Best Bets: Sunday September 16th, 2007

[DaColts]

I agree Bears or nothing you cant bet KC and like it 12 is a lot of points but houston be them by 17

[whatifbets]

Only one pick today: SF+3 (I realize I'm going against the grain on this one, but that's not always a bad thing...)

[bigdog3580]

Going with the Colts-Titans OVER 45.5. Should be a shootout, correct?

[DaColts]

should be so it will proably go under. Colts have had trouble with this team but will win today.

[betplom]

Going with the Colts-Titans OVER 45.5. Should be a shootout, correct?

Tenn runs alot, which eats up time on the clock, which IMHO makes over 45.5 more difficult.

[slacker00]

Pittsburgh Steelers-460
Cincinnati Bengals-315
Indianapolis Colts-300
Houston Texans+265
San Francisco 49ers+140
Green Bay Packers+140
Jacksonville Jaguars-520
New Orleans Saints-240

ML plays. I'm forcing myself to bet every game, as an exercise. Favs bet to win 1 unit, dogs bet 1 unit.

Don't worry, Illusion, I'll grade my own plays in this thread.

[slacker00]

Detroit Lions-165
Dallas Cowboys-184
Seattle Seahawks-138
Baltimore Ravens -455
Denver Broncos-455
Chicago Bears-625
New England Patriots-191

Lines are current at Pinnacle.

[mr softy]

seattle -3 5 units
dallas -3.5 5 units

[Spyder31]

still on the edge of my seat, but still have roof over my head

[HAPPY BOY]

seattle -3 5 units
dallas -3.5 5 units

Call me Mr Stiffy I'd like to introduce myself to the chick on your avatar. I'd rock her world in 2 minutes. Then I'd go get a bowl of Frosted Flakes and go to sleep. She would be pregnant off course and give birth in 3 months. Then she'd say Mr Softy was the dad.

[SportNut]

seattle -3 5 units
dallas -3.5 5 units

Nice Avatar!

[Spyder31]

go kc

[Spyder31]

I knew chicago wasnt that good

[slacker00]

201 Buffalo Bills +10 -112 [loss -1.12]
203 Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 -111 [loss -1.11]
206 Tennessee Titans +7 -106 [win +1.00]
207 Houston Texans +6.5 -102 [win +1.00]
209 San Francisco 49ers +3.5 -108 [win +1.00]
211 Green Bay Packers +1 +101 [win +1.01]
214 Jacksonville Jaguars -10.5 +104 [loss -1.00]
215 New Orleans Saints -3.5 -104 [loss -1.04]
218 Detroit Lions -3 -108 [push +-0.00]
219 Dallas Cowboys -3.5 -107 [win +1.00]
221 Seattle Seahawks -3 +104 [loss -1.00]
224 Baltimore Ravens -10 +100 [loss -1.00]
225 Oakland Raiders +10 -111 [win +1.00]
227 Kansas City Chiefs +12 +100 [win +1.00]
230 New England Patriots -3.5 -105 [win +1.00]


I'm forcing myself to pick every game ATS, as an exercise.

I don't believe in the 1 star, 2 star, etc BS. If you like the pick, play it, otherwise don't.

Lines are current from Pinnacle.

ATS: +8-6=1, +1.74 units

[slacker00]

Pittsburgh Steelers-460 [win +1.00]
Cincinnati Bengals-315 [loss -3.15]
Indianapolis Colts-300 [win +1.00]
Houston Texans+265 [win +2.65]
San Francisco 49ers+140 [win +1.40]
Green Bay Packers+140 [win +1.40]
Jacksonville Jaguars-520 [win +1.00]
New Orleans Saints-240 [loss -2.40]

ML plays. I'm forcing myself to bet every game, as an exercise. Favs bet to win 1 unit, dogs bet 1 unit.

Don't worry, Illusion, I'll grade my own plays in this thread.

Detroit Lions-165 [win +1.00]
Dallas Cowboys-184 [win +1.00]
Seattle Seahawks-138 [loss -1.38]
Baltimore Ravens -455 [win +1.00]
Denver Broncos-455 [win +1.00]
Chicago Bears-625 [win +1.00]
New England Patriots-191 [win +1.00]


Lines are current at Pinnacle.

ML plays: +7.52 units

[EBone]

Adding: San Diego ML +170 (1 unit to win 1.7 units). Good luck to all.



E

[Illusion]

Sunday Week Two Results:

Illusion: 7-1 +17.70
slacker00: 20-9-1 +9.26
moneyplays: 2-6 -35.00
rjt721: 1-0 +2.60
Peyton2MarvinN06: 3-1-1 +1.90
Spyder31: 1-0 +1.00
whatifbets: 1-0 +1.00
EBone: 2-2 -0.10
thockedog: 1-1 -0.10
shrax4: 3-3 -0.30
mr softy: 1-1 -0.50
old threads: 1-2-1 -0.55
onlòóker: 0-1 -1.10
bigdog3580: 0-1 -1.10
eglickman: 0-1 -1.10
sonnythekid: 2-2 -0.20
jrcaces: 1-3 -2.30
EJandV: 2-4 -2.40
GitRDone: 3-6-1 -3.60
misteve: 0-2 -5.50
RageWizard: 0-1 -8.80
EGGY6199: 1-6 -11.90

[Illusion]

25 star cincy -6.5 This is going to be a slaughter!
25 star Phili -7 Bouncing back off the loss @ Home!
25 star Car -6.5 Carolina is back and will make a playoff run!

10 star STL -3 Bouncing back off the loss @ Home!

5 star NO -3 Bouncing back off the loss!
5 star OAK -10 Too many Points!
5 star O/U - OAK/DEN Taking the UNDER 38.5

2 star new england -3 Norv Turner kills SD's chances.
2 star Tennessee +8 Running game is too much for Indy and they always play them tight @home.

BOL,
mp

When grading, 10 units is the max per game. Your 25 plays were counted as 10.

[old threads]

Sorry that I didn't read the rules to good either maybe cause I'm just posting my real plays on my 2 units I play each Sunday in the NFL. Not a good week either way no matter how you counted it. Do I still post my 1/2 unit plays or anything I play you want to just do 1 unit? And thanks for keeping track of this.

[Illusion]

You can post 1/2 uints, that isn't a problem.

[EGGY6199]

1 star Bengals -6.5 to beat Browns.

- Okay Bengals D got some turnovers in the last one due to poor Raven play. The off has some injury issues and the browns are at home and must be looking to bounce back. The fact remains the bengals are better so must be considered.

2 star Panthers -6.5 to beat Houston

Okay houston won but they didn't make great yardage against a poor team. The cheifs matched them in this area. Of course Houston have some weapons but as a whole unit they are average at best. Panthers looked good against Rams and are again playing a team they should be able to run against or burn with Steve Smith. They are at home and have a good D. I see them by 10+

2 star Saints -3.5 over TB

I thought Tamapa where better than expected and they can stop the run. This isn't the certain result many on here believe it to be. The Saints are away and have to prove they are a class act this year and not a flash in the pan.

2 star Dallas -3.5 over Miami

This one I really like. Miami are crap. To win this the dallas secondary will need to be as bad as it looked the other night and they will need to stop an off lead by Romo which can run and pass well. If Dallas are a possibe big show team they will need to show it here. Betting against Miami the only worry is the Dallas Secondary.

3 star Broncos -10 over Oakland

Oakland will need to stack against the run and Denver are built to run the ball. The Oakland off put some points up against the Lion D however they could not do it when it was really needed. I expect Henry to run in 3TDs in this one and the Denver D to keep Oakland down to under 10. Never like this many points though.

1 star Bears -12 over Cheifs

Can't see how the Cheifs are going to score more than 6 in this one. However the Bear scoring 12 points is a worry never mind 12 more than the team they are playing. Will be playing the under here for sure

3 star Seattle -3 over Cards

Okay Seattle are away but I believe in all the key areas Seattle match up very well aginst the cards. The Cards will not run the ball well enough against the Seahawks D and will be forced to throw. The only chance they have of a win is passing to victory which might happen.

Early thoughts

In order to understand how I lost so big last week i am taking a look at this.

Bengals Play 1 star. my comments show what i really though about this bet hence learn to leave

Panthers 2 star: 14-0 watching the game I though yes this looks good. Wow houston then played well. Houston beware ****

Saints 2 star bet on them from last season when they preformed better than expected. Leave them alone this year is the call. Or lay against them as that secondary sucks

Dallas 2 star would have been my big play bar those pre game injuries

Denver let their play drop off should have covered.

Bears: I knew better

Cards: well this would have covered bar that last play. Right call bad luck