1. #1
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    (NFL picks) - Week 18

    First pick = 2* TENN Titans +3.5 (1.87). 2.00 to win 1.74.

  2. #2
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    First pick = 2* TENN Titans +3.5 (1.87). 2.00 to win 1.74.
    2* CAROLINA Panthers +6 (1.93). 2.00 to win 1.86.

    ...Not that anyone cares. These are NOT big-$$ bets.

  3. #3
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    2* ARIZ Cardinals +3 2.05. 2.00 to win 2.10.

  4. #4
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    2* MIAMI Dolphins +3 1.93. 2.00 to win 1.86.

    ...Hoping that they'll get some guys back.

  5. #5
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    1* only. INDY Colt +1 (1.91). 1.00 to win .91.

  6. #6
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    I talked myself into this one: 2* PITT Steelers -4 (1.94). 2.00 to win 1.88.

  7. #7
    Optional
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    Seems like a coin toss week. I bet taking the slate of dogs ML would produce a profit this week.

  8. #8
    Optional
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    Odds to check it later



  9. #9
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Seems like a coin toss week. I bet taking the slate of dogs ML would produce a profit this week.
    Opti, I don't necessarily view it as a "coin-toss week." A lot to digest on these games.

    *If you hit that parlay...you're buying first round!

    I mentally try to categorize these sides:
    1) Dead Rubbers.
    2) Playing for pride.
    3) Must-win. These teams are so often over-priced.

    That's how I'm playing it. I've made my views known.

    The "resting starters" note has some merit. But the rosters aren't that big. Can't rest everyone.

    Good Luck, everyone.

  10. #10
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    One last note: *Props to the schedule-makers.

    These games are designed for peak views.

    The two SAT games are great elimination matchups.

    It all crescendos to the Buf/Mia game. I think the Bills will likely be in an All-or-Nothing situation.

  11. #11
    ChuckyTheGoat
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  12. #12
    Renegades
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    Play against all the “need” to win teams and you probably come out ahead.

    dont like indy or pitt. Hou should light up indy secondary. Hou outplayed them in the first gm but lost. Hou has the better defense. Line is begging for indy money. Cant lay pts with pitt on the road vs a div rival in a gm that is typically close and low scoring

  13. #13
    Renegades
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    Also Huntley is no slouch. Pitt offense will struggle this week even though they have been playing much better

  14. #14
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    1* only. INDY Colt +1 (1.91). 1.00 to win .91.
    add: 2* INdY colts +1.5 1.96. 2.00 to win 1.92.

  15. #15
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Chefs get home. So far so good:

    Risk: 9.00
    Net Profit +/-: +2.64

    Updated Balance: 102.64

  16. #16
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Also Huntley is no slouch. Pitt offense will struggle this week even though they have been playing much better
    I don't disagree with this sentiment. If it was a NORMAL week, Pittsburgh would have major red-flags.

    I view this as a unique spot for Balt:
    1) Any key players rest.
    2) Anyone playing with nagging injury will be inactive or just not play.
    3) The Balt organization is big into analytics. They use a "bench-coach" to feed Harbaugh instructions in-game. Somebody has surely told JohnH that he's better off trying to scrub out the Bills.

  17. #17
    consom888
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    nice grab on CAR +6. like them today, good pass defense against an injured mayfield, choke spot
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  18. #18
    Seattle Slew
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    Quote Originally Posted by consom888 View Post
    nice grab on CAR +6. like them today, good pass defense against an injured mayfield, choke spot
    Bowles had a win-and-your in road game at Buffalo in his first year with the Jets and they lost. He might be fired if they lose today.

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