NFL week 3 - Fade of the week

SBR Lou · 09-19-07, 09:25 PM

The Saints already used up all my believe in them points, so I wouldn't touch their side with a ten foot pole. They need to prove they can find a rhythm and be able to play against a cover 2 d.

imgv94 · 09-20-07, 02:44 AM

I don't understand whats going on here?

Dark Horse · 09-21-07, 01:30 PM

Based on teams expected to come in with low intensity. Flat teams. I'm fading Arizona for week 3.

BAL -7 -115 (bought 1/2 pt)

Will probably add another unit on BAL 1H, depending on what line I can get.

rugbybdyb · 09-21-07, 01:58 PM

thanks for the update

austintx05 · 09-21-07, 02:59 PM

Wouldn't Dallas be in a flat spot and not the Bears?

imgv94 · 09-21-07, 03:02 PM

Can you explain what you are trying to do here?

Dark Horse · 09-21-07, 03:36 PM

check your pm

austintx05 · 09-21-07, 04:12 PM

nothing there

pegasis0066 · 09-21-07, 05:08 PM

I share this philisophy and believe it to be an excellent betting strategy.

I believe the NFL is as much a game of emotion as it is physical or talented. I am a huge Bengals fan, but I really thought the Bengals would be challenged last week to cover - never thought they would give up 51 and lose outright, but nonetheless they faded, badly.

I think you see this type of thing in the NFL all the time, especially among the average teams. I believe the better teams fade less, but do occasionally fade. NE this week might fade a degree coming off a big MNF game against rival SD - this on top of giving 16.5 to Buffalo, who hasn't one yet.

My fade of the week is Cleveland:

- coming off a big, big home win
- traveling to the west coast
- playing an 0-2 Oakland team desperate for a win
- paying in the black hole

ritehook · 09-21-07, 07:33 PM

Agree with the Dark Horse on fading Browns and Cardinals. (I also bought the hook, on both games actually.}

Have also faded Tampa. Only 3 bets, but am considering two more in NFL, fading SD (agree) and the Jets.

And, by jiminy, maybe Norv is a big downgrade after all!

ritehook · 09-21-07, 07:36 PM

Tho I don't put a lot of stock in most injury reports, unless they're multiple and mostly on the defensive side.

The books are fast in factoring injury/suspension into the line.

Dark Horse · 09-21-07, 10:05 PM

I see now that I was unclear. In my first post I mentioned three earlier games from the season. They're not fades. They were.