Nfl week 1 lines, who will cover?

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  • slacker00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-05
    • 12262

    #71
    Originally posted by eberetta1
    I think history repeats itself. New Orleans beat the Vikings last year. And they repeat the same feat this year.
    Um, if history repeats itself, then the Vikings will cover.

    Originally posted by IrishTim
    Don't you think the market has already priced this into the line?
    Not at all. This is covered in Sharp Sports Betting by Stanford Wong. Super Bowl champions get overvalued early in the next season by the betting public, thus giving value in fading them early in the season. This has been proven out statistically.
    Comment
    • Flyers21
      SBR Sharp
      • 07-05-10
      • 498

      #72
      Ravens +3 and Falcons -1.5 look good to me.
      Comment
      • Wrigley
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-28-07
        • 7268

        #73
        Saints -4
        Comment
        • BrentCrude
          SBR MVP
          • 11-16-05
          • 4665

          #74
          Saints -4

          Saints -4 could be the lock of the year in the very first game of the year.
          Comment
          • thezbar
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-29-06
            • 6427

            #75
            The fish looks like the best play to me. It was 2.5 but moved to 3. Still The Bills aren't much and Miami figures to be much better this season.
            Comment
            • mlb
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-04-09
              • 10509

              #76
              yeah I think Miami is a little overrated myself .. but the Bills might be top 5 worst in the league
              Comment
              • saintjames
                Restricted User
                • 09-19-09
                • 747

                #77
                i like the jets to win big on opening day
                Comment
                • AlphaOmega
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-08
                  • 1146

                  #78
                  Miami will cover week 1
                  Comment
                  • Cuse4tw
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-16-10
                    • 2895

                    #79
                    Bills + points in the home opener.
                    Comment
                    • davidchong
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-10-06
                      • 1806

                      #80
                      miami
                      Comment
                      • NOLA42
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-27-10
                        • 243

                        #81
                        Saints minus the points!
                        Comment
                        • foosh99
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-03-10
                          • 104

                          #82
                          cowboys over skins -3.5
                          Comment
                          • miley
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 03-24-10
                            • 151

                            #83
                            Ravens and Texans.
                            Comment
                            • smooth
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 07-26-10
                              • 2

                              #84
                              Be very carefull with divisional games in the the AFC East, you will always see surprises when these teams play each other.

                              I can see a close game between the fish and the bills in game one
                              Comment
                              • mcbogo
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 06-09-10
                                • 192

                                #85
                                falcons to beat the STEELERS at Heinz Field?!!!!! what a joke!!! The Steelers are not ONLY Ben!
                                Comment
                                • frankzig
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-26-09
                                  • 2268

                                  #86
                                  viks might need a gook look
                                  Comment
                                  • pinnacle212
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-11-08
                                    • 548

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by sneak-a-peak
                                    Browns 24 Buccos 16. Bank it brah
                                    i like the way you think
                                    Comment
                                    • JuicedUp
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-20-10
                                      • 3396

                                      #88
                                      Vikings.
                                      Comment
                                      • Chi_archie
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-22-08
                                        • 63172

                                        #89
                                        can't wait
                                        Comment
                                        • Ice House
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 07-21-10
                                          • 4060

                                          #90
                                          I agree Saints -4 is the lock of the year. The superdome is going to be rocking.... Brett Favre will join the team after camp and he has a gimp ankle. The Saints pass defense is the best in the NFL and specialize in take aways.... The Vikings secondary is going to get burnt all game.

                                          Other week 1 pick is the Colts -3 over the Texans... Houston is getting a lot of hype but truth is they have never had a winning record. Peyton Manning is going to light up that weak Houston secondary and he has had the whole off season to think about that Interception in the Super Bowl. The Colts will be ready go... oh yeah and they will have a healthy Bob Sanders and Dwight Freeney
                                          Comment
                                          • Ice House
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 07-21-10
                                            • 4060

                                            #91
                                            Dallas vs Washington under


                                            ML parlay Dolphins, Cowboys, Bears, Chargers, Saints, Colts.
                                            Comment
                                            • ClipShow14
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 07-29-10
                                              • 57

                                              #92
                                              falcons -1.5 is where i'll be week 1, might change my mind
                                              Comment
                                              • brxbmbers42
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 07-26-10
                                                • 4312

                                                #93
                                                Colts
                                                Comment
                                                • brxbmbers42
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 07-26-10
                                                  • 4312

                                                  #94
                                                  Love the steelers 2. falcons is a sukker bet.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Quake
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 05-27-10
                                                    • 267

                                                    #95
                                                    SF -2 against SEA.... huge
                                                    Comment
                                                    • nbt3428
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-13-10
                                                      • 366

                                                      #96
                                                      New Orleans Saints look pretty solid at -4. Feel they come out strong.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JosephPavs
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-29-10
                                                        • 1660

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by Ice House
                                                        I agree Saints -4 is the lock of the year. The superdome is going to be rocking.... Brett Favre will join the team after camp and he has a gimp ankle. The Saints pass defense is the best in the NFL and specialize in take aways.... The Vikings secondary is going to get burnt all game.

                                                        Other week 1 pick is the Colts -3 over the Texans... Houston is getting a lot of hype but truth is they have never had a winning record. Peyton Manning is going to light up that weak Houston secondary and he has had the whole off season to think about that Interception in the Super Bowl. The Colts will be ready go... oh yeah and they will have a healthy Bob Sanders and Dwight Freeney
                                                        I forgot 9-7 was not a winning season!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • slacker00
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-06-05
                                                          • 12262

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by Ice House
                                                          I agree Saints -4 is the lock of the year.
                                                          Yet another reason to hammer Minnesota. All of the stupid money is coming in on the Saints. lmao
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ice House
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 07-21-10
                                                            • 4060

                                                            #99
                                                            Minnesota has a weak secondary. They can't hang with the Saints high powered offense. The Vikings just don't matchup well against the Saints. The Vikings matchup up well with teams that like to run the ball.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chopperocker
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-16-09
                                                              • 1784

                                                              #100
                                                              HOU Over 8 reg season wins -130
                                                              PHI Under 8½ reg season wins -135

                                                              NOR moneyline [SB winner is 11-1 SU & 7-4-1 ATS wk 1 L12]
                                                              6 point teaser MN +10 Under 57.5

                                                              CHI moneyline

                                                              HOU moneyline [SB loser is 3-9 SU wk 1 L12]
                                                              HOU +3 [SB loser is 2-10 ATS wk 1 L12]

                                                              wk 1 games with O/U line of 44 or greater are 18-37 O/U wk 1 since '99.
                                                              '09 2-5
                                                              '08 0-1
                                                              '07 1-2
                                                              '06 0-4
                                                              '05 2-5

                                                              NOR Under 51.5
                                                              NE Under 44
                                                              HOU Under 47
                                                              PHI Under 46
                                                              KC Under 45
                                                              Comment
                                                              • oklahomaoutlaw
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 06-21-10
                                                                • 231

                                                                #101
                                                                The saints under looks good 4 sure.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JosephPavs
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-29-10
                                                                  • 1660

                                                                  #102
                                                                  I like Hou money line 2 close games last year and they will never be healthier....

                                                                  Also, Saints under looks great...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • brooks85
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-05-09
                                                                    • 44709

                                                                    #103
                                                                    the Ravens just took a huge hit, lost foxworth for the season
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • slacker00
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-06-05
                                                                      • 12262

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by Ice House
                                                                      Minnesota has a weak secondary. They can't hang with the Saints high powered offense. The Vikings just don't matchup well against the Saints. The Vikings matchup up well with teams that like to run the ball.
                                                                      The Vikings did address their secondary in the offseason, bringing in all pro veteran CB Lito Sheppard and using their #1 pick in the draft on CB Chris Cook. Unlike the Packers, the Vikings took care of their secondary concerns in the offseason.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jshap1515
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-16-09
                                                                        • 1023

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Falcons
                                                                        Packers
                                                                        49ers
                                                                        Cardinals

                                                                        All look very promising
                                                                        Comment
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