Welcome to my NFL betting journal.
I’ll be posting all of my NFL plays here going forward to keep things organized and avoid cluttering the forum with separate threads.
The Goal
Net $1,000,000 in winnings over the next 7 NFL seasons.
Starting Bankroll & Targets
Starting Bankroll & Targets
- Year 0 (2025 Starting Bankroll): $7,000
- Year 1 Goal: ~$11,600
- Long-term: Compounding these yearly gains to reach $1M+ within 7–10 years
My Approach
- Focus on team totals & overs/unders, especially mispriced lines.
- Compare historical hit rates (2024/2025 stats) vs sportsbook implied probabilities.
- Track everything transparently — wins, losses, bankroll progress.
✅ Why One Thread?
- Easier for me (and you) to track.
- Builds a real history of the journey.
- Cuts down on forum clutter.
Updates
- Weekly picks with reasoning (based on hit rates vs odds).
- Monthly bankroll checkpoints.
- Season-end summary.
Thanks for following along — whether you’re tailing, fading, or just watching the experiment, I’m glad to have you here.
Let’s see where 7 years of discipline and stats can take us.