Texans line going up, Advice please....

imgv94 · 08-20-07, 09:59 PM

Forgot to mention this is for week one vs KC.

rjt721 · 08-20-07, 10:05 PM

Tough to tell. I like the Texans myself, but if/when LJ signs the line could move accordingly.

The QB situation in KC could also have an impact. If Croyle does indeed get the nod, I think the number will only grow as I can't see the public jumping on a second-year QB making his first career start on the road only getting 2 pts.

durito · 08-21-07, 02:35 AM

I'm assuming that LJ is going to sign, that's seemed to be the consensus in KC, but it's dragging on longer than I thought. I would imagine that would move the line back a bit, but maybe not that much if everyone is assuming the same.

I think Houston should be improved this year, and I definitely side with them as well in this game.

As rjt721 mentions, I think the # on this game will probably depend most on whom they select as starting QB in KC. I drove through KC last week and got some sports talk radio and they aren't real high on Croyle there. I suppose it all depends on where Herm wants to take this team this year versus the next few.

I've been doing some week 1 research, I'll have some more in a few days.

Home team dogs, or teams that are percieved as the worse team (-2.5 or worse) have done well ATS all time in week one.

Home team dogs are 63-52-5 ATS in week one since 1985. That wouldn't apply here at the moment, since i've used the closing lines. However, home dogs have done better versus teams that had a winning record the previous season: 23-14 ATS (kc was 9-7 last season)

I will look into the #'s on small favorites this week.

imgv94 · 08-21-07, 02:59 PM

LJ signed. Line should go back to -1 or ML now.. Hopefully.

austintx05 · 08-21-07, 04:01 PM

WHY would you put less nits on +1 and more units on -1?

if texans win, it won't matter...but I fail to see the logic here

imgv94 · 08-21-07, 06:31 PM

Cause I want more $$ on it..