week 1 picks 1st post ever..... input liked...

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  • TiTlist
    Restricted User
    • 09-06-10
    • 402

    #1
    week 1 picks 1st post ever..... input liked...
    Been ghost stalkin forum for a year gonna share my picks ats every week this year. spread sports book. let me know what u think

    9/9 minn at no, I gotta take NO in this one. tough call but unless favre absolutly dominates saints should win and cover. Pick NO -4.5

    9/12 nyg at car, tough call but i think panthers cover. i like ny to win but this game should be close. Pick Car +7

    9/12 Dolphins at Bills, Dolphins easy 1. Pick MIA -3

    9/12 Flacons at steelers, no rothberger no win. Pick ATL -2.5

    9/12 Lions at Bears, detroit is a better team but bears passing game under martz will be too much. Pick CHI -6

    9/12 Bengals at Pats, very tough call here gonna take home team? Pick NE -4.5

    9/12 Browns at bucs, I like like browns running attack enough to suggest an upset. Pick CLE +3

    9/12 Broncos at jacksonville, urrmmm i guess i like broncos. Pick DEN +2.5

    9/12 colts at texans, texans will put up points but wont stop manning. Pick IND -2.5

    9/12 Raiders at titans, raiders should cover thanks to Jayson cambell and improved defense. Pick Oak +6.5

    9/12 packers at eagles, rodgers is proven kolb is not, Pick GB -3

    9/12 niners at hawks, 49ers much better on both sides of the ball, Pick SF -3

    9/12 Card at Rams, i was really impressed with bradford week 3, should be able to keep it close against a below average defense. Pick Rams +4

    9/12 Dallas at Washington, mcnab might no even play. Dallas -4

    9/13 Ravens at Jets, close game w/ revis officially back ill take the jets. Pick NYJ -2

    9/13 Chargers at KC, SD might take time to get going with new players at key positions kc has a chance to cover hear. Pick KC +5.5

    input please... i will be posting every week from now on gl to you all.
  • kroyrunner89
    SBR MVP
    • 10-25-08
    • 1191

    #2
    Welcome to the forum and let me be the first to say good luck!

    One I'd steer away from is the Browns, Harrison hasn't shown much this preseason and their phenom rookie Hardesty just tore his ACL and will miss the season.
    2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
    2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
    2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
    2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

    Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
    Comment
    • TiTlist
      Restricted User
      • 09-06-10
      • 402

      #3
      thanks for the input, its not that i really liked the browns but i just dont see what tampa has going, arent they starting 2 rookie wrs? and i know hardesty out but between harrison hillis and james davis they should move the ball against a bad defense
      Comment
      • GunShard
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-05-10
        • 10032

        #4
        I have the opposite of your monday night plays, maybe I should avoid monday night.

        I am avoiding the Dolphins game, Patriots game, Broncos game, Browns game and Rams game. Those are bad spots to bet in my opinion.

        I look for certain games that are good spots to bet like the Saints, Colts, Falcons and 49ers which I believe will cover the spread.
        Comment
        • TiTlist
          Restricted User
          • 09-06-10
          • 402

          #5
          yea niners might be this weeks best pick
          Comment
          • 3PtShooter
            SBR MVP
            • 04-13-08
            • 3936

            #6
            welcome french toast ,side of bacon
            Comment
            • sassagore
              SBR Rookie
              • 08-02-10
              • 40

              #7
              i'm taking minnesota over the saints...don't think lightning strikes twice & think the vikings come out on top. i'm also liking the niners as a good play.
              Comment
              • Shahbucks
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-31-09
                • 446

                #8
                Gl and welcome
                Comment
                • TheJer
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-25-08
                  • 308

                  #9
                  Bengals over Pats and Ravens over Jets
                  Comment
                  • CHAZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-09-09
                    • 4978

                    #10
                    Goodluck in your picks sir!

                    Just curious are you betting all these games?
                    Comment
                    • borednaz
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-28-10
                      • 3809

                      #11
                      And if you are covering that many games, what is your unit price? I'd hate to see someone staking a few hundred or a dime per on that many games. Heartbreak is costly.
                      Comment
                      • therber2
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-22-08
                        • 3715

                        #12
                        Not a bad card. I'm itching to make my Dolphins bet a little bit bigger. Why are you taking them here? I think it'll be a blowout win.
                        Comment
                        • TiTlist
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-06-10
                          • 402

                          #13
                          yea henne would have to choke pretty bad for the dolphins to lose. im also liking gb the more i think about it. rodgers vs kolb. i think the 2 monday night games might be 2 hardest to call games.
                          Comment
                          • TiTlist
                            Restricted User
                            • 09-06-10
                            • 402

                            #14
                            also no i havnt placed any bets.... yet. i might be puttin some on some on miami, niners, pack and colts.
                            Comment
                            • jaks440
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 09-07-10
                              • 33

                              #15
                              I am newly registered as well and figured this would be a good first post spot! I like most of your picks and have put my own bets down for Indy and Green Bay.

                              The one I disagree on is Oakland/Tennessee. I don't believe Oakland is improved enough to stop Chris Johnson this year. I believe Tennessee can cover and win by at least a TD.

                              This piece I read helped me make my final bet: Teams with a 100-yard rusher in Week 1 last year went 5-0 SU and ATS. Teams with a RB over 100 yards went 6-1 ATS in Week 1 of 2008 and 6-0 ATS in 2007.

                              I think Johnson can hit 100 yards easily and will push the Titans over the Raiders who are doomed for another mediocre year.

                              Good luck with your picks!
                              Comment
                              • SpreadSniper
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-17-09
                                • 6125

                                #16
                                Revis being back hardly accounts for all of the Ravens weapons. Ray Rice, McGahee, Boldin, Mason, Heap and now TJ. Housh-yermomma!?!?!? NYJ are going to continue to pound the rock in the hopes of setting up the passing game - which we know is not Sanchez's forte. The Jets 1st team O scored 2 TD's on 16 drives in the preseason... thats right, a whopping 2 TD's!
                                Also folks seem to get down on BAL secondary.... If you notice, after the Ravens bye week last year they had one of the top 3 pass D's in the league for the final 10 weeks ( I believe it was acutally 2nd best).
                                Comment
                                • Banks84
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 09-08-10
                                  • 46

                                  #17
                                  Another first timer posting

                                  I'll be posting my picks for the upcoming NFL, NBA and NHL seasons
                                  Week 1 NFL:
                                  New England -4
                                  Indianapolis -2
                                  San Fransisco -3
                                  Comment
                                  • Banks84
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 09-08-10
                                    • 46

                                    #18
                                    New England will win in a shootout gainst cincy, same goes for Indy - Peyton and Tom are ready to go. Too hard to bet against SanFran they were a decent team last year, and they're definately going to be even better this year. Good fundamentals team vs. a team with no identity right now
                                    Comment
                                    • TiTlist
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-06-10
                                      • 402

                                      #19
                                      just layed down bets

                                      2 on miami -3
                                      2 on det/chi over 44
                                      2 on colts -2
                                      2 on packers -3

                                      coudnt pull the trigger on sanfran. bol every1
                                      Comment
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