NFL money line tips

[old threads]

I am just a recreational player and do not depend on winnings to support myself thankfully, but it is still more fun to win than lose. My budget to start the NFL season was $4,000 and used a few hundred to make futures bets and want to save a few hundred for playoffs. Set myself for $200 per week in weeks 1-16 because week 17 sucks big time in my experience. I like to mix the bets usually 4 $50 bets each week playing sides, totals and money lines. I do okay in sides and pretty good for 2 years in a row in totals but the money lines blow.

My strategy is to look for teams in the +120 - +150 span but that is not working too well. How do some of you hunt for good money line numbers?

[laxdjock]

I look at team match ups, and then at the lines. I take a guess at how often the dog would win out of 10 games, and then look at the lines to see if anything sticks out.