Week 3 NFL - The Chart

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  • nep1293
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-27-07
    • 443

    #1
    Week 3 NFL - The Chart
    Week 2 Record (12-3-1 , 80%)
    Yearly Record (17-12-3, 58.62%)

    A fantastic Week 2 gets us to where we want to be, around the 58% mark. I'm still a little ticked about Week 1. That should have been at worst a break even week. I screwed that up.


    WEEK 3 PICKS
    Colts (-6) @ Texans .....72.03%
    Chargers (-3.5) @ Packers .....50.62%
    Vikings (+2) @ Chiefs .....62.67%
    Lions (+6.5) @ Eagles ..... 56.73%
    Bills (+14) @ Patriots .....72.29%
    Dolphins (+3) @ Jets .....58.39%
    49ers @ Steelers (-8.5) .....60.14%
    Cardinals @ Ravens (-9) .....57.87%
    Rams (+3) @ Buccaneers .....58.39%
    Jaguars @ Broncos (-3.5) .....69.43%
    Bengals (+3) @ Seahawks .....58.39%
    Browns @ Raiders (-3.5) .....69.43%
    Panthers (-3.5) @ Falcons .....50.62%
    Giants @ Redskins (-4) ..... 56.38%
    Cowboys (+3) @ Bears .....58.39%
    Titans (+5) @ Saints .....56.81%
  • austintx05
    SBR MVP
    • 08-24-06
    • 3156

    #2
    what do these %'s mean?
    Comment
    • Tchocky
      SBR MVP
      • 02-14-06
      • 2371

      #3
      I like most of your picks. What is the percentage next to your pick? If the percentage is higher, then do you feel the greater the probability?
      Comment
      • nep1293
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-27-07
        • 443

        #4
        The percentages are the outcomes of similar games from the last 5 years based on the opening lines. They are the expected win % for each game.

        Check out this post from NCAA Football week 1 and it goes into a lot more detail

        Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


        In theory, the higher percent means a better play. But the chart is designed to play the entire board, not pick and choose games.
        Comment
        • paul Mordeeb
          SBR High Roller
          • 05-12-07
          • 220

          #5
          " designed to play the entire board! " I like your thinking! Anyone who can use the words " entire board " in any post is worth reading!!!!

          You know who the biggest play is every other saturday???? Hawaii or the team their playing!!!!!!
          Comment
          • nep1293
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-27-07
            • 443

            #6
            Originally posted by paul Mordeeb
            " designed to play the entire board! " I like your thinking! Anyone who can use the words " entire board " in any post is worth reading!!!!

            You know who the biggest play is every other saturday???? Hawaii or the team their playing!!!!!!
            This is my favorite aspect of the system. I think it's a blast to have a bet on every game. Not exactly what most gamblers would recommend but it seems to work for me.
            Comment
            • nep1293
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-27-07
              • 443

              #7
              certainly not a good day, it doesnt help when half the teams are blowing double digit leads. we'll get em next week i guess.
              Comment
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