2010-2011 Super Bowl futures

[slacker00]

I did this poll last year. I'll do it again this year. Something to bump occasionally in the NFL offseason.

[whatsgood5]

Skins at 55-1 seems like great value. By the time free-agency is over and we sign a bunch of high profile players, we'll be up to about 30-1. Happens every year with Snyder writing the checks.

[slacker00]

I like the Titans(30:1), Texans(32:1), Jags(55:1). It just seems like some monster odds for those 3 capable teams.

Plus with that kind of hold, I want at least 30x payback.



p.s. I got the odds for this poll from Bodog.

[kjus1]

im actually surpsied at the Patriots being at 1000 considering brady will be back to 100% and after draft we will have a younger D just seems like people will over look the Patriots this upcoming year

[bpw6]

Nice! This is interesting

[icancount2one]

Packers/Eagles/Baltimore. Take your pick.

I think all three should return to the playoffs this year at the very least.

[therber2]

Chargers seems nice. I'm sure they'll fix their little Finkle thing :-)

[Jonah]

I like Chargers(optimistic bout off season moves) and Packers.

[jerseykingpin]

the vegas lines

"

[jerseykingpin]

im actually surpsied at the Patriots being at 1000 considering brady will be back to 100% and after draft we will have a younger D just seems like people will over look the Patriots this upcoming year

There no more spy gate they been showing their not a real team without a tape of the other teams signs

[GunShard]

Interesting. I chose Colts, Saints and Steelers.

The Texans seems like a better team than the Giants and Titans to make it to playoffs. The Patriots rookie defense makes me not want to bet on them.

The Chargers lost thier RB to free agent and CB to the Jets, thier team is weakened. Kinda like how the Giants lost thier two WRs who were superbowl champs, Titans lost Albert Haynesworth and defensive coordinator, obviously took a toll on thier defense. The Saints losing SS Darren Sharper could effect thier defense. If Troy Polomalu busts his leg again during most of the games, Steelers won't make it to playoffs again.

That's how I view this, lol.

I need to see if Tim Tebow and Sam Bradford can play well in the NFL. There has never been a rookie QB to win the Superbowl, so I should fade the teams that they join.

[Parkinho]

I like the odds on the Titans and also the Cowboys to a degree.

[Rig]

Broncos and ravens I like

[jsbarron]

If the Vikings can grab Mcnabb I think they have a pretty good shot at making it

[whatsgood5]

If the Vikings can grab Mcnabb I think they have a pretty good shot at making it

Haven't even heard them in the discussion for McNabb, but IMO, that'd be a downgrade from Favre if he does retire...

[slacker00]

Westbrook to Minny seems like a perfect fit, to me.

[DeluxeLiner]

Texans...great value? try making the playoffs first in a pretty decent division.

[slacker00]

Texans...great value? try making the playoffs first in a pretty decent division.

When did the Saints last make the playoffs? They've got a ring. How about the Cardinals a year prior. They were one play away from a ring. Always betting on the big favorites is a big mistake.

The Texans are right on the verge of being a great team. The division is tough, I agree. But battling these quality teams within their division over the years has only made them stronger. If they can get into the playoffs, they can make a run.

[jackny]

Like Texans and my Giants.

[BigdaddyQH]

I voted for value only. Certainly Minny at 14/1 has to be considered. I also like Atlanta at 30/1, seeing as NFC South Champs never repeat. For the AFC, I opted for Baltimore at 20/1. To me, those are the best values, though I do not think that the Ravens and Falcons really have a great shot.

[slacker00]

I voted for value only. Certainly Minny at 14/1 has to be considered. I also like Atlanta at 30/1, seeing as NFC South Champs never repeat. For the AFC, I opted for Baltimore at 20/1. To me, those are the best values, though I do not think that the Ravens and Falcons really have a great shot.

Great analysis, BigdaddyQH. I agree 100%. Falcons were looking good to finish the season. I like teams like that. Ravens can win in the playoffs. Vikings are a tremendous team all around.

[BigdaddyQH]

I have been known to take a wager or two. My biggest money makers is laying the odds that the mythical BCS Champion and the Super Bowl Champs do not repeat. That is pretty easy money now a days. This year is even better, because you have both Indy and New Orleans under 10/1 along with those perrenial losers from San Diego, at 9/1. I love fading teams that have never won a superbowl at short odds. San Diego has been another big money maker in the past two years. When I make futures wagers, I always look for value because these are nothing more than crap shoots this early in the year.

[GunShard]

The Colts haven't won since 2007 and I heard that teams who lost at the Superbowl the year before never won the year after. I would feel stupid if the Colts broke this trend and won the Superbowl for the second time with Peyton Manning.

I believe the Saints may have the potential to be the next Patriots and Steelers. Unless thier 2010 Superbowl run were all lucky wins.

I think the good value bet right now are on the Redskins and Vikings. When preseason comes around, I'll bet the Saints and Steelers.

[slacker00]

So far the poll is a fairly even spread. No favorites are jumping out right now.

One thing I've noticed is nobody seems to like the Cowboys, Giants or Bengals. These teams aren't that far away.

[kjus1]

This draft is looking extremely great for any team that needs to improve and so far alot of bad teams have improved greatly especially the lions and look to be getting a dominating Defensive player at the 2nd pick

[filter15]

you mean suh??

[msec512]

I like the Steelers at 12/1 from the AFC. And if Favre comes back, I like the Vikings.

[Zou_fan]

I like the Pack at 14/1. I think Rodgers is only getting better

[jmanis25]

yea this will be cool to look at around week 5 and beyond

[Cookie Monster]

Ravens at 20:1 or more is a great value.

[slacker00]

Here's a predraft odds update.

Odds to win the 2011 Super Bowl XLV All wagers have action.
Arizona Cardinals 35/1
Atlanta Falcons 30/1
Baltimore Ravens 20/1
Buffalo Bills 100/1
Carolina Panthers 35/1
Chicago Bears 35/1
Cincinnati Bengals 30/1
Cleveland Browns 100/1
Dallas Cowboys 11/1
Denver Broncos 50/1
Detroit Lions 100/1
Green Bay Packers 13/1
Houston Texans 28/1
Indianapolis Colts 8/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 65/1
Kansas City Chiefs 100/1
Miami Dolphins 35/1
Minnesota Vikings 14/1
New England Patriots 11/1
New Orleans Saints 8/1
New York Giants 25/1
New York Jets 20/1
Oakland Raiders 100/1
Philadelphia Eagles 20/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 12/1
San Diego Chargers 9/1
San Francisco 49ers 40/1
Seattle Seahawks 65/1
St.Louis Rams 150/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 150/1
Tennessee Titans 30/1
Washington Redskins 28/1

Not much movement so far.

The biggest change was Redskins going from 55:1 to 28:1 due to McNabb.

Otherwise, the Jags & Seahawks got juicier going from 55:1 to 65:1. I love the Jags at that price.

[slacker00]

yea this will be cool to look at around week 5 and beyond

I did this poll last year too. Snevens picked it right a year before the Saints were crowned.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/141741-2009-10-super-bowl-odds.html#post1520479

[ijrod21i]

Ravens, Falcons = straight value, son.

[HoulihansTX]

Green Bay Packers FTW

[eidolon]

colts +650? really? haha