Small NFL Home Dogs on the Money Line.

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Small NFL Home Dogs on the Money Line.
    Since 1985, NFL Home Underdogs of between +1 and +2.5 are 224-204, 52.3% STRAIGHT UP!

    This is obviously a great situation to play the dogs on the ML at + money. Now this angle did slip to just 5-9 last year, but it is already 1-0 this season with Arizona +2.5 upsetting Seattle in Week 2.

    Keep you eyes on the Lions, Vikings and 49ers this week if those lines stay under 3.
  • slacker00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-05
    • 12262

    #2
    Cool hypothesis, LT. Something to definitely track.
    Comment
    • swifty
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-22-06
      • 672

      #3
      Prediction:

      49ers 21, Seahawks 14

      49ers +2 (8 Units - September Pick of the Month)

      Under 40.5 (.5 Units)
      Comment
      • bigboydan
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-10-05
        • 55420

        #4
        I'm already on the Vikings tomorrow LT.

        Lets not forget that Farve can't win a game in a dome at all either.
        Comment
        • LargeMouthBass
          Restricted User
          • 03-18-07
          • 1095

          #5
          Oops... Wrong thread...
          Comment
          • onlooker
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-10-05
            • 36572

            #6
            Originally posted by bigboydan
            I'm already on the Vikings tomorrow LT.


            I am getting ready to go bet them on the money line. I just have to get my lazy ass up and go do it.
            Comment
            • LLXC
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-10-06
              • 8972

              #7
              I think Det's line will move off 2.5. MIN and SF will stay and I like both.
              Comment
              • tblues2005
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-30-06
                • 9235

                #8
                I think Cleveland, Minnesota, and Detroit could all win on Sunday this week as dogs.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  It looks like Atlanta made it on to this list late, and the Lions stayed at +2.5. So, 2-1 so far today with SF pending.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Giants also ended up qualifying for a 3-2 day.
                    Comment
                    • pico
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-05-07
                      • 27321

                      #11
                      but i remember was it 49ers week 1, 3 pts underdog and lost by 3 pts exactly
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        picoman,

                        Read the angle again - Home Underdogs of between +1 and +2.5. The 49ers would not have qualified on two fronts: they were +3 and they were not at home.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Also remember that this angle is on the Money Line, so a 3-2 day is very nice to the wallet.
                          Comment
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