The Rams are a very banged up team and come into this contest with more question marks than answers. They are a hideous 0-4 SU and ATS. If St. Louis is a dissapointment, Arizona has been just the opposite. The Cardinals have been an underdog four straight weeks, covering every game. No win was as big as last week's upset over the Steelers. This week their role cahnges as they become the hunted, instead of the hunter. Historically home dogs have barked loudly in the NFL, and this year certainly has been no different. Home pups are now 14-7 ATS through four weeks. Arizona certainly has been a live dog over the years, but unfamiliar and unkind to backers as a road favorite. They are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in that role since 1995. They are currently using a formula that usually backfires in the NFL - two quarterbacks. Sooner or later that will bite them, and it may be this game. Stephen Jackson and Marc Bulger will both sit this one out, as Gus Frerotte will lead the offense. While most would consider Frerrotte a downgrade, sometimes a struggling team needs a change. This may be the infusion this offense needs (see Buffalo and Edwards last week). Frerotte has a lot of experience and the last two times he has gotten significant playing time he delivered 25 TDs and 15 INTs. With Bulger sitting on a 64.9 QB rating, it can't get much worse. Jackson was not having a good year, so turning the load over to Bryan Leonard may not be as bad as one would think. Leonard has rushed for 4 yards per carry as compared to Jackson's 3.4. The fact that the two offensive super stars are out for St. Louis gives us line value without a big dropoff in performance (from how they have played this year). St. Louis so far has played teams that were 6-1 combined at the time they played them, and 11-5 overall, so they haven't had an easy go yet. They were actually up on Carolina midway through the 3rd quarter, with more yardage for the game. They also led San Francisco 13-7 with just three minutes left. They completely dominated as they produced 20 first downs to the Niners 8, and doubled them up in yardage. So this is a much more competitive team than it would appear at first glance, especially at home. Arizona appears to be an up and coming team, but the hardest corner to turn is winning on the road. This team is 5-34 SU on the road in their last 39 games, and to put them as better than a FG better than anyone on the road at this point, has no value to me. I will ride the Rams with the points.
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Let's take One day at a time. Let's talk about today College Football and some good money making picks.
Oops thought I was in the Ncaaf Forum.Last edited by SportNut; 10-06-07, 10:34 AM.Comment -
Hope the WDog(?) comp pick is right, but Gus Ferrotte is a total wild card here. With STL making adjustments, and Leinert acting like a spoiled brat, can't say which team is the lesser of the two.
GL, but I just can't bet this one.Last edited by jon13009; 10-07-07, 07:22 AM.Comment -
I dont think we can really put it in the way of now this week the Cards become the hunted . One team has underachieved out the azz while the other has overachieved and maybe just a year late . As they were supposed to be contending last year but never got it going (no momentum and confidence resulted in a bust. )
The Cards could in fact continue getting better and be one of those diamonds in the rough for 2007 . Bet it .
If Ariz is indeed a team that will contend , it would be a normal occurence for them to beat a team thats down and all to pieces like the Rams today .Last edited by EJandV; 10-07-07, 10:20 AM.Comment -
I like what you are saying, good luck with it.Comment -
Just for starters >>>When your best qb and best rb are out how to you talk yourself into thinking this is a good thing ?
Pick of the week ?
You live in Missouri right . I dont understand the logic . You need the opposite of what adds up to come through to make picks like this . Like the USC game yesterday or the Chiefs winning as 11.5 pt dogs at SD .
Opposite of what adds up thinking here will = stay tunedComment -
MTmoney may take this as his pick of the week, but I saw this post as Wonderdog's comp pick of the week at another forum.
I have a hard time taking comp tout picks as being Best bets and some of the stuff there can be of value (but I think you need to know the source of the info as well - if it is free and available to everyone......)Last edited by jon13009; 10-07-07, 10:19 AM.Comment
