NFLX Side & Total Friday

FreeFall · 08-27-10, 10:35 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Falcons -104 ML (5 Dimes)
Falcons/Dolphins UNDER 37.5 -102 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 8-8, +0.20

5Dimes posted 37.5 on 08/23 16:50 37½ -110 / 37½ -110 . I'm sure SBRodds is slow, but four days slow? What digs?

aman86 · 08-27-10, 11:02 AM

Well
He won yesterday so I'm pretty confident in dolphins tonight

AMcBoarder · 08-27-10, 11:37 AM

Thanks for the picks LT. Any thoughts on the Saints/Chargers total. I'm liking some Over 43.5.

D3 Mighty Ducks · 08-27-10, 12:04 PM

I'm tailing your Falcons pick

LT Profits · 08-27-10, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by FreeFall

5Dimes posted 37.5 on 08/23 16:50 37½ -110 / 37½ -110 . I'm sure SBRodds is slow, but four days slow? What digs?

I can't speak for SBR Odds, but I placed by bet at -102 about 5 minutes before my post

LT Profits · 08-27-10, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by aman86

Well
He won yesterday so I'm pretty confident in dolphins tonight

LOL

You ARE aware I am over 60% in preseason the last 10 years right?

LT Profits · 08-27-10, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by AMcBoarder

Thanks for the picks LT. Any thoughts on the Saints/Chargers total. I'm liking some Over 43.5.

I hate going Over totals higher than 40 in preseason, not to mention the fact this is a high profile TV game and 87% of the bets are on the Over as of 1:13 ET.

Snowball · 08-27-10, 12:15 PM

i absolutely LOVE the Dolphins tonight.

LT Profits · 08-27-10, 12:33 PM

Motivation is everything in preseason, and Falcons want to improve off of awful effort vs. Pats last week. Jerious Norwood and Dunta Robinson are playing tonight, so that gives them some depth on both sides of the ball. Fish feel more content at 2-0, and fact that line has dropped since opening with 55% of bets on Miami is a positive.

tinfoil paradise · 08-27-10, 12:46 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Falcons -104 ML (5 Dimes)
Falcons/Dolphins UNDER 37.5 -102 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 8-8, +0.20

Sounds like you got rooked. Right now, I can get Falcons +105 ML and the total at under 38.5 at Carib.

onlooker · 08-27-10, 12:53 PM

It's +112 and u38.5 -102 now.

Good luck LT.

Woodbridge · 08-27-10, 12:58 PM

I'm on the Dolphins tonight -1.5 is a great price. Falcons on the road in pre-season no chance they'll win.

dknight734 · 08-27-10, 12:59 PM

under?

EastsidaProduct · 08-27-10, 01:03 PM

Good thing I bought it (u.40). BOL.
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LT Profits · 08-27-10, 01:25 PM

Yeah looks like market now disagrees with me on both these plays. Oh well, can't win 'em all.

aman86 · 08-27-10, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

LOL

You ARE aware I am over 60% in preseason the last 10 years right?

That's fine preseason is easy though I'm 7-3 this year so far not a bug deal. Just saying i don't see any reason for falcons to turn it around in Miami tonight and since you never really provide analysis it seems more of a dart board pick to me. An it's due factor maybe? I just think we'd all be better of with more discussion as many here already do. I've already discussed some of these but I'm playing Miami eagles saints and titans this week and already lost pats last night and won packers. I'd b surprised if I don't go at least 3-1 there.

Eagles, dolphins, saints, titans ats are my following plays.

LT Profits · 08-27-10, 04:00 PM

None of my picks in any sport are "dart board" picks (although I'd probably be better off with a ouija board in MLB this year...LOL). Just read my signature, nobody does that throwing darts. And I am not talking 7-3 in preseason it is more in the area of 135-90 since 2000. Last year was my worst year in a while, and I still gained 5 units.

I won with Rams last night, you see my plays for tonight, so far I like 49ers (Play of the Week), Browns and Bills all on ML tomorrow (may add more). I think Steelers are only playable side Sunday, but don't know yet if I will actually play them.

SpreadSniper · 08-27-10, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by aman86

Just saying i don't see any reason for falcons to turn it around in Miami tonight and since you never really provide analysis it seems more of a dart board pick to me. An it's due factor maybe?

He looks to wager more towards percentage based trends... they aren't "dart board" shots. they do appear to be pre-determined picks given past trends.

good call on STL last night LT

onlooker · 08-27-10, 09:11 PM

SpreadSniper · 08-27-10, 09:13 PM

2 times I went against LT, my current record vs his plays = 0 - 2

Woodbridge · 08-27-10, 09:14 PM

Nice to see my Birds win tonight

Matt Ryan looked sharp in the limited time that he played. Also, I want to congratulate you on your pick.

Chuck Sims · 08-27-10, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

i absolutely LOVE the Dolphins tonight.

Going against LT Profits is going to land you in the poor house.

AMcBoarder · 08-28-10, 03:39 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yeah looks like market now disagrees with me on both these plays. Oh well, can't win 'em all.

F the market LT. Good call on the Atl. I had already gone 550 on the over NO/SD. Another nice hit. Let's keep killing the preseason. People keep telling me I'm a degenerate for betting preseason, but I'm like if I'm making money I'd be an idiot not to. BOL, all let's kill this weekend

mcbogo · 08-28-10, 05:55 AM

nice calls LT.keep it rollin

LT Profits · 08-28-10, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by AMcBoarder

F the market LT. Good call on the Atl. I had already gone 550 on the over NO/SD. Another nice hit. Let's keep killing the preseason. People keep telling me I'm a degenerate for betting preseason, but I'm like if I'm making money I'd be an idiot not to. BOL, all let's kill this weekend

It's very hard to win if you are not beating closing lines, and although it worked out this time (TWICE), it is not a good thing to be on the wrong end of the market in the long term.