Week 11 of Thursday Night Football features an AFC East matchup between New York and New England.
SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the action in his Jets vs Patriots prediction:
Game prediction: Jets +13.5 (-115 via DraftKings)
Over/Under pick: Over 43 (-110 via Caesars)
"It's going to be a chilly, blustery evening in Foxborough, but neither defense has been particularly good lately, and the 13.5-point spread, which has increased from 10.5, is too large for my liking.
That leaves the Over.
Twelve of the previous 16 Jets' games hit the Over, somewhat surprisingly. Meanwhile, the Patriots' previous five games went Over the 43.5-point threshold. The Jets will officially be without star wide receiver Garrett Wilson, who has been ruled out due to a knee injury.
With the NFL MVP odds co-favorite and one of the most clutch QBs under center, the Patriots' offense is humming, scoring at least 28 points in three of the previous four games. That unit ranks ninth in terms of DVOA and eighth in EPA per play. And they're playing a defense that has allowed 31.3 points per road game.
New England's defense, meanwhile, ranks fourth-worst in DVOA and worst in the red zone, allowing a TD on 74% of opponents' possessions. That provides hope for a Jets team that, despite having the fourth-worst offensive DVOA, averages 21.7 points per game."
Best prop bet: Drake Maye Under 241.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
"Maye has hit the Over on this total in five of the previous six games, including the last three. However, the cold and windy conditions at Gillette Stadium won't be conducive to a highly productive evening through the air.
The Jets' pass defense hasn't allowed more than 236 passing yards all season, with 236 against Dak Prescott in Week 5 their worst day. The Jets allow 190.8 passing yards per game, the eighth-fewest.
I also think the Patriots will be able to manage the clock in the fourth quarter with the lead, limiting the number of late passes."
Jets vs. Patriots best odds
Jets vs. Patriots betting trends
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Jets vs. Patriots weather
It will be partly cloudy and about 37 degrees at kickoff, with winds gusting from 16 mph to 24 mph. The wind chill will make it feel like 23 degrees, and the humidity will be around 77%.
SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the action in his Jets vs Patriots prediction:
Game prediction: Jets +13.5 (-115 via DraftKings)
Over/Under pick: Over 43 (-110 via Caesars)
"It's going to be a chilly, blustery evening in Foxborough, but neither defense has been particularly good lately, and the 13.5-point spread, which has increased from 10.5, is too large for my liking.
That leaves the Over.
Twelve of the previous 16 Jets' games hit the Over, somewhat surprisingly. Meanwhile, the Patriots' previous five games went Over the 43.5-point threshold. The Jets will officially be without star wide receiver Garrett Wilson, who has been ruled out due to a knee injury.
With the NFL MVP odds co-favorite and one of the most clutch QBs under center, the Patriots' offense is humming, scoring at least 28 points in three of the previous four games. That unit ranks ninth in terms of DVOA and eighth in EPA per play. And they're playing a defense that has allowed 31.3 points per road game.
New England's defense, meanwhile, ranks fourth-worst in DVOA and worst in the red zone, allowing a TD on 74% of opponents' possessions. That provides hope for a Jets team that, despite having the fourth-worst offensive DVOA, averages 21.7 points per game."
Best prop bet: Drake Maye Under 241.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
"Maye has hit the Over on this total in five of the previous six games, including the last three. However, the cold and windy conditions at Gillette Stadium won't be conducive to a highly productive evening through the air.
The Jets' pass defense hasn't allowed more than 236 passing yards all season, with 236 against Dak Prescott in Week 5 their worst day. The Jets allow 190.8 passing yards per game, the eighth-fewest.
I also think the Patriots will be able to manage the clock in the fourth quarter with the lead, limiting the number of late passes."
Jets vs. Patriots best odds
Jets vs. Patriots betting trends
️
Jets vs. Patriots weather
It will be partly cloudy and about 37 degrees at kickoff, with winds gusting from 16 mph to 24 mph. The wind chill will make it feel like 23 degrees, and the humidity will be around 77%.