I do agree with your principles stated and it really all comes down to when to apply them , what day , what week . etc panthers was just an example really .
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There is definitely some degree of subjectivity. I use the method because I believe in it and have had success using it. It is definitely not for everyone.Comment -
I thought of wagering every u-dog plus the pts on single wagers this morning , but as quickly as it was a brainstorm with life it was poof like smoke .Comment -
u know i put ur theory when betting cinci. but then...i thought even if its a sucker bet there's no way browns can outscore cinci by a touchdown. guess who was wrong...Comment -
ahhh little light shine on
The lines are basically the same year after year ,you can only make a team favored by so much . If it is 4 or 5.5 that is just a game to make you play with your own thoughts and ultimately to trick us etc etc I dont have enough room to tell you everything along those lines , omg . Today in the nfl it was OFFICIALLY YES FACTUALLY 11 - 3 UNDERDOGS with 1 push on the lions -3 . ( Note : this is the nfl was the same last year with the dogs dominating certain weeks and as is LIKE NATURE BALANCED IN THE RESULT AT THE END OF THE DAY more than the lopsided result like today )Your post reminds me of a quote I heard which is has always stuck with me. (paraphrasing) "The key to sports betting is not knowing what the line is but knowing what the line should be." The idea is that when you can spot the difference between what the line is and what it should be, it helps you to determine what the traps are.
For example, if a team is favored by 5 when they should be favored by 8 and there's no injuries or anything to account for the difference, you better be on "trap alert".
Forget everything you heard , everything to twist up reality ,pretend you are flipping a pancake , okay ? you are cooking in the kitchen , it would be fine to flip the pancake one way , we dont have to re-invent ways of cooking and flipping the pancakes !!!!!!!!!!! ( there is no need to reinvent the lines in sports WHEN THEY FIRST COME OUT they are basically the same year after year ) okay ? Soooo , look at the 11 - 3 dog domination from today . do you see it ? This is for everyone not just you whoever you are RB . okay we all sickly see the 11 - 3 dogs ats . Nowwwwwww , ask yourself what the pointspreads really meant ? There were 5 fav wins su not covering the spread . HOW DO WE ACCOUNT FOR THE 6 FAVS THAT WERE LOSERS STRAIGHT UP ? How could these teams be favored if the line really meant something and LOSE ? Ask yourself this question >>> what does a team being minus pts mean when they cant even win straight up ? What the fukk is a spread in the nfl ? What value does it really have if it is the same year after year . Is the same thing in all sports , is the same year after year . The linesmakers at each sportsbook play with them to **** with people . IF YOU DONT BELIEVE THAT THEN YOU HAVE TO ANSWER ONE SIMPLE QUESTION TO MAKE ME BELIEVE YOU KNOW WHAT YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT . OKAY ? Who was the linesmaker on duty at your sportsbook today if you wager online ?????? How many of those guys were working at your sb ? Like most people you dont know , you just maintain a faith that it is on the up an up . Kinda like people dont give a shit who is behind the plate calling balls and strikes or who the refs are in any sport . We take alot of things for granted and have a trust factor .
When in all reality these people are trying to take food out of Lil JJ's mouth .
the sbs want to crush us like we want to crush them . .gif "Poker(1)")
ps . remember dont try and look at it with the there is an excpetion to every rule thing , the spreads didnt mean shit TODAY if they did most people would have made money today . Of course you can find good examples where the line made sense today and through history , soooo what !!! Thats not the big picture of it , is reaching and makes no sense . We are talking about the nfl here to by the way . Other sports would really make this topic off the chain hilarious .
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So long a puzzle to some , what does all this mean ? It means a person can learn more than they think they already know , just because we were taught one way does in no way mean we were taught right . This world is one that is famous for being misinformed . Yes , and tricked on a daily .
ooohhh , lines should be this and that ? So the pats should have been around 14 pt favs sunday night , ahhhh , they won by 24 pts , okay within 7 of the final ? They should have been 17 pts favs .
Nice job oddsmakers , the man really could have cleaned up if the linewas 17 , every one from your bookie to your pastor would be on SD + 17 . hahahaha yeah yeah the line makes sense . %$@ the door .Comment -
Confucious say he who go to bed with itchy butt wake up with smelly finger...Comment -
crackerjack , I dont see the relevance to your analogy maybe you could try and break it dowwwwn for me . It makes sense you would be on the skins by your confucious thinking . Most likely >>> You are just one person in the brainwashed %%%% , what you saw yesterday with all the dogs being $ thats why you like the redskins today . your analogy related to bs lines in sports that are IN REALITY no better than 55% when they show . you need a different analogy here .
AHHH , WHY DO YOU LIKE WASH ?Comment -
this is wifey I thought hubby meant YOU needed to wash your hands when I read WASH in caps LOLComment -
So here we are late monday night with the fav lover / the tuned in media lover / the power is a fav lover thinking just wtf just happened in the nfl these last 2 days .
Well , I am not happy at all about it being an unbalanced showing and I just want you all to know that this week 2 has nothing to do with what the results will be in week 3 .
If only 3 favs cover in week 3 that would have to be a huge blow to anyone with reasonable thinking for the most part .
To think there are people that act like they have it figured out really makes this communication mute .
I see a more balanced fav/dog result for week 3 and will strategize making my selections to wager according to this likely balanced result.
Must Note . It was 10 - 3 dogs with a push this time last year in week 3 of the NFL , howver it was 8 - 6 favs straight up.Comment -
Week 2 (2007) nfl results equaled >>> favs 8 dogs 8 su
dogs 12 favs 3 ats with a push on Det
I need a big week 3 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Comment -
Week 3 of last year the only 3 favs to cover were the redskins , seahawks and eagles . amazing huh .
Yes , this was last year and the odds are not in favor of this being duplicated in any form whatsoever .
In fact I think alot of people will play the dogs in week 3 because of week 2 and will not be too happy .
Buuttttttttttt what do I know . I had the favs for week 2 and lost money .Comment -
I must add that I am a huuuuuuuuuugeeeee believer in creating an ADVANTAGE and thus defying reality with the point spreads . I totaly agree with the teasers and creating that advantage for easy winning wagers .
The return is not as good of course but it is oohhh so much better than losing your money .Comment
