what NFL capper to follow

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  • KegKosmo
    SBR MVP
    • 05-13-10
    • 2182

    #1
    what NFL capper to follow
    what capper are all of you following this nfl season? im not sure who is all good, anyone have any stats from last year? thanks
  • jbrent95
    SBR MVP
    • 12-07-09
    • 1221

    #2
    If you're going to follow a capper, you might want to look at 4-10 years worth of win/losses.
    Comment
    • iwant2lrn
      Restricted User
      • 06-10-10
      • 164

      #3
      why won't you follow yourself. Mister 82%.
      Comment
      • jhack704
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-04-09
        • 5346

        #4
        Originally posted by iwant2lrn
        why won't you follow yourself. Mister 82%.
        hahaha hell yea! why the fuk would you follow anyone if your hitting 82%, fuckin ratard
        Comment
        • The DiB
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-22-09
          • 510

          #5
          Do your own homework guy.

          Lazy gamblers mooching off other posters instead of doing their own capping.
          Comment
          • filter15
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-05-09
            • 549

            #6
            Records are hard to tell in the NFL. Since there's only a few games every year and u can't go back too far so there's nit a lot of great data
            Comment
            • kroyrunner89
              SBR MVP
              • 10-25-08
              • 1191

              #7
              I've got a documented year and a half under my belt. 112-66-3 ATS in that timespan, most around here will agree I'm reliable so if you're looking for a little help look my way this fall. Good luck!
              2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
              2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
              2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
              2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

              Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
              Comment
              • BGboothA
                SBR MVP
                • 08-07-08
                • 4202

                #8
                Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                I've got a documented year and a half under my belt. 112-66-3 ATS in that timespan, most around here will agree I'm reliable so if you're looking for a little help look my way this fall. Good luck!


                But in the end, take some readings from guys here and add that into your own homework.
                Comment
                • SportNut
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-16-07
                  • 1984

                  #9
                  Lol...you guys are crazy!!...
                  Comment
                  • KegKosmo
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-13-10
                    • 2182

                    #10
                    well i didnt play many games, i made a total of 17 bets last year, thats how i hit 82 percent... so thank you for referring to me as MR 82% BUDDY! i like that, maybe ill change my name to it
                    Comment
                    • AlphaOmega
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-08
                      • 1146

                      #11
                      Everyone just posts their own plays and some hit and some miss but in the end its is up to you to make your own plays
                      Comment
                      • wasabee
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 05-23-10
                        • 82

                        #12
                        i had a crazy run last year of 12 wins straight mind you i only bet 1-2 games per week (getting nfl sunday ticket is the key! that way you dont bet just becasue its on tv :P
                        Comment
                        • GELATINOUS CUBE
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-09-09
                          • 4534

                          #13
                          KEG-IF-YOUR-HITTING-82%-YOU-ARE-FINE-DON'T-CHANGE-A-THING-AND-STICK-WITH-YOUR-SYSTEM

                          blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
                          mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
                          gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
                          overall: 63-34 +$40,290
                          Comment
                          • THE PROFIT
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-27-09
                            • 17701

                            #14
                            17 plays sounds good to me buddy! As long as you're hittin 82% on them don't change a thing & you'll be a winner come the end of the season. Being a winner is something 82% of the NFL bettors CAN'T say they did!

                            Most you guys here on the forum know me, I will have a thread for NFL & NCAA for those who are interested. I make a limited amount of plays, no outrageous units, no outrageous claims. Football is a grind like everything else, but I have a few systems & get some good info on games & will share with everyone & we will all make some money this season. I can't wait
                            Comment
                            • samdapatriotsfan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-10-08
                              • 1585

                              #15
                              82%
                              Comment
                              • ialcire
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 05-16-10
                                • 45

                                #16
                                Werd yo follow ur own plays, u might do better by far!!! B a leader!!
                                Comment
                                • JACK MATZ
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 08-12-09
                                  • 832

                                  #17
                                  JJ gold...
                                  Comment
                                  • Glitch
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-08-09
                                    • 11795

                                    #18
                                    whats that guy who likes the saints- i forget his name z somethin i think- people hate on him but hes logical enough to copy. dont copy tho- just get insight and formulate your own opinions through your own research.
                                    Comment
                                    • Rig
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-05-09
                                      • 458

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                                      I've got a documented year and a half under my belt. 112-66-3 ATS in that timespan, most around here will agree I'm reliable so if you're looking for a little help look my way this fall. Good luck!
                                      R u serious??!
                                      Dude that's excellent how do youcap the games?
                                      Comment
                                      • daneault23
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-08-09
                                        • 3877

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Glitch
                                        whats that guy who likes the saints- i forget his name z somethin i think- people hate on him but hes logical enough to copy. dont copy tho- just get insight and formulate your own opinions through your own research.
                                        I think his name is ZBOIZ??
                                        Comment
                                        • Daveyboy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-12-10
                                          • 1317

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by KegKosmo
                                          well i didnt play many games, i made a total of 17 bets last year, thats how i hit 82 percent... so thank you for referring to me as MR 82% BUDDY! i like that, maybe ill change my name to it
                                          You're the capper I want to follow!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • kroyrunner89
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-25-08
                                            • 1191

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Rig
                                            R u serious??! Dude that's excellent how do youcap the games?
                                            Well for one NFL is the only sport I follow extremely closely, Fantasy football kind of forced me into that back in the day and then I started applying knowledge towards betting. When I started in 2008 I was motivated by another capper who often wrote about a program he built to predict NFL results that hit at an astounding rate. So I started doing all kinds of crazy equations and stat tracking in an excel sheet and eventually came up with something that has hit pretty consistently, about 60% on plays it determined there was value in. The problem with it is that it takes many weeks to accumulate enough stats and it's pretty much worthless to me until Week 8. So last year I broke away from the system a bit and tried to do the capping mostly myself. The first few weeks of the season were successful just due to familiarity with the teams from the last season and finding opportunities due to who was hot or cold in the preseason. From there, I still had my excel sheet where I tracked a variety of stats, most importantly yards per pass attempt, yards per rush attempt, and scoring efficiency and looked to see how teams matched up with each other from week to week. I factored in injuries to try and see where there would be advantages/disadvantages and just kind of hit my stride. Mostly I just attribute my success to knowing each team and who succeeds in what situations. If I can ever figure out a way to explain my method better I'll be sure to let you know haha
                                            2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                            2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                            2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                            2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                            Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                            Comment
                                            • spongerat
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-01-08
                                              • 2023

                                              #23
                                              if you're only looking at last year then don't follow anyone
                                              Comment
                                              • kenshin11x
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 07-21-10
                                                • 151

                                                #24
                                                dont follow anybodies picks except yourself. so when you lose, your the only one to blame.
                                                Comment
                                                • cankid
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-22-08
                                                  • 7265

                                                  #25
                                                  some have horrible records, try to find them and go the other way, guy won the hilton a few yrs back following guys he found in previous yrs to be consistently bad over time and going the other way.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ronjon619
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-06-09
                                                    • 3675

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                                                    The first few weeks of the season were successful just due to familiarity with the teams from the last season and finding opportunities due to who was hot or cold in the preseason.
                                                    Preseason? You mean the four games no one cares about before Week 1 hits? Some guys like Farve don't roll into camp until Week 1 of the preseason. Guys like Rivers, Farve, Manning and Brady maybe get 3 quarters of action during those 4 games. Schottehiemer played LaDanian ZERO snaps one preseason a few years back for the Bolts.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • VTranX
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-02-10
                                                      • 1975

                                                      #27
                                                      Kinda takes the fun out of gambling if you not making your own picks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ToNyyy
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-21-10
                                                        • 1009

                                                        #28
                                                        <<<<<<<<<
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kroyrunner89
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-25-08
                                                          • 1191

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ronjon619
                                                          Preseason? You mean the four games no one cares about before Week 1 hits? Some guys like Farve don't roll into camp until Week 1 of the preseason. Guys like Rivers, Farve, Manning and Brady maybe get 3 quarters of action during those 4 games. Schottehiemer played LaDanian ZERO snaps one preseason a few years back for the Bolts.
                                                          In some cases yeah, preseason action is meaningless and you should just throw out what you see. There are definitely teams you can learn a lot about by watching closely though. It's probably about a 50/50 split, but I'm 10-1 in Week 1 over the last two seasons and that's no accident.
                                                          2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                                          2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                                          2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                                          2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                                          Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jnickell100
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-11-09
                                                            • 4305

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                                                            In some cases yeah, preseason action is meaningless and you should just throw out what you see. There are definitely teams you can learn a lot about by watching closely though. It's probably about a 50/50 split, but I'm 10-1 in Week 1 over the last two seasons and that's no accident.
                                                            Kroy, i remember seeing some of your threads in the football section last year and during the playoffs. I liked checking out your picks and your write ups as well and i think you are a solid capper here. I dont think many people know much about you because you didnt keep a season long thread and some of your picks were posted a little late. Maybe this year you can keep a documented season thread
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sunde91
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 8325

                                                              #31
                                                              Brandon Lang



                                                              He's BIG TIME
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DeluxeLiner
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-29-08
                                                                • 4132

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by jnickell100
                                                                Kroy, i remember seeing some of your threads in the football section last year and during the playoffs. I liked checking out your picks and your write ups as well and i think you are a solid capper here. I dont think many people know much about you because you didnt keep a season long thread and some of your picks were posted a little late. Maybe this year you can keep a documented season thread
                                                                dont know if kroy was documented in an sbr thread, but he did win beat the prick and he has been fully documented.

                                                                excited to see how kroy does this season.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ctbet
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 07-22-10
                                                                  • 83

                                                                  #33
                                                                  whoever hot
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pigskingenius
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 07-18-10
                                                                    • 9

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Have you tried checking out a handicapper's stats in some of those sports handicapper monitor sites? That should help you get decent stats on them.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kroyrunner89
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-25-08
                                                                      • 1191

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by jnickell100
                                                                      Kroy, i remember seeing some of your threads in the football section last year and during the playoffs. I liked checking out your picks and your write ups as well and i think you are a solid capper here. I dont think many people know much about you because you didnt keep a season long thread and some of your picks were posted a little late. Maybe this year you can keep a documented season thread
                                                                      you're right, i was a little late on this forum a couple of times, I had the habit of making people on my mailing list the priority and then forgetting about the forums sometimes. I'll definitely try to do better about that this year and possibly make a season long thread if that's easier for everyone to follow rather than make a new one each week
                                                                      Originally posted by pigskingenius
                                                                      Have you tried checking out a handicapper's stats in some of those sports handicapper monitor sites? That should help you get decent stats on them.
                                                                      I will also be tracked by the Oklahoma Sports Monitor this season, can't wait to see how I compare!
                                                                      2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                                                      2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                                                      2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                                                      2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                                                      Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                                                      Comment
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