Really confident this wins Sunday

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  • 70kgman
    SBR MVP
    • 01-31-10
    • 4354

    #1
    Really confident this wins Sunday
    CIN/NE Over 45

    As a Pats fan, I have seen enough of this team to know this years defense is going to be a nightmare, and a huge drop-off from last years defense. Lots of inexperience on defense and after the Bodden injury, I have no confidence in their 2nd string quality cornerbacks being able to cover Ochocinco/Owens. And on the flip side, Cincinnati has a good defense, but their biggest weakness plays perfectly into New England's biggest strength on offense. Cincy's defensive backs are slow and vulnerable to quick slant routes over the middle, meaning I can see Welker/Eddelman having great games and killing that defense over the middle of the field all game long.
  • 4TH AND STUPID
    SBR MVP
    • 08-08-09
    • 2349

    #2
    good analysis. probably the most intelligent writeup i have seen thus far from anybody on any game.


    have followed both teams very closely and agree with all of it . the scoreboard will be lighting up on sunday, both ways.good luck.
    Comment
    • TT77
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-19-09
      • 219

      #3
      Originally posted by 70kgman
      CIN/NE Over 45

      As a Pats fan, I have seen enough of this team to know this years defense is going to be a nightmare, and a huge drop-off from last years defense. Lots of inexperience on defense and after the Bodden injury, I have no confidence in their 2nd string quality cornerbacks being able to cover Ochocinco/Owens. And on the flip side, Cincinnati has a good defense, but their biggest weakness plays perfectly into New England's biggest strength on offense. Cincy's defensive backs are slow and vulnerable to quick slant routes over the middle, meaning I can see Welker/Eddelman having great games and killing that defense over the middle of the field all game long.
      good luck
      Comment
      • GoldRush7
        SBR MVP
        • 04-27-09
        • 2014

        #4
        I would have to agree with ya, good luck
        Comment
        • fjordo
          SBR MVP
          • 11-26-09
          • 1298

          #5
          May tail ya on this one. Looks pretty good. Good luck.
          Comment
          • DarkNite
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-12-09
            • 5023

            #6
            Agreed. The over looking pretty good.
            Comment
            • big0mar
              SBR MVP
              • 01-09-09
              • 3374

              #7
              NE has a lot more speed defensively than last season. Odom is also healthy for Cincy. This isn't as easy as you think.
              [B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.

              [/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]
              Comment
              • vyomguy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-08-09
                • 5794

                #8
                coin toss.
                Comment
                • RageWizard
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-01-06
                  • 3008

                  #9
                  I agree that the game will go over and pretty much said the same thing in my own thread when i put down all of my picks this morning. I would like to see some decenting points of view however because this was my pick of the week based on how much I placed on it, and if anyone has some good reasons why this game won't go to atleast 45, lets have it. I see this game hitting atleast 55 in my estimation.
                  Comment
                  • Snowball
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 11-15-09
                    • 30064

                    #10
                    agreed and also strongly considering Cincy ML.
                    Comment
                    • CHAZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-09
                      • 4978

                      #11
                      I haven't placed any bets yet, but I like the UNDER. Bengals are a run first team. They are gonna run the ball all game to keep the ball out of Brady and the pats hand. A high paced game flows to NE favor. The addition of TO just spreads the already thin Patriots defense.
                      Comment
                      • RageWizard
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-01-06
                        • 3008

                        #12
                        Originally posted by CHAZ
                        I haven't placed any bets yet, but I like the UNDER. Bengals are a run first team. They are gonna run the ball all game to keep the ball out of Brady and the pats hand. A high paced game flows to NE favor. The addition of TO just spreads the already thin Patriots defense.
                        Good point about the running. If both teams come out and slug it out without some scoring early, this could crash my over play. I just don't think that will happen however. I see Cincy running and scoring at least 10 in the first half. If that happens and N.E is forced to toss the football around on every play, the over will fly.
                        Comment
                        • CHAZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-09
                          • 4978

                          #13
                          I see it playing out the same way the Dolphins did against the Colts last season. Miami held onto the ball for 3/4s of the game to keep it from Manning.
                          Comment
                          • Preston09
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-19-09
                            • 1834

                            #14
                            I have that same bet down. No D for either team.
                            Comment
                            • Z_Wipf
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-15-10
                              • 1131

                              #15
                              Good points, might have to tail you
                              Comment
                              • Silverbullet
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-14-07
                                • 105

                                #16
                                Pats and the over
                                Comment
                                • CHAZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-09-09
                                  • 4978

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Preston09
                                  I have that same bet down. No D for either team.
                                  No defense for either team? Cin was number 6 in points per game right under NE. The Bengals were 6 in yards per game and 4th in total yards. NE defense is all beat up but it's not like the bengals are a high scoring offense either.

                                  Welker isn't a 100 percent either.
                                  Comment
                                  • ijrod21i
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-20-10
                                    • 324

                                    #18
                                    The pats will score 45 by themselves.
                                    Comment
                                    • therber2
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-22-08
                                      • 3715

                                      #19
                                      I say under on this one, but good reasoning.
                                      Comment
                                      • 70kgman
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-31-10
                                        • 4354

                                        #20
                                        Easy winner.
                                        Comment
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