BoS_010 NFL Week 1 Intro/Leans

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • BoS_010
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-24-10
    • 472

    #1
    BoS_010 NFL Week 1 Intro/Leans
    It's amazing how the NFL season kicks off in only two short days when the Saints host the Vikes. I am new to posting in SBR and hope to contribute winners and positivity to the forum. I cap both NCAAF and NFL. As you can see in my signature I am off to a rough start in NCAAF. Got him with a few tough losses; my lean record is much better than my posted record which I am determined to fix. Along with NCAAF, I typically range my plays anywhere between 1-5 units, with the majority of my plays being 1-3 units. My weeks may range anywhere between 2-3 plays to as high as 7-8. I will generally stay under 5 but I can't give a set figure. If I see a money making opportunity I will make a move and hopefully turn it into a winner.
    Money management and discipline are two quality assets one needs to come out on top in this game (along with picking winners of course) and I hope to deliver that to everyone. Feedback is always much appreciated. Other peoples opinions and views for a game are always helpful, no matter who the capper is.
    BOL to everyone and to having a profitable season.

    The following are my leans for Week 1. I will re-evaluate my thoughts on these games (and perhaps others) and come up with a final card as the week progresses.

    Note- All plays are (-110) unless otherwise stated

    WEEK 1 LEANS:
    Saints -5 (light)
    Panthers +7 (light)
    Steelers +2.5 (more interested in +3)
    Bucs -3 (+105)
    Packers -3 (-105) (already locked in on -1.5 but not counting towards my posted record)
    49ers -3 (already locked in on -2 but not counting towards my posted record)
    Ravens +2.5 (not intimidated by "Revis Island" and waiting for this line to keep moving up)

    Again, these are only leans (minus the GB and SF plays that I am not counting towards my posted record as they were not a part of this discussion when originally locked in). Some may be added, some may be dropped. I am not much of a totals player but there are a couple I'm looking at but I don't like them enough to even consider them as a lean. Not yet anyways.


    BOL everyone and feedback is always welcomed...
  • BoS_010
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-24-10
    • 472

    #2
    Adding leans:
    San Fran/Seattle u37
    San Diego/KC u45

    WEEK 1 UPDATED LEANS:
    Saints -4.5 (-120)
    light lean
    Panthers +7 (-120)
    light lean
    Steelers +2
    more interested in +3 but will probably lay off all together
    Bucs -3 (EV)
    beginning to like this play more
    Packers -3 (-105)
    already locked in on -1.5 but not counting towards my posted record
    49ers -3
    already locked in on -2 but not counting towards my posted record
    Ravens +2.5
    San Fran/Seattle u37
    light lean
    San Diego/KC u45

    Still nothing locked in as of yet and will definitely narrow these leans down. When I do start locking plays in I will try my best to have a write up with each of them as well. BOL to everyone...
    Comment
    • RANDAZZO
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-21-10
      • 758

      #3
      Good luck man.
      Comment
      • BoS_010
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-24-10
        • 472

        #4
        Thanks man you too
        Comment
        • BoS_010
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-24-10
          • 472

          #5
          Saints are still -4.5 (-120) but I am not locking them in. Even though I think it's going to take some time for the Vikes offense to settle in, I do believe AP still has a monster game and really carries the offense. I still believe the Saints win the game, but not completely sold on covering.

          WEEK 1 UPDATED LEANS:
          Panthers +6.5
          light lean
          Steelers +2
          more interested in +3 but will probably lay off all together
          Bucs -3 (EV)
          still really like this play
          Packers -3 (-105)
          already locked in on -1.5 but not counting towards my posted record
          49ers -3 (-105)
          already locked in on -2 but not counting towards my posted record
          Ravens +2.5 (-105)
          waiting to get the magical number 3
          San Fran/Seattle u37
          light lean
          San Diego/KC u45
          previously mentioned I'm not much of a totals guy but I'm beginning to really like this one


          GL to everyone and I will post my locked plays along with a write-up as soon as they become official...

          Comment
          • BoS_010
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-24-10
            • 472

            #6
            NFL WEEK 1 PLAYS:
            49ers -3 (1 Unit)

            Yes this is a one of many public plays, but they gotta win a few too as well. SF comes into this season with high expectations and nothing would be nicer to start the season off on a good note. Fortunately to play a Seattle team that has a few issues. I'm not one of those guys who thinks the line should be 7-8 points, but I do think its off a little. Yes SF went 2-6 last year on the road and have gone 2-2 at Seattle the last four meetings, but let's look at a few things a little closer. Aging Hasselbeck (34, turns 35 this month) had a career high 17 INTs last year and doesn't have his only weapon in Housh (can't spell it) who is now a Raven. Forsett is a solid back but I think SF's run D contains him. Both Kerney and Lawrence Jackson (leaders in sacks; combined 9.5 sacks last year) are out with Kerney retiring and Jackson a Lion. We know the 9ers are going to run the ball heavy with Gore, who has two 200-yard games in his career, both vs Seattle. I think after signing TE Davis to a healthy contract he will get targeted a good amount of times and have a big game. I like the position SF is in this game, I see a win but not in blow out fashion.


            WEEK 1 UPDATED LEANS:
            Steelers +1 (light)
            Bucs -3 (+105)
            Packers -3 (EV) (light)
            Ravens +2
            SD/KC u45


            More plays to come...
            Comment
            • BoS_010
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-24-10
              • 472

              #7
              Adding:
              Steelers +1 (1 Unit)


              UPDATED CARD:
              49ers -3 (1U)
              Steelers +1 (1U)


              UPDATED LEANS:
              Packers -3 (EV) (light)
              Ravens +2
              SD/KC u45


              GL everyone...
              Comment
              • BoS_010
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-24-10
                • 472

                #8
                49ers -3 (1U)- L
                Steelers +1 (1U)- W

                Did well with my leans (played Baltimore at +1 but didn't have time to post) going 3-0. Surprised the 49ers didn't bother to show up but nice win for Pittsburgh. Overall, I feel confident in the start I got off to in NFL (unlike NCAAF) even though my posted record is only 50%. Already a few games I'm leaning towards. I'll post another thread later in the week.

                Monday-QB'n on Tuesday-
                -Wish I pulled the trigger on more leans



                YTD- 1-1 (-0.1 Units)
                Comment
                Search
                Collapse
                SBR Contests
                Collapse
                Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                Collapse
                Working...