Take all Dogs of +3 pts or more in week 1 preseason?

linedrivr · 08-10-10, 03:11 PM

I don't think its wise to lay money on any sides or totals in preseason. You would be wagering on teams dressed in uniform, in a game environment stepping through a controlled practice session with no emphasis on winning the game. just crazy to lay any cash on them. better to play MLB until Sept 9 when the NFL teams are playing for something real.

SportsPicks3434 · 08-10-10, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by coloradobuff

What about this system?

Take all Dogs of +3 pts or more in week 1 preseason?

10 games this week...

Seems to make sense, as these games are a crapshoot with so many first stringers playing so little time..

So far 1-0..

The only real backetested and successfull wagering angle close to what you are referring to is to wager on all home underdogs in the pre-season. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF "dress Rehersal" WEEK! This angle has shown a win rate of close to 70% for the past 5 seasons.

Blutarski · 08-10-10, 08:35 PM

Concentrate on team specific trends or tendencies. A better chance of success IMO

3PtShooter · 08-11-10, 07:38 AM

preseason games a crapshoot,,,maybe 5 betable games during the preseason

tomcast · 08-11-10, 12:01 PM

Taking those dogs makes sense. Maybe play the moneyline.

Betting Guru · 08-11-10, 12:03 PM

go and backtrack last years preseason games. i'd like to see your results

SportsPicks3434 · 08-11-10, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by SportsPicks3434

The only real backetested and successfull wagering angle close to what you are referring to is to wager on all home underdogs in the pre-season. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF "dress Rehersal" WEEK! This angle has shown a win rate of close to 70% for the past 5 seasons.

Originally posted by Betting Guru

go and backtrack last years preseason games. i'd like to see your results

Here are the backtested results for 5 years for what i posted (Home underdogs in the pre-season):

53-31-2

If you take out week 3 here are the results:

36-15-2.