the rams have Amendola, who made many dazzling plays towards the end of last season and Laurent Robinson who has never been in better shape and is poised to make a return after missing last season. Rookie wide out Gilyard will be a 3rd down receiver and his speed should allow backs to get open on flat or Sit routes. Look for Steven to be open in space in the passing game.
    4. Most people know that a rookie quarterback greatly relies on the Tight end as a safety outlet in the passing game as most rookies are weary of throwing downfield. The rams listed starting tight end is Billy Bajema who has spent six years in the league with very little production. At 6-4 260, he is a blocking tight end. In passing situations Hoomanawanui, a Rookie out of Illinois looks poised to be a future All Pro. A truly spectacular preseason saw him making plays all over the secondary. A mismatch in speed with the linebackers and size in the secondary. The speed of the 6-5 260 pounder makes him a vital outlet for Bradford and will keep drives alive inside both 30 yard lines.

    My pick: For the reasons listed above I like the St. Louis Rams (+4) at home over the Arizona Cardinals.
    I also like the under 38.5 at plus money (pinnacle) as both teams will have some trouble moving the ball and their red zone offenses are questionable at best.
  • Bogart45
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-21-08
    • 379

    #2
    Nice write up, I agree Stl +4. Keep up the good work.
    Comment
    • aman86
      SBR MVP
      • 08-29-09
      • 3115

      #3
      obviously you thought thoroughly about this one, however i think bradford in for 4quarters will show his colors and cards will run away with it
      Comment
      • Ralphie Halves
        SBR MVP
        • 12-13-09
        • 4507

        #4
        Originally posted by tickingclock1
        In passing situations Hoomanawanui, a Rookie out of Illinois looks poised to be a future All Pro.
        You had me until here. I saw him in preseason too, but I've seen a lot of Rams explode in preseason. For every Isaac Bruce, there are 30 John Kirkseys.

        Not trying to be a jerk though. Got AZ -4 yesterday. Will be a very intriguing game, though the networks won't see it that way.
        Comment
        • tickingclock1
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-05-10
          • 162

          #5
          Originally posted by Ralphie Halves
          You had me until here. I saw him in preseason too, but I've seen a lot of Rams explode in preseason. For every Isaac Bruce, there are 30 John Kirkseys. Not trying to be a jerk though. Got AZ -4 yesterday. Will be a very intriguing game, though the networks won't see it that way.
          I may have been a bit overboard on future all pro. I do believe he will be a solid outlet for Bradford and in time will be better than Bajema this year. And I agree...It could be one of the better games of the day.
          Comment
          • tickingclock1
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-05-10
            • 162

            #6
            Originally posted by aman86
            obviously you thought thoroughly about this one, however i think bradford in for 4quarters will show his colors and cards will run away with it
            We shall see... I just cant fathom the Cards running away with anything with Anderson at quarterback.
            Comment
            • Flight
              Restricted User
              • 01-28-09
              • 1979

              #7
              Thanks for the writeup. Of all the many home dogs in Week 1 (Bills +3, Texans +2.5, Eagles +3, Seahawks +3, Redskins +3.5, Chiefs +4.5) .... I like Rams +4 the best.
              Comment
              • Soxsfan9
                SBR MVP
                • 11-30-08
                • 3705

                #8
                Originally posted by Flight
                Thanks for the writeup. Of all the many home dogs in Week 1 (Bills +3, Texans +2.5, Eagles +3, Seahawks +3, Redskins +3.5, Chiefs +4.5) .... I like Rams +4 the best.
                I agree that is should be a Doggie sunday with A LOT of unders!!
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #9
                  Love this play. This is my top play for WEEK 1. ADD the rams on the ML as well.
                  Comment
                  • Quake
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-27-10
                    • 267

                    #10
                    hopin S JAX has a hugee game. If the Rams can play halfway decent I think they have a good shot to cover
                    Comment
                    • D3 Mighty Ducks
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-17-09
                      • 11939

                      #11
                      I really like BOL to you with it I won't be playing it.
                      Comment
                      • SpreadSniper
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-09
                        • 6125

                        #12
                        nice writeup. I agree with the analysis and like the play. The rams have been on my radar for a while with the way they have been adding to their D. I expect a better showing this season and love ths spot they catch ARZ in this Sunday....

                        Laurinaitis, Son of Hawk will rip your face off bitch!
                        Comment
                        • DrFunk21
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 11-22-09
                          • 11

                          #13
                          Nice write up. How do you think S Jackson will fare against the Cards DEF ?
                          Comment
                          • Winnipeg Jets
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-16-09
                            • 1723

                            #14
                            this 1 has tie written all over it...tie= 3 pts or less
                            Comment
                            • tickingclock1
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-05-10
                              • 162

                              #15
                              Originally posted by DrFunk21
                              Nice write up. How do you think S Jackson will fare against the Cards DEF ?
                              I think the Cardinals will bring 8 into the box because Bradford's a rookie to stop Jackson. So on the ground I think he has a mediocre game...60-90 Yds on the ground. However they will bring 8 into the box and blitz heavily on passing downs and Jackson likes to chip on an edge rusher and turn around in the flat or in the linebackers void. I think he has a big game recieving.
                              Comment
                              • tickingclock1
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-05-10
                                • 162

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Winnipeg Jets
                                this 1 has tie written all over it...tie= 3 pts or less
                                I agree. Rams 17 Cardinals 14.
                                Comment
                                • Saluki09
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-30-08
                                  • 1003

                                  #17
                                  Arizona
                                  Comment
                                  • tickingclock1
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-05-10
                                    • 162

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Flight
                                    Thanks for the writeup. Of all the many home dogs in Week 1 (Bills +3, Texans +2.5, Eagles +3, Seahawks +3, Redskins +3.5, Chiefs +4.5) .... I like Rams +4 the best.
                                    Chiefs +4.5 looks nice too. SDG always seems too start out adither. I may concentrate on capping that one tommorow.
                                    Comment
                                    • gamble
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-30-10
                                      • 1087

                                      #19
                                      i love seeing the rams get picked so i am liking the thread.. keep up the work though, always good to have something to read instead of just picks
                                      Comment
                                      • ok now what
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-20-08
                                        • 578

                                        #20
                                        Arizona wins by 1. This could be one of those field-goal only scoring scenarios for one of the teams. Don't rule out a 10-9 or 13-12 game.
                                        Comment
                                        • tickingclock1
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-05-10
                                          • 162

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Saluki09
                                          Arizona
                                          Care to explain why? Opposing opinions are how we open our minds and think outside the box. An essential tool to capping a game.
                                          Comment
                                          • stikymess
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-19-10
                                            • 3288

                                            #22
                                            Interesting write up, think it will come down to Sam Bradford against the Cards D, The Cards D do have some play makers and will try to bait Bradford in to mistakes. Being in Arizona, not really a Card fan, I do wish them well but will be curious to watch them.

                                            AZ - 4
                                            Comment
                                            • OnenOnlyMush
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 07-08-10
                                              • 237

                                              #23
                                              I have literally laughed harder, reading all the love for the Rams on this forum tonight, than I did watching The Hangover for the first time.
                                              I'll admit Kurt Warner, Anquain Boldin and Carlos Dansby are huge losses but these are the Rams, the 1-15 Rams. And praise God the Lions were on the schedule or they would have been 0-16. Rookie Sam Bradford vs the best safety tandem in the NFL? Good luck with that.
                                              Comment
                                              • McBa1n
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-02-06
                                                • 2642

                                                #24
                                                Like the write up. I disagree on St Louis' secondary, though. Atogwe is only a 'pro bowler' because there's not many good safties in the NFC. I don't like St Louis' secondary at all.
                                                Comment
                                                • BarkingToad
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-31-08
                                                  • 5913

                                                  #25
                                                  Great write up. I love a thought provoking write up on a game that wasn't even on my radar, particularly an obscure game as far as fan interest. Spagnulo seems to be building a horrible team in the right way, from the inside out. Arizona obviously doesn't have their fearless leader anymore in Warner, but they did get Joey Porter to replace their best defensive player. Cards still have no leader.

                                                  This appears to be a case where the home garbage plus points smells better than away garbage. Win or lose, I hope you do more of these write ups. BOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jonah
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-21-09
                                                    • 4042

                                                    #26
                                                    Nice write-up. Liking the under.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BarkingToad
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-31-08
                                                      • 5913

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by stikymess
                                                      Interesting write up, think it will come down to Sam Bradford against the Cards D, The Cards D do have some play makers and will try to bait Bradford in to mistakes. Being in Arizona, not really a Card fan, I do wish them well but will be curious to watch them.

                                                      AZ - 4
                                                      You make a valid point. However, the Cards have always been lousy against the pass going back to DC Clancy Pendergast, and now his clone, Bill Davis. The key to your thesis will be Calais Campbell. If he plays at a higher level to be a disruptive force, then he and Dockett can force Bradford into mistakes. Campbell can look real good at times and is non existent other times. If Campbell isn't much of a force, then rams can key on Dockett and all Bradford has to do is avoid throwing to DRC's area.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tickingclock1
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-05-10
                                                        • 162

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by BarkingToad
                                                        Great write up. I love a thought provoking write up on a game that wasn't even on my radar, particularly an obscure game as far as fan interest. Spagnulo seems to be building a horrible team in the right way, from the inside out. Arizona obviously doesn't have their fearless leader anymore in Warner, but they did get Joey Porter to replace their best defensive player. Cards still have no leader.

                                                        This appears to be a case where the home garbage plus points smells better than away garbage. Win or lose, I hope you do more of these write ups. BOL

                                                        I appreciate the comment. I will most likely have another one up before sunday.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Julian9
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-16-09
                                                          • 200

                                                          #29
                                                          Really nice write up, I am on the rams too! I love the people who come in here and laugh at you while the Rams have made pretty big improvements to their teams and the cards have just lost players. I love that they are home, it reminds me of when they almost beat the texans straight up last year at home and the texans are a better team than the cards. I really think they cover for us, good luck buddy
                                                          Comment
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