What I found out reasearching SB prob bets.

[dbldown]

1. The spread has come into play in only 7 of all 43 Super Bowls. (3 of the last 6)

2. Teams tied at the half (+750) A tie in 1st half/IND wins 2nd (+1400)
Only 2 Super Bowls have been tied at halftime.

3. First Score is not a TD (+180)
7 of the last 11 Super Bowls the first score was a FG

4. Heads or Tails (-105) Colts or Saints win toss (-105)
It has been Heads 22 times and Tails 21 times. NFC has won the toss 12 years in a row.

5. Overtime (+1200)
No SB has ever gone into overtime.


Not sure what the true odds on that +750 @ half time is. But the number was good enough for me to drop a few bucks on it.

[BigdaddyQH]

So what you are saying is that you took 15/2 odds on a wager that has hit twice, making the correct odds 43/2.

[dbldown]

So what you are saying is that you took 15/2 odds on a wager that has hit twice, making the correct odds 43/2.

Using regular season stats

Almost 450 games over the 20+ year period saw a favored team tied at half time and the average pre game expected margin of victory for those favorites was around 5.5. Which makes it closer to 15% - the neutral field should increase that number, generally speaking.

This is why.

[killawookie]

I think the cointoss is a joke .. save that for a small wager amongst friends....

[balman]

the one prop bet i like is "1st turnover will be fumble +140 Int -160" , if you look at season stats indy had 16 INT and 14 fumbles, saints 12 INT (11 by Bress) and 19 fumbles.
Total INT both teams = 28
Total Fumbles both teams = 33
I see the Saints and Colts D more likely to cause a fumble then pick of Manning or Brees..

[dbldown]

the one prop bet i like is "1st turnover will be fumble +140 Int -160" , if you look at season stats indy had 16 INT and 14 fumbles, saints 12 INT (11 by Bress) and 19 fumbles.
Total INT both teams = 28
Total Fumbles both teams = 33
I see the Saints and Colts D more likely to cause a fumble then pick of Manning or Brees..

Good call if Butterfingers Bush gets the ball first.

[PAULYPOKER]

the one prop bet i like is "1st turnover will be fumble +140 Int -160" , if you look at season stats indy had 16 INT and 14 fumbles, saints 12 INT (11 by Bress) and 19 fumbles. Total INT both teams = 28 Total Fumbles both teams = 33 I see the Saints and Colts D more likely to cause a fumble then pick of Manning or Brees..

No shit that's impressive I never play sucker bets but this one looks pretty alluring