Best Bets: Sun (9/30/07) and Mon (10/1/07)

[Illusion]

Share your best bets for Sunday and Monday here.

Good luck everybody!

By request, I am starting the thread early this week.

[Illusion]

Week Three Recap

sweetpete57@: 3-1-1 +5.90
Illusion: 1-0 +5.00
EGGY6199: 2-2 +4.80
babaoriley: 1-0 +3.00
Seattle Slew: 3-1-1 +2.65
misteve: 3-2-1 +2.60
tblues2005: 2-0 +2.00
bbyhill: 2-0-1 +2.00
capitalist pig: 3-1 +1.90
Peyton2MarvinN06: 2-2 +1.87
rjt721: 3-3 +1.50
nevadaside: 1-0 +1.00
mv09: 1-0 +1.00
onlòóker: 1-0 +1.00
Mr Handicapable: 1-0 +1.00
icemantbi: 2-1-1 +0.90
old threads: 2-2 +0.19
nevadaside: 0-0-1 +0.00
undyingtruth: 1-1-1 -0.10
EJandV: 1-1 -0.10
Tchocky: 5-5-1 -0.50
Rusted Trombone: 0-1 -1.10
regularguy: 2-2 -1.30
area51steve: 2-3-1 -1.30
Dark Horse: 3-4-1 -1.40
EBone: 1-3-1 -1.65
Bigcrank23: 0-2-1 -2.20
whatifbets: 0-2 -2.20
bside: 1-3-1 -2.30
slacker00: 15-13-2 -2.27
dmiles1021: 1-1 -3.40
McBa1n: 0-1-2 -5.10
sonnythekid: 2-3-1 -13.00

[sonnythekid]

Monday (10-01-07)

* UNDER Nwe/Cin (52.5)













10* units

[SBR Lou]

Is it too late to get in on this bro? I've got one play for 10/1, New England -7. It's a big play.

[jrcaces]

steelers -6
5 units
cowboys - 12.5
5 units
Patriots -7
10 units

Big weekend / Monday night

[Illusion]

Is it too late to get in on this bro? I've got one play for 10/1, New England -7. It's a big play.

It's never too late, good luck.

[Tchocky]

These are my early leans:

1. Raiders at Miami - Under 41
2. Texans -3 at Atlanta
3. Ravens -4.5 at Cleveland, Over 39
4. Bears -3 at Detroit, Under 44
5. Packers -2 at Minnesota, Over 38.5
6. Rams at Dallas -11, Over 45
7. Jets -3 at Buffalo
8. Seahawks -1.5 at San Francisco
9. Steelers -5 at Arizona
10. Chiefs at San Diego -12, Over 40
11. Patriots -7 at Cincinnati, Over 52.5

[dmiles1021]

NE-7 *10 units
Steelers -6 *6 units
Dallas -12 *6 Units
Miami -4 *3 units

[swifty]

Browns +4.5 (3 Units - Money Pick)


Injuries: RAVENS: OUT: OT Jonathan Ogden, DE/OLB Trevor Pryce, LB Dan Cody. BROWNS: OUT: OT Ryan Tucker, C LeCharles Bentley, LB Willie McGinest.

The following is a conversation that is likely to happen on Sunday NFL Countdown, which is actually my favorite pre-game show:

Chris Berman: Now, we'll talk about the Browns, who are playing well since they traded away Charlie "French" Frye. Tom Jackson: Hahahahahaha! Emmitt Smith: I thinks the Browns is gonna be the first teams to goes 0-16! Berman: Well, I guess the win over the Bengals sort of doesn't count then. What do you think, coach? Mike Ditka: Viagra Cialis Chicago Bears Ricky Williams Da Bears Viagra Viagra Chicago Cialis Ricky Williams Viagra. Berman: Now, let's hear from our 10-year-old correspondent! Little Kid: Me went poopy in pants!

Speaking of "poopy in pants," how do you think Browns kicker Phil Dawson felt when his converted field goal was nullified by a Raiders time out? It's hard to imagine that Cleveland was a kick away from being 2-1. The team's doing much better than I expected; Derek Anderson, despite his horrendous completion percentage of 52, is managing games well; he has seven touchdowns to just four picks, and has only been sacked twice. Jamal Lewis is averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Kellen Winslow and Braylon Edwards continue to improve on a weekly basis. That said, I'm not sure if the Browns can score on Baltimore's defense. The Ravens are third against the run, so Lewis won't have nearly as much success on the ground as he did versus Cincinnati and Oakland. Anderson will be asked to beat Baltimore's secondary, which is a far cry from managing a game.

While Baltimore excels at stopping opposing ground attacks, Cleveland simply cannot contain them. The Browns are ranked 25th in that category. Look for a big day from Willis McGahee, who will eclipse the century mark for the first time in a purple-and-gold uniform (he had 97 and 98 yards against the Jets and Cardinals, respectively.) McGahee will set up play-action opportunities for the Steve McNair-Kyle Boller platoon. Either quarterback will have all day to throw; the Browns have managed a meager four sacks in three contests. And if Boller has to play the majority of this game, I wouldn't worry to much. Excluding the red-zone interception he had at Cincinnati, Boller has been efficient; he has a remarkable completion percentage (64.7), he's not throwing any picks (just that one) and he has only taken two sacks.

All signs point to Baltimore in the Game department. Two stars in this section doesn't meant all that much, however (check stats at the bottom of the page.) The matchups are built into the spread, so we have to look for an edge to determine the correct side. The public is pounding the Ravens, who are coming off an emotional, last-second victory. Add in the fact that the home team has dominated this series (Baltimore lost in Cleveland in 2005 and barely won, 15-14 in 2006), and the Browns are starting to look like a solid play. Maybe Matt Stover will have to kick a game-winning field goal twice - and actually convert the second time around.

[area51steve]

Ravens -4
Steelers -6
Giants +3
Lions +3
Houston ML -150
Patriots -7

[bueller]

+4.5 Cleveland
Do you think Baltimore can beat anyone by more than 3? Cleveland will out right win this!

[EGGY6199]

Seattle -2 over 49ers 6 units

Rams +13 over Dallas 1 unit

Lions +2.5 over Bears 1 unit

Eagles -2.5 over giants 2 units


2s from (3) 2 unit lines
Seattle -2
Lions +2.5
Eagles -2.5

Total stake 16 units

[bmac]

Texans -3 : 4 units
Ravens -4 : 2units
Bills +3.5 : 1 unit

BOL all

[SBR Lou]

It's never too late, good luck.

Thanks. Also for recording purposes, my play on NE -7 is 10 units.

[EGGY6199]

My latest and best play is:

Ravens -4
Colts -9.5
Bears game over 45

3 units 2 lines from 3

[EJandV]

Chargers - 11.5
Vikings +2
Panthers -3
Cowboys over 46

[regularguy]

2* Steelers -6
1* Cowboys -12
1* Packers -2
1* Patriots -7
1* Broncos +9.5

[old threads]

Patriots -6.5 -112 1/2 unit
Cowboys -12 -110 1/2 unit
Raiders +4.5 -110 1/2 unit
Oakland-Miami Over 40.5 -110 1/2 unit

[Seattle Slew]

Minnesota +2
Cleveland +4.5
Denver +10
Seattle ML -135
Arizona +6
Buffalo +3.5

[mv09]

Miami Dolphins -4
Atlanta Falcons +3
Minnesota Vikings +3
Seattle Seahawks -2½
Arizona Cardinals +6½
New England Patriots -7½

[slacker00]

205 Oakland Raiders +4 +101
206 Miami Dolphins -220
207 Houston Texans -2.5 -108
207 Houston Texans -134
210 Cleveland Browns +4 +100
209 Baltimore Ravens -220
212 Detroit Lions +2.5 +102
212 Detroit Lions +126
213 Green Bay Packers -1 -114
213 Green Bay Packers -120
215 St Louis Rams +13 -104
215 St Louis Rams +650
217 New York Jets -3.5 +105
217 New York Jets -176
220 Carolina Panthers -3 +111
220 Carolina Panthers -141
221 Seattle Seahawks -1 -121
221 Seattle Seahawks -129
224 Arizona Cardinals +6 -105
223 Pittsburgh Steelers -250
225 Kansas City Chiefs +11.5 -108
225 Kansas City Chiefs +560
228 Indianapolis Colts -10 -102
228 Indianapolis Colts -505
229 Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 -107
229 Philadelphia Eagles -131
231 New England Patriots -7.5 -102
231 New England Patriots -345

[emat]

SD -11.5
Chiefs O is awful and will be lucky to score 10. SD is due for a break out game.

[onlooker]

Vikings money line +110

[capitalist pig]

GB -2.0
TB ML +130
NYG ML +125

later

[bigjp5091]

GB -1
Chi -2.5 -120
Phi -2.5 -120
SD -11.5
TB +3
SF +2

[EBone]

I am possibly the worst NFL hanicapper in the history of mankind. So, as a public service, here are 3 I'm playing today:

San Diego -11.5 (1.1 units to win 1 unit)
Minnesota +105
NY Giants +120


Good luck to everyone today.



E

[tblues2005]

I think my best bet today is Dallas at -13. Rams will be happy to score 10 points today.

I like Indianapolis -10 today, Denver hasn't been playing that great so far this year and they have gotten hit hard by the injury bug too.
My upset pick is Cleveland at +4, they could give Baltimore problems. I think Minnesota could give Green Bay problems also.

[icemantbi]

Dallas -12
San Fran +1
Pitt -6
Denver +10
New England -7

[yipper24]

minn+1..............3*
bills +3 1/2..........3*
detroit +2 1/2........3*
airz +6..................5*

atlanta/hoston over 39........10*


gl

[bigdog3580]

Arizona +5 1/2. They have enough offense to keep it close. Another sold out stadium. Hopefully no Hines Ward. AZ has played all 3 games this season with a final score within 3 points either way. I see this game as no different than those.

Again take AZ PLUS the 5 1/2.

[tblues2005]

bigdog,

I think your got a good selection there too, Arizona should play tough at home today.

[whatifbets]

Quite a few today, tracking on my website:

CLE+4
NYG+3
MIN+1
SF+2
KC+12
DEN+10

[TheAmazings]

Jets -3
Bears -2 1/2

Panthers -2 1/2
Seahawks -2
Steelers -5 1/2

[nevadaside]

0.5* PHI/NYG+3
0.5* PHI/NYG+1.5 1stH

[misteve]

GB/Minn OVER 38 (3 units)
Balt/Clev. UNDER 41 (3 units)
Buff +3.5 (2 units)
GLTA