Cheme82's NFLX plays

[Cheme82]

Ok guys, we waited long enough and we finally have football back. I will be listing my plays for the NFL season and starting a new thread every month because it looks cleaner that way. I will have 1 thread for all the pre-season and then will start making monthly threads. I have an MLB thread going http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...ys-august.html if you want to check that out too.

I will start with 100 units and the goal is to double the roll this season. Bets will range from 1 to 5% of the bankroll and they will all be listed with lines and graded in a timely manner. A tracker will be kept as always and the accuracy of the tracker is important to me so if you see something that seems out of line please let me know.

I will be using different books and a few locals because some of them offer great opportunities to make a profit.

Good luck to everyone and let us have a profitable season.

[Cheme82]

Sunday 08/08/10:

Dallas +3.5 -115 1 unit

2-team parlay: +250 1 unit
Dallas +3
second team still pending

2-team teaser: +100 1 unit
Dallas +8.5
Carolina +9 (playing on Thursday 08/12/10)

Good luck.

[Joe_Shabadoo]

[mp5070]

Thanks for the plays, chem.

[darkenergy]

Best of luck this preseason, and regular season Cheme82.

[dvb02]

good luck this season Chem!!!!

[NBAwinner]

very nice on dallas call

[Cheme82]

Thanks for the plays, chem.

No problem bro, hope you cashed in on them.

Best of luck this preseason, and regular season Cheme82.

Thanks bro, good luck to you too.

good luck this season Chem!!!!

Thanks man, hopefully you have a good season as well.

very nice on dallas call

Thanks bro, hopefully you were on them as well. Far from a pretty game but I'll take an ugly win vs. a pretty loss any day. Halfway there on the parlay and teaser as well.

[Cheme82]

Sunday 08/08/10: Dallas +3.5 -115 1 unit 2-team parlay: +250 1 unit Dallas +3 second team still pending 2-team teaser: +100 1 unit Dallas +8.5 Carolina +9 (playing on Thursday 08/12/10) Good luck.

Don't like the line movement on the second leg of the teaser.

Semi hedge with the chance of a middle:

Bal -4 -105 1 unit

Baltimore by a TD would be great!

GL

[Cheme82]

Last play for today:

Oak +3.5 -105 1 unit

[Cheme82]

4-0 +4 units.

YTD
4-0-0 +4 units

Second leg of the parlay is still pending.

[Cheme82]

Friday 08/13/10

Philly -2.5 -115
Wash -2.5 -125
KC +3.5 -115

All for 1 unit.

GL.

[jackny]

on philly too, go eagles

[LT Profits]

Nice middle in Carolina game.

I agree with KC, although I am on ML, and I STRONGLY disagree with Philly, I am on Jax ML.

I kind of agree with Miami, but I don't bet faves in pre week 1 so I am passing.

[Cheme82]

Yes sir, hoping to see my fellow UH Cougar Kevin Kolb get us some yards against the Jaguar's horrible pass D.

[pinnacle212]

come on cheme. We cant be on the same plays.

Philly -3 I see you bought the hook. I should have too.
KC +3
Washington -3.5

You got some good numbers I hope the dead on number does not catch me. Good plays

[Cheme82]

Nice middle in Carolina game. I agree with KC, although I am on ML, and I STRONGLY disagree with Philly, I am on Jax ML. I kind of agree with Miami, but I don't bet faves in pre week 1 so I am passing.

Thanks bro, I liked that middle too. Let's cash the KC game. As far as Philly it's just a value bet since the true line for the -2.5 should be around -150. You mean you kind of agree with Wash right? Same thing there, all value bets with the -2.5 being around -156 so I'm getting great value on the line.

Good luck to you.

[Cheme82]

come on cheme. We cant be on the same plays. Philly -3 I see you bought the hook. I should have too. KC +3 Washington -3.5 You got some good numbers I hope the dead on number does not catch me. Good plays

Yeah bro, all the heavy juice plays but I get them at -105 and 10 cents for half points regardless of line. I actually though about getting KC +4 -125 since there is value on moving from +3.5 to +4 for 10 cents but didn't want to push it with the point buys so hopefully they win SU so LT cashes his ML play, and we both cash our plays as well.

[LT Profits]

Thanks bro, I liked that middle too. Let's cash the KC game. As far as Philly it's just a value bet since the tru line for the -2.5 should be around -150. You mean you kind of agree with Wash right? Same thing there, all value bets with the +3.5 being around -156 so I'm getting great value on the line.

Good luck to you.

Yes I meant Skins.

I like the +165 I got on Jags.

[Cheme82]

Pinny and 5dimes at +170 right now and it looks to be climbing. You see them winning that game 40% of the time?

[LT Profits]

Pinny and 5dimes at +170 right now and it looks to be climbing. You see them winning that game 40% of the time?

Yes, Andy Reid is a poor preseason coach.

[Cheme82]

You are right on that one, but at 40% we are both +EV on our respective wagers. Hopefully one of us wins, if Philly wins by 1 or 2 and middles our ass I will be pissed.

[Cheme82]

Gotta go, making one last play for today:

Wash o33.5 -105 0.5 units

GL.

[pinnacle212]

they are trying their best to catch that 1-2 Cheme

[icancount2one]

they are trying their best to catch that 1-2 Cheme

lol they just did it.

Profits had the better argument tho, Eagles lost their last 6 preseason openers. They had a LOT of rookies with something to prove in this game, not to mention Kolb's debut.

[Cheme82]

******* Philly shit the bed for both of us, sorry LT. It seems I'm middling the shit out of games nowadays, only this time nobody benefited.

[Cheme82]

2-2 -0.8 units.

YTD
6-2-0 +3.2 units

Still pending the second leg of the 2-team parlay paying +250

[icancount2one]

What is the 2nd leg of your parlay?

Also, what do you think of Eagles over every preseason game from here on? Their 2nd/3rd stringers are awful in pass coverage, and this offense looks really good and really deep.

[korbal29]

eagles have too good of an offense to cover for weaknesses

[Cheme82]

What is the 2nd leg of your parlay?

Also, what do you think of Eagles over every preseason game from here on? Their 2nd/3rd stringers are awful in pass coverage, and this offense looks really good and really deep.

I haven't picked the 2nd. leg yet, the first leg was Dallas +3 on the HOF game. I'm trying to maxize the +250 flat payout on 2-team parlays I get so I'm waiing for an nice dog with a lot of juice on the line before I pull the trigger on that 2nd.leg.

As far as Philly is concerned it's hard to judge motivation in preseason. Reid has proven not to care in pre-season like LT pointed out, but there are players fighting for jobs and it's also hard to judge how much extra these guys are willing to put in to get a job. I'm trying to focus in maximizing value on my picks so I'm basically looking at plays with high juice that I'm able to get at -105 and buying half points for 10 cents whenever it's worth it.

[Cougar Bait]

Good start to the season Cheme

I will be checking your plays

Bears/Chargers...

Thoughts?

[Cheme82]

What's up bro? Nice to see you are not banned anymore lmao!

I'm taking the points with the Bears, actually bought them to +4 for -125 which was a great deal.

Gl on the season and if you go to the bash I'll see you there.

[Cheme82]

Sat 08/14/10

Detroit +4 -125
St. Louis -2.5 -105
Cleveland +4 -125
Chicago +4 -125

All for 1 unit.

GL.

[Cougar Bait]

Bears it is

I am on Dolphins and Packers though

No bash have to work

Going to Colorado after that

[pinnacle212]

Sat 08/14/10 Detroit +4 -125 St. Louis -2.5 -105 Cleveland +4 -125 Chicago +4 -125 All for 1 unit. GL.

I got Detroit +3
Cleveland +2.5 (Hope it does not hurt
Seattle -3.5