Betting NFL 2010 season wins (Video)

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  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #1
    Betting NFL 2010 season wins (Video)
  • SlickFazzer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-22-08
    • 20209

    #2
    Excellent information Justin, thanks.
    Comment
    • rfr3sh
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-07-09
      • 10229

      #3
      Justin, over the past few years it has been more accurate using the exp 2.7 instead of squaring the runs
      Comment
      • Justin7
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-31-06
        • 8577

        #4
        I haven't done a study on it, but what is the best exponent for the last 15 years as a whole?
        Comment
        • rfr3sh
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-07-09
          • 10229

          #5
          Generally it would be 2.37
          however since 2005 I would say 2.7 has been more accurate
          Comment
          • IrishTim
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-23-09
            • 983

            #6
            J7, how did you come up with the 3/4 for the Pythag. exp. and 1/4 for 8-8 split? Kind of felt it out or did you calculate it somehow?
            Comment
            • Rich Boy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-01-09
              • 9714

              #7
              Pinny's $723 dollar limit on NFL season wins shows how beatable this market is...

              This type of bet will attract mostly sharp action. Degenerates dont want to tie up money for that long.
              Comment
              • Justin7
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-31-06
                • 8577

                #8
                Originally posted by IrishTim
                J7, how did you come up with the 3/4 for the Pythag. exp. and 1/4 for 8-8 split? Kind of felt it out or did you calculate it somehow?
                Sort of random. I've been using that ratio for years, and it seems to work.
                Comment
                • Flight
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-28-09
                  • 1979

                  #9
                  Thanks for the info Justin.

                  Really really looking forward to your book.
                  Comment
                  • masr
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-20-07
                    • 4773

                    #10
                    Good info
                    Comment
                    • DeluxeLiner
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-29-08
                      • 4132

                      #11
                      Good stuff very interesting... Make more videos Justin I dig the info
                      Comment
                      • That Foreign Guy
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 07-18-10
                        • 432

                        #12
                        Based on the video and the posts I've read from you, I will want to buy your book, I hope there's a big announcement.
                        Comment
                        • Lo$t
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 06-03-10
                          • 787

                          #13
                          As soon as I get enough points, I'm buying the book. I want to conquer risk!
                          Comment
                          • Lo$t
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 06-03-10
                            • 787

                            #14
                            One small criticism Justin. Your chair squeeks.
                            Comment
                            • Lo$t
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 06-03-10
                              • 787

                              #15
                              I built my SBR points to 110 and put it all on the under of tomorrow night's NFLX game. I don't even know who's playing, just bet the under. If I win, I will almost have enough to buy Justin's book. I am going to read it cover to cover repeatedly until I have every word memorized. Justin is everything I aspire to be but will never become. God Bless Justin7!



                              Comment
                              • B1GER1C828
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-31-07
                                • 10244

                                #16
                                great stuff as always Justin, looking forward to reading your book...
                                Comment
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