One of the best total plays I've seen in a long time.. Buffalo/Cleveland Under 47

louis · 12-10-07, 12:47 AM

Why not bet just the buffalo team total under? Olympic offers this bet. Keep in mind that Lynch has been out for some of Buffalo's road games, and now he is back in. The Bills now have a running game, which is pretty good. Cleveland should win this game, unless they turn the ball over to Buffalo throughout the game as did Miami. I'm not betting this one, but stopping Lynch and not turning the ball over are the keys to Cleveland's victory here.

SBR Lou · 12-10-07, 01:00 AM

One thing that worries me is Trent Edwards is coming off a 4 TD game. He didn't toss it much but he's smart when he does. The Bills hung 38 this week, no matter who they played that at least establishes confidence and they are still mathematically in the playoff hunt.

The Browns defense isn't scaring anybody. They would've given up another 7 vs the Jets, but intercepted Clemens in the endzone while the Jets were at the 2. And the Bills defense has been raped a few times already, I'm not saying I'm banking on it going over 47 but a 27-23 game wouldn't surprise me either.. they are both hungry.

imgv94 · 12-10-07, 03:49 AM

Number is at 46 now.. Makes me feel a little better, Totals are so sketchy I thought about putting 5 units, glad I didn't.

GL

imgv94 · 12-11-07, 06:27 PM

Line is down to 44 at most places.. So at least I know I got a damn good line.

Skidcom · 12-12-07, 09:13 AM

This is a solid play.I agree.

louis · 12-12-07, 10:06 AM

line is down because of weather

I doubt the total dropped because of weakness in buffalo's offense.

RageWizard · 12-12-07, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by louis

I doubt the total dropped because of weakness in buffalo's offense.

I think that the total is dropping because of some crappy weather moving in for the weekend. Well actually at least here in the Lehigh Valley ( 60 miles north of Philly) the weather has been crappy for about two weeks straight, and is pedicted to remain crappy with a slight chance of a reach around for the holidays.
But really this will be like a playoff game, so I don't expect a lot of cheap scores. Having said that both of these teams have great returners that can change an under to an over very easily.

eglickman · 12-12-07, 12:07 PM

Stay away. Both defenses blow.

mark wahlberg · 12-12-07, 02:47 PM

nice job imgv line is down to 43

Silverbullet · 12-12-07, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by imgv94

Under 47
Buff/Clev

Buffalo has a lot of trouble scoring on the road.. Total is 6 points off IMO.. Would like your thoughts on this one....

I see this one going over both teams gives up too much on defense and both teams looking for miracle wild card

McBa1n · 12-12-07, 10:39 PM

i hope it keeps going down - betting the over in cle games has been very nice this season... and buffalo can score some points, not a ton - but some.

agentwalrus · 12-13-07, 03:02 AM

Its at over 43 now... I wont touch the over. Under might start looking good if a couple more points come off.

VegasDave · 12-13-07, 03:05 AM

Bet half of your original wager on the over 43 and you have a nice middling opp here

BuddyBear · 12-13-07, 04:10 AM

Buffalo is pretty bad offensively but CLEV's defense is suspect. Could see a 13-10 type game or 31-27 game too. That being the case, I think the weather may have an influence. I still think the under is a strong bet...however it's cutting it very close now at 43. You almost have to think about taking O42 if it appears.

mark wahlberg · 12-13-07, 03:49 PM

people reading this weather is suppose to be bad really really bad does that mean less points always ive seen bad weather games where lots of points were scored

Ditaln1 · 12-13-07, 04:18 PM

Snow Shower / Wind High
28°F

Precip
50%

Wind: NNW 21 mph
Max. Humidity: 72%
UV Index: 1 Low
Sunrise: 7:47 AM ET
Avg. High: 37°F
Record High: 64°F (1984)

That is what weather.com is saying for Sunday for the game.

imgv94 · 12-14-07, 05:51 PM

Total is now down to 40..

jackpot269 · 12-14-07, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by imgv94

Total is now down to 40..

SHIT !!!!!!

SBR Lou · 12-16-07, 01:29 PM

You got a great number man, it's a freaking blizzard out there on the field!

Illusion · 12-16-07, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by crazyl

You got a great number man, it's a freaking blizzard out there on the field!

No doubt, that's the same storm that hammered us late last night.

imgv94 · 12-16-07, 04:58 PM

Thanks guys.. Probably the easiest win I've ever had LOL.

B1GER1C828 · 12-16-07, 05:16 PM

came down to the wire...

imgv94 · 12-16-07, 07:47 PM

Couldn't believe it

SexyMit · 12-16-07, 07:57 PM

I took it at 39 and man I was sweating my balls off all day watching tv in my warm house and was happy I wasn't out there playing in that shit weather...

outdrawed · 12-16-07, 10:56 PM

You got really lucky. A couple more TDs here and there and you could have lost this one.

Nice bet.

Stumpage · 12-16-07, 11:09 PM

How'd you ever get through this nail biter?.....

Congrats

Illusion · 12-16-07, 11:11 PM

Nice hit imgv. I also heard that this was the first 8-0 game in the NFL since 1929.

BigBollocks · 12-16-07, 11:36 PM

Damn, damn, damn good play that you pegged well in advance. Solid capping IMGV...