Play of the night, Mon Oct 8

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  • curious
    Restricted User
    • 07-20-07
    • 9093

    #1
    Play of the night, Mon Oct 8
    Buffalo +11 2 units Win 2 units
    Buffalo +475 1 unit Lose 1 unit

    Net Win 1 unit
  • eglickman
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-06-07
    • 203

    #2
    Buffalo moneyline is a no go. Can't go against the 'boys, they are hot right now
    Comment
    • curious
      Restricted User
      • 07-20-07
      • 9093

      #3
      Originally posted by eglickman
      Buffalo moneyline is a no go. Can't go against the 'boys, they are hot right now
      People also told me that Rice, Utah, Northwestern, and C Michigan Moneyline were no gos also. All won for me this week.

      We shall see on Monday if I am right about Buffalo. But, the moneyline doesn't have to win for me to win on Buffalo, 2 units on the spread, 1 unit on the moneyline, if Buffalo covers I win 1 unit, if they win outright I win 6.75 units. I'll take that bet.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Actually, there is nothing wrong with this play historically.

        NFL double digit home underdogs are 60-44-2, 57.7% ATS since 1985, including 52-33-2, 61.2% ATS when they are between +10 and +13.5.

        Also, double digit home underdogs are 31-74, 29.5% SU, which has a break-even point of +239, giving Buffalo value at +475. Also, home underdogs between +10 and +13.5 are 29-57, 33.7% SU, which has a break-even point of only +197.
        Comment
        • HAPPY BOY
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-10-05
          • 7109

          #5
          Dont like this game. Hate double digit dogs at home. Sad part is I don't have enough faith in the Bills. I can see Dallas by 17
          Comment
          • tblues2005
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-30-06
            • 9235

            #6
            Dallas may get caught looking ahead next week vs. New England also, this may be one of them trap games possibly tonight. I don't think the Bills are a bad play tonight at all. I would really like it if it moves up to 10 1/2 or 11 before game time. Dallas could win by 10 on the button here.
            Comment
            • eggy6198
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-12-06
              • 162

              #7
              Can't see past Dallas here they would need an awful day not to cover in this game.

              The Bills D is bad when heathly and while they have a running game they will need to throw the ball to keep up. Dallas can be throw on but would you trust the bills QB.

              Every game like this I am getting killed on so that means the Bills will cover. The true Dallas will be shown up here but surely ROMO will have another big day????

              You are betting on blind faith rather than facts if you back the Bills but I am sure they could cover. This game should be a big pass for me but I am going chasing WK losses on a big ML/spread bet on Dallas..

              Come on COWGIRLS
              Comment
              • Rollins08
                SBR MVP
                • 04-20-07
                • 1337

                #8
                I think this is the toughest game of the week to call. The reason is that nobody knows about this Buffalo QB. He looked good against the Jet, but that doesn't say much. Laying off is the best bet.
                Comment
                • Checkerboard
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-15-06
                  • 7799

                  #9
                  I'm laying off this game.
                  Comment
                  • counterfiet100
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-05-07
                    • 521

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Checkerboard
                    I'm laying off this game.
                    Do you guys think i should let my parlay ride with Boys-3 over 39 or hedge it like a MOFO
                    Comment
                    • Thomasha7
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 10-03-07
                      • 175

                      #11
                      I hope Dallas loses just because I hate Dallas. That and my Packers lost, so I don't want anyone else in the NFc to be 5-0. Just being honest.
                      Comment
                      • abacus30
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-23-07
                        • 336

                        #12
                        Originally posted by counterfiet100
                        Do you guys think i should let my parlay ride with Boys-3 over 39 or hedge it like a MOFO

                        Ride it out 'bro... I think its got a real good shot of winning.
                        Comment
                        • dwaechte
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-27-07
                          • 5481

                          #13
                          I'm feeling like making a stupid bet to try and get back to even for the weekend. I haven't made one yet, and I think we're all entitled to every now and then lol. So, though I'm not confident at all, I'll take the Cowboys.
                          Comment
                          • counterfiet100
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-05-07
                            • 521

                            #14
                            Originally posted by abacus30
                            Ride it out 'bro... I think its got a real good shot of winning.

                            **** it right il put a minor hedge on it....for fun but yeah i think its got a good shot too
                            Comment
                            • WestsidePete
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-19-07
                              • 8049

                              #15
                              Originally posted by curious
                              People also told me that Rice, Utah, Northwestern, and C Michigan Moneyline were no gos also. All won for me this week.

                              We shall see on Monday if I am right about Buffalo. But, the moneyline doesn't have to win for me to win on Buffalo, 2 units on the spread, 1 unit on the moneyline, if Buffalo covers I win 1 unit, if they win outright I win 6.75 units. I'll take that bet.

                              curious...I respect your opinions...but the cowboy aren't a rice, utah, or northwestern..they're an undefeated pro team going vs a team with one win and many injuries...GL if they win you get the last laugh, but I think the Cowboys win by 14 pts tonite....
                              Comment
                              • WestsidePete
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-19-07
                                • 8049

                                #16
                                Originally posted by abacus30
                                Ride it out 'bro... I think its got a real good shot of winning.
                                dallas -3 over 39?? ride it!! I have dallas -3.5 over 38 myself
                                Comment
                                • counterfiet100
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-05-07
                                  • 521

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by WestsidePete
                                  dallas -3 over 39?? ride it!! I have dallas -3.5 over 38 myself

                                  yeah i just hope the bills can put up something
                                  Comment
                                  • Likes_to_win
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 10-05-07
                                    • 29

                                    #18
                                    I've got the under 45. I think the Bills come out with high emotion and play a controlling offense. Very time consuming with drives ending up in field goals.
                                    Comment
                                    • swifty
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-22-06
                                      • 672

                                      #19
                                      Buffalo +10 score will be around Buff 34 Dal 17
                                      Comment
                                      • WestsidePete
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-19-07
                                        • 8049

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by swifty
                                        Buffalo +10 score will be around Buff 34 Dal 17
                                        Buf 34 Dal 17?? You mean Dal 34 Buf 17 right??
                                        Comment
                                        • WestsidePete
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 07-19-07
                                          • 8049

                                          #21
                                          Here's a parlay for tonite
                                          Yankees ML Cowboys ML 500 to win 360
                                          Comment
                                          • milwaukee mike
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-22-07
                                            • 26914

                                            #22
                                            westside pete you post something interesting about the cowboys:
                                            "they're an undefeated pro team going vs a team with one win and many injuries"

                                            sounds a little like the packers last night? and how many squares were on gb?

                                            dallas tonight is the square play of the week, everyone's chasing back losses as the books made out like bandits sat/sun.
                                            Comment
                                            • BatemanPatrickl
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 06-21-07
                                              • 18772

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                              westside pete you post something interesting about the cowboys:
                                              "they're an undefeated pro team going vs a team with one win and many injuries"

                                              sounds a little like the packers last night? and how many squares were on gb?

                                              dallas tonight is the square play of the week, everyone's chasing back losses as the books made out like bandits sat/sun.
                                              So you are saying you are playing the sharp bet on the Bills?
                                              Comment
                                              • azgrande18
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 09-07-07
                                                • 204

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by curious
                                                Buffalo +11 2 units
                                                Buffalo +475 1 unit
                                                Good luck. I hate the Cowboys but the Bills are hurting.
                                                Comment
                                                • Pussymagnet
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 07-18-07
                                                  • 81

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by WestsidePete
                                                  curious...I respect your opinions...but the cowboy aren't a rice, utah, or northwestern..they're an undefeated pro team going vs a team with one win and many injuries...GL if they win you get the last laugh, but I think the Cowboys win by 14 pts tonite....
                                                  couldn't have said it better myself.

                                                  cowboys win by at least 2 td's but probably more.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • OrionSky
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-21-07
                                                    • 939

                                                    #26
                                                    Bills +17.5 Under 52

                                                    Dallas will be saving their energy for the Pats next weekend.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • WestsidePete
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 07-19-07
                                                      • 8049

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                      westside pete you post something interesting about the cowboys:
                                                      "they're an undefeated pro team going vs a team with one win and many injuries"

                                                      sounds a little like the packers last night? and how many squares were on gb?

                                                      dallas tonight is the square play of the week, everyone's chasing back losses as the books made out like bandits sat/sun.
                                                      The Bills D isn't even close to the quality of the Bears D...I took the Bears teaser +10 and under 48 by the way...and if it wasn't for the fumbles GB would have won. Can Buffalo do that tonite?? Have they done it at all this year?? I mean the Bears are still the team that went to the Super Bowl last year...a hell of a lot of pride in that team...what have the Bills done lately?? playoffs??If they go down by 10 pts do they have the kind of defense to stuff Dallas like the Bears did last night in the 3rd quarter?? I don't think so...I would like to see some kind of trend to be able to say yes..but I don't...So I'm on Dallas but teasing it down to -3.5...normally I'd take the home dog on this, but with no trend to show me otherwise I'm on the fav this time.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • zootiehead
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-09-06
                                                        • 1715

                                                        #28
                                                        78% on Dallas.

                                                        Why would the books give away all that money?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pistol Pete
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 08-30-05
                                                          • 330

                                                          #29
                                                          hey curious dont let anyone dog a big ML bet lol. Anyways good luck I got dallas team total over 27 1/2 so as long as they score 28, I hope Buff scores 31 for you.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MJFtheGenius
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-31-07
                                                            • 7257

                                                            #30
                                                            WTF, Why did my post get deleted?????????
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MJFtheGenius
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-31-07
                                                              • 7257

                                                              #31
                                                              Curious did you cry to the mods????
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MJFtheGenius
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-31-07
                                                                • 7257

                                                                #32
                                                                Mods, your're goona let Curious bitch you around like that, I made a good point in those post.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • alexhwang826
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 10-03-07
                                                                  • 80

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by zootiehead
                                                                  78% on Dallas.

                                                                  Why would the books give away all that money?
                                                                  where do you find those stats zootiehead?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MJFtheGenius
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-31-07
                                                                    • 7257

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by zootiehead
                                                                    78% on Dallas.

                                                                    Why would the books give away all that money?
                                                                    The public wins about 48% of the time.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mrmark
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 08-19-07
                                                                      • 115

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Cowboys all the way here!!
                                                                      Cowboys 31
                                                                      Bills 10
                                                                      Comment
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