Playing A Bunch of NFL Underdog MLs This Week...

**harsh506** · 12-15-07, 10:38 AM

I dont like anyone of those, but gl

**BonzosMontreux** · 12-15-07, 10:43 AM

I think your Carolina play is the strongest of the Bunch!

**BigBollocks** · 12-15-07, 10:49 AM

Cheers guys, I really think two and perhaps even three cash for a very nice payday...

**outdrawed** · 12-15-07, 01:24 PM

I agree 100%. I've done very little analysis on the games and have decided I'm going to bet 2u on every spread and 1u on every ML this week. I expect it to be a profitable week. Faves did too well last week and I expect Vegas to recoup a lot of the public money it paid out last week.

**LT Profits** · 12-15-07, 01:27 PM

I don't like Oakland, but I like your value on the other 5 plays.

GL Bollocks

**onlooker** · 12-15-07, 01:27 PM

Good luck.

I usually have a few ML dogs for the NFL, but I came up with none this week.

**outdrawed** · 12-15-07, 01:31 PM

2u on SF +9 and 1u on SF +310. Let's do this.

**SBR Lou** · 12-15-07, 01:39 PM

Good luck BB.

**curious** · 12-15-07, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by BigBollocks

I have a feeling this could be a big one guys. My numbers show the following six money lines being WAY off (and I mean WAY off). My winning % might not be good this week, but I think my profit will be. All lines played at Matchbook this week...

San Francisco +335 vs. Cincinnati
Atlanta +590 vs. Tampa
St. Louis +325 vs. Green Bay
Carolina +305 vs. Seattle
Oakland +460 vs. Indianapolis
Philly +440 vs. Dallas

GL, and I hope some of you jump on these as well...

I would like these bets better if you hedge them on the spread. I play a lot of big dogs in college football and I always bet x on the moneyline and 2x on the spread.

**Louisvillekid1** · 12-15-07, 02:04 PM

Im on Carolina ML and Detriot (who didn't even make your list) . .

**outdrawed** · 12-15-07, 02:41 PM

Originally posted by curious

I would like these bets better if you hedge them on the spread. I play a lot of big dogs in college football and I always bet x on the moneyline and 2x on the spread.

It's too bad you have me on ignore. You could have just quoted me and done the head nod.

**BigBollocks** · 12-15-07, 10:52 PM

Originally posted by outdrawed

It's too bad you have me on ignore. You could have just quoted me and done the head nod.

Great start for us outdrawed! I absolutely couldn't believe we were getting over 3-1 on this one. Anything from here will be gravy, but I have a feeling a big, big weekend awaits....

**BigBollocks** · 12-15-07, 10:54 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Im on Carolina ML and Detriot (who didn't even make your list) . .

I really like Carolina too Louisville. Gun to my head I actually think SD covers, so I obviously see little value on Detroit. Will definitely try to root that home for you as well. GL this weekend...

**McBa1n** · 12-15-07, 10:59 PM

I think there's going to be a lot of value, also, in adjusted spread totals (where you sell 7 or 10 points and get +250 or better) this week. The last couple of weeks theres been quite a few good value plays like that... And a lot on the 'under' - as the weather is going to be a factor in a handful of games and injuries pile up.

btw, strong work on the san fran play - good start to the weekend!

MMM... love taking shots on the dogs.

**BigBollocks** · 12-15-07, 11:19 PM

Originally posted by McBa1n

I think there's going to be a lot of value, also, in adjusted spread totals (where you sell 7 or 10 points and get +250 or better) this week. The last couple of weeks theres been quite a few good value plays like that... And a lot on the 'under' - as the weather is going to be a factor in a handful of games and injuries pile up.

btw, strong work on the san fran play - good start to the weekend!

MMM... love taking shots on the dogs.

You make an excellent point McBain on those under alternate totals. Thanks a heap for your post on that, I'm going to take a looksy over all of those right this moment. Cheers...

**hanco21** · 12-15-07, 11:57 PM

Nice Bully, Hit one out of 5 tomorrow and it will be a profitable weekend. Nice call tonight with SF.

**outdrawed** · 12-16-07, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by BigBollocks

Great start for us outdrawed! I absolutely couldn't believe we were getting over 3-1 on this one. Anything from here will be gravy, but I have a feeling a big, big weekend awaits....

Definitely. Faves crushed last week. Vegas gets its revenge.

**OrionSky** · 12-16-07, 06:43 AM

The Jags will be my ML play.

**jackpot269** · 12-16-07, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by BigBollocks

I have a feeling this could be a big one guys. My numbers show the following six money lines being WAY off (and I mean WAY off). My winning % might not be good this week, but I think my profit will be. All lines played at Matchbook this week...

San Francisco +335 vs. Cincinnati
Atlanta +590 vs. Tampa
St. Louis +325 vs. Green Bay
Carolina +305 vs. Seattle
Oakland +460 vs. Indianapolis
Philly +440 vs. Dallas

GL, and I hope some of you jump on these as well...

GL BB

**NardVa** · 12-16-07, 11:32 AM

I like these small moneylines. These are in the +100 to +200 range.

Kansas City (Tenn can be had on the road)

Jacksonville (Jacksonville is good enough to beat Pitt on the road)

Arizona (Arizona can run and stop the run against NO)

Dolphins (Baltimore is not good enough to win on the road)

Washington (Wash is starting Todd Collins who is capable of playing better than J Campbell because he's been in the system for years playing behind Trent Green in KC plus they had 10 days to prepare)

I like these in the the +400 to +500 range

Philadelphia (Donavan has usally bounces back well from a bad game)

Chicago (Kyle Orton is starting at qb but if he doesn't turn it over and if Chicago's defense prevents the monster runs from Taylor and Perterson they should be able to beat Minnesota. Also Chicago has had 10 days to prepare)

**GAME OVER** · 12-16-07, 12:06 PM

GL on that oakland pick...

**budhaful** · 12-16-07, 12:10 PM

Where do you guys get your moneyline odds..? a lot of the sites dont have them posted. Thanks

**seaborneq** · 12-16-07, 02:58 PM

Kiss the Falcons ML goodbye.

**outdrawed** · 12-16-07, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by seaborneq

Kiss the Falcons ML goodbye.

The one he hoped to win >14% of the time? i'm sure he's not too concerned.

I ended up not getting a moneyline for Falcons, and passing on GB/STL as the line had dropped to a number I thought was actually fair. I did get Chiefs, Bills, Cards, Panthers, Raiders and Eagles MLs though.

**B1GER1C828** · 12-16-07, 03:26 PM

i rarely find underdogs i like 2 play i should hav on jags but i didnt, 1 i kidna do like is eagles ova dallas tho

**LT Profits** · 12-16-07, 03:38 PM

Outdrawed,

No Panthers?

**LT Profits** · 12-16-07, 03:39 PM

OOPS!

MAN I'm tired. Sorry outdrawed, saw it now.

**LT Profits** · 12-16-07, 03:43 PM

Carolina looks safe, but in reality, RB would have been better off going down. Why even give Seattle the .000001% chance of scoring and recovering onside when going down would have ended game.

**outdrawed** · 12-16-07, 03:52 PM

Didn't see the game. Watching my Pats. Saw they won, though. Been a great week.

**BigBollocks** · 12-16-07, 07:25 PM

Ended up going 3-3 and winning 7.8 units.

For the guy getting his kicks out of a couple of the plays losing early on, I wish you the best as well. I'll get my kicks out of my next withdrawal Monday...

I'll admit it's not the most glamorous way to make a shitload of money every week, but it sure is an easy way to cash. This is how the NBA is for me as well. There's always a couple of games each week that determine if you're going to have a good or really great week, but all and all a pretty easy way to pad your pockets. GL to everyone next week...

**BigBollocks** · 12-16-07, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by budhaful

Where do you guys get your moneyline odds..? a lot of the sites dont have them posted. Thanks

Bud I played them all at Matchbook this week. There are times that theGreek, 5Dimes, or Bookmaker have better odds on straight NFL MLs, but those times are few and far between. GL...

**SBR Lou** · 12-16-07, 07:29 PM

Great stuff BB, nice score.. Oakland led in the 4th quarter too for a few.

**pokernut9999** · 12-16-07, 07:30 PM

Great job there

**BigBollocks** · 12-16-07, 07:34 PM

Thanks Crazy and pokernut, two top cappers on this site.

I'm with you on the Raiders Crazy. That stupid offsides penalty late in the game completely changed the complexion and allowed Indy to get a seven point lead rather than kicking a 46 yarder for a one point lead...

Hope you had a big week pokernut, and more than that, I HOPE YOU'RE GOING TO BRING HOME THE BTP CONTEST FOR US REGULAR POSTERS!!! Cheers...