2017 NFL System - JM and Modified

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  • imotiv8
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-28-09
    • 892

    #1
    2017 NFL System - JM and Modified
    Let's get this started again. Who can post?
  • imotiv8
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-28-09
    • 892

    #2
    The system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

    MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play.
    we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.
    Comment
    • Geezy42
      SBR Rookie
      • 08-08-17
      • 7

      #3
      Is this system running or in a diff. area?
      Comment
      • betwithdaniel
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-27-16
        • 956

        #4
        Sorry, I had the wrong info.
        Last edited by betwithdaniel; 09-30-17, 12:55 PM.
        Comment
        • jcygts6
          SBR MVP
          • 04-05-09
          • 3316

          #5
          Browns and Giants are not Plays. Both need to lose 3 Straight against the Spread.
          DO WORK + KROW OD
          do work! do work! do work! do work!
          od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
          Comment
          • betwithdaniel
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-27-16
            • 956

            #6
            Originally posted by jcygts6
            Browns and Giants are not Plays. Both need to lose 3 Straight against the Spread.
            Thanks for checking. The website I was using had the wrong scores.
            Comment
            • ScorpionSnow
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-16-15
              • 148

              #7
              Teams that lost 3 SU & 3 ATS

              Plays for the weekend 8 oct

              Cleveland A
              LA Chargers A
              Comment
              • rikablack
                SBR MVP
                • 04-13-10
                • 1147

                #8
                Here are the Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:
                Cleveland Browns (A)

                Los Angeles Chargers (B)

                Always bet on the point spread if the team you're betting on is the underdog (which happens most of the time), and on the money line if the team you're betting for is the favorite. An underdog team will always have a positive number in the point spread, while a favorite will always have a negative number in the point spread.
                Note that if you're betting on the point spread, then as long as the team you're betting on is able to cover the point spread, you will win your wager, regardless if they had won or lost the game. For example, if your team has a point spread of +6, and they end up losing the game by 5 points, then you'd win the bet since your team did not lose by more than 6 points.
                Comment
                • imotiv8
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-28-09
                  • 892

                  #9
                  JM NBA 2017-18
                  NBA betting and handicapping forum: discuss basketball picks, NBA odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results.
                  Comment
                  • BrewMan
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-21-13
                    • 146

                    #10
                    I was trying to check the history of this system and see that Cleveland, San Francisco and St. Louis each lost 7 or more consecutive games SU and ATS last year.

                    That's too many losses if I'm playing a three game chase system.

                    Correct me if I'm missing something.
                    Comment
                    • BrewMan
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-21-13
                      • 146

                      #11
                      Per http://sportsdatabase.com
                      Comment
                      • brian311
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-05-15
                        • 2700

                        #12
                        Modified System

                        System Record

                        A: 1 - 1
                        B: 0 - 0
                        C: 0 - 0

                        Units Won (Lost): 1


                        Week 5 Plays
                        A – Baltimore record 2-2 (.500) WIN

                        A – Oakland record 2-2 (.500) LOSS

                        Week 6 Plays
                        B – Oakland


                        Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

                        Special Circumstances:

                        (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

                        (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

                        Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.
                        Comment
                        • brian311
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-05-15
                          • 2700

                          #13
                          Catching this up. Let me know if I missed anything.
                          Comment
                          • rikablack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-13-10
                            • 1147

                            #14
                            Here are the Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:

                            Oakland Raiders (A)

                            Cleveland Browns (B)

                            Always bet on the point spread if the team you're betting on is the underdog (which happens most of the time), and on the money line if the team you're betting for is the favorite. An underdog team will always have a positive number in the point spread, while a favorite will always have a negative number in the point spread.

                            Note that if you're betting on the point spread, then as long as the team you're betting on is able to cover the point spread, you will win your wager, regardless if they had won or lost the game. For example, if your team has a point spread of +6, and they end up losing the game by 5 points, then you'd win the bet since your team did not lose by more than 6 points.
                            The only times when you should pass on betting on a team is when they have already been eliminated from the playoff race. If a team cannot statistically make the playoffs regardless of your performance for the remainder of the season, then don’t wager on them. You can check to see what teams are still alive for the playoffs, and which teams have been eliminated from the playoffs race each season by going to:

                            Get the latest 2024 NFL Playoff Picture seeds and scenarios. See the full NFL conference standings and wild card teams as if the season ended today.
                            Comment
                            • brian311
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-05-15
                              • 2700

                              #15
                              Modified System

                              System Record

                              A: 1 - 1
                              B: 0 - 1
                              C: 0 - 0

                              Units Won (Lost): 1


                              Week 6 Results

                              B – Oakland - LOSS

                              Week 7 Plays
                              C – Oakland
                              A – Atlanta record 3-2 (.600)
                              A – Detroit record 3-3 (.500)


                              Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

                              Special Circumstances:

                              (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

                              (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

                              Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.
                              Comment
                              • rikablack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-13-10
                                • 1147

                                #16
                                Here are the Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:
                                Oakland Raiders (B)

                                Cleveland Browns (C)
                                Comment
                                • brian311
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-05-15
                                  • 2700

                                  #17
                                  Modified System

                                  System Record

                                  A: 1 - 1
                                  B: 0 - 1
                                  C: 1 - 0

                                  Units Won (Lost): 2


                                  Week 7 Results

                                  C – Oakland - WIN

                                  Week 7 Plays
                                  A – Atlanta record 3-2 (.600)



                                  Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

                                  Special Circumstances:

                                  (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

                                  (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

                                  Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.
                                  Last edited by brian311; 10-20-17, 12:33 PM. Reason: removed detroit, will add to week 8 plays
                                  Comment
                                  • brian311
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-05-15
                                    • 2700

                                    #18
                                    Modified System

                                    System Record

                                    A: 1 - 2
                                    B: 0 - 1
                                    C: 1 - 0

                                    Units Won (Lost):
                                    2


                                    Week 7 Results
                                    C – Oakland - WIN
                                    A – Atlanta - LOSS

                                    Week 8 Plays
                                    B – Atlanta
                                    A – Kansas City (.714)
                                    A – Carolina (.571)
                                    A – Green Bay (.571)
                                    A – Detroit (.500)
                                    A – Denver (.500)


                                    Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

                                    Special Circumstances:

                                    (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

                                    (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

                                    Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.
                                    Comment
                                    • brian311
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-05-15
                                      • 2700

                                      #19
                                      Correction:
                                      Green Bay should be a week 9 play.
                                      Comment
                                      • rkelly110
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 10-05-09
                                        • 39691

                                        #20
                                        Good job brian. I was doing this on my own. Glad I saw this.
                                        Comment
                                        • rikablack
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-13-10
                                          • 1147

                                          #21
                                          Here are the Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:
                                          Tampa Bay {A}

                                          Atlanta {A}
                                          Comment
                                          • brian311
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-05-15
                                            • 2700

                                            #22
                                            Modified System

                                            System Record

                                            A: 3 - 4
                                            B: 1 - 1
                                            C: 1 - 0

                                            Units Won (Lost): 5


                                            Week 8 Results
                                            B – Atlanta - WIN
                                            A – Kansas City - WIN
                                            A – Carolina - WIN
                                            A – Detroit - LOSS
                                            A – Denver - LOSS

                                            Week 9 Plays
                                            A – Green Bay (.571)
                                            B – Detroit
                                            B - Denver


                                            Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

                                            Special Circumstances:

                                            (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

                                            (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

                                            Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.
                                            Comment
                                            • rikablack
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-13-10
                                              • 1147

                                              #23
                                              Here are the Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:
                                              Detroit {A}

                                              Denver {A}

                                              Tampa Bay {B}

                                              Comment
                                              • rikablack
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-13-10
                                                • 1147

                                                #24
                                                Here are the Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:
                                                Detroit {A}

                                                Denver {A}

                                                Tampa Bay {B}
                                                Comment
                                                • brian311
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-05-15
                                                  • 2700

                                                  #25
                                                  Modified System

                                                  System Record

                                                  A: 3 - 5
                                                  B: 2 - 2
                                                  C: 1 - 0

                                                  Units Won (Lost): 6


                                                  Week 9 Results
                                                  A – Green Bay – LOSS
                                                  B – Detroit – WIN
                                                  B – Denver - LOSS

                                                  Week 10 Plays
                                                  B – Green Bay
                                                  C – Denver


                                                  Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

                                                  Special Circumstances:

                                                  (1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

                                                  (2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

                                                  Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rikablack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-13-10
                                                    • 1147

                                                    #26
                                                    Here are the Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season :

                                                    Green Bay {A}

                                                    San Francisco {A}

                                                    Denver {B}

                                                    Tampa Bay {C}
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dougefresh
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 11-05-10
                                                      • 20

                                                      #27
                                                      49ers .500 or better?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ergo19
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 06-18-12
                                                        • 178

                                                        #28
                                                        This week:

                                                        Miami {A} bet

                                                        NY Giants {A} bet
                                                        Denver {C} bet
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rebelson
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 124

                                                          #29
                                                          Correct me if I'm wrong but none of these teams records are at .500 or better.
                                                          Miami .444
                                                          NY Giants .111
                                                          Denver .333
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rikablack
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-13-10
                                                            • 1147

                                                            #30
                                                            The Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:

                                                            Miami {A}

                                                            NY Giants {A}
                                                            Denver {C}
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BrewMan
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 08-21-13
                                                              • 146

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by rikablack
                                                              The Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:

                                                              Miami {A}

                                                              NY Giants {A}
                                                              Denver {C}
                                                              Miami and NYG are not plays because they are not > .500. Denver is a play because their record was > .500 when they started the chase.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JustTheSportsTip
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 09-20-16
                                                                • 14

                                                                #32
                                                                There are 2 different betting systems going on in this thread. I do them on my own, earlier in the week and check here on occasion to compare. I'm not going to go into details but this thread is not the best for a number of reasons. But to the points about the games this week.

                                                                MIA and NYG are A plays because they have lost 3 in a row SU and against the spread. (Could argue MIAs 2nd loss was a push). This is the "invincible" system.

                                                                There is another system for the teams that are above .500 and have lost 2 in a row, like the Bills have coming into this week. This is the modified system.

                                                                Please see post #2.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Ergo19
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 06-18-12
                                                                  • 178

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thanks for making that crystal clear!

                                                                  The invincible system sees 2 bets this Sunday:

                                                                  Buffalo {A} bet

                                                                  Miami {B} bet

                                                                  Goodlluck.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • imotiv8
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 12-28-09
                                                                    • 892

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Seems like Miami would be an A bet
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ergo19
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 06-18-12
                                                                      • 178

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by imotiv8
                                                                      Seems like Miami would be an A bet
                                                                      Wasn't Miami a loss in week 11? That was the A bet.
                                                                      Comment
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