The final game on the Week 8 slate features Washington and Kansas City at 8:15 PM ET on ABC/ESPN. SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the action in his Commanders vs Chiefs prediction:
Over/Under pick: Over 47.5 (-115 via FanDuel)
Game prediction: Chiefs -11.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
"For the Commanders, playing the Chiefs at Arrowhead at this juncture of the season represents a nightmare matchup.
Not only is Jayden Daniels unavailable due to injury, but they are facing a defense that allowed more than 300 yards of total offense just once in four home games, against a Baltimore Ravens team that accumulated a chunk of its yards after the game had long been decided.
In addition, Steve Spagnuolo's defense hasn't conceded more than 20 points at Arrowhead.
If the Chiefs' defense is hot, their offense, led by NFL MVP odds favorite Patrick Mahomes, is scalding. In terms of offensive DVOA and EPA per play, they rank second. The unit accumulated at least 355 total yards in four straight games, averaging 412.
That's bottom-of-the-barrel news for a Commanders defense that has allowed at least 336 yards of total offense in six straight games, averaging 386.5 in that stint.
The Chiefs' margin of victory at Arrowhead during their current three-game win streak is 20.3."
Player prop bet: Rashee Rice Over 66.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM)
"Rice has one game under his belt this season, in which he caught seven passes on 10 targets against the Las Vegas Raiders. Usually, you'd expect more than 42 receiving yards in that scenario.
Still, the number of times Mahomes targeted him is telling, and I expect more of the same against a Commanders secondary that allows the seventh-most yards per game to opposing wide receivers (161.43).
That unit allowed 192 receiving yards last week in Dallas to CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. Mahomes spread the ball well last week, connecting with nine receivers. While I expect him to vary his targets similarly, he should look to involve Rice as much in the offense as he did last week."
Over/Under pick: Over 47.5 (-115 via FanDuel)
Game prediction: Chiefs -11.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
"For the Commanders, playing the Chiefs at Arrowhead at this juncture of the season represents a nightmare matchup.
Not only is Jayden Daniels unavailable due to injury, but they are facing a defense that allowed more than 300 yards of total offense just once in four home games, against a Baltimore Ravens team that accumulated a chunk of its yards after the game had long been decided.
In addition, Steve Spagnuolo's defense hasn't conceded more than 20 points at Arrowhead.
If the Chiefs' defense is hot, their offense, led by NFL MVP odds favorite Patrick Mahomes, is scalding. In terms of offensive DVOA and EPA per play, they rank second. The unit accumulated at least 355 total yards in four straight games, averaging 412.
That's bottom-of-the-barrel news for a Commanders defense that has allowed at least 336 yards of total offense in six straight games, averaging 386.5 in that stint.
The Chiefs' margin of victory at Arrowhead during their current three-game win streak is 20.3."
Player prop bet: Rashee Rice Over 66.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM)
"Rice has one game under his belt this season, in which he caught seven passes on 10 targets against the Las Vegas Raiders. Usually, you'd expect more than 42 receiving yards in that scenario.
Still, the number of times Mahomes targeted him is telling, and I expect more of the same against a Commanders secondary that allows the seventh-most yards per game to opposing wide receivers (161.43).
That unit allowed 192 receiving yards last week in Dallas to CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. Mahomes spread the ball well last week, connecting with nine receivers. While I expect him to vary his targets similarly, he should look to involve Rice as much in the offense as he did last week."