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  • kidkonggolf
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-10
    • 1265

    #1
    Spread Movement
    If you plan to take the Saints and the points (+5.5) its time to think about placing your bet early instead of waiting til Gameday. With the recent injury news of Colts Freeney...and you know how the media makes a "mountain of a mole hill" as well as more meaningless intangables later...I feel, the $Action is currently on the Saints as I speak! Don't be surprised if you see +5 tomorrow and even +4.5 by game time. Now, 1 point may or may not make a difference when its all said and done but, I have lost many, many wagers and parleys by that damn hook! So for me, I'm grabbin the +5.5 NOW because I really don't see it increasing to +6 unless Brees says he is wedding a Kardasian or Warren Buffet is laying 100 Large on Indy. Now you can always buy a half point or more but, I think come Gameday...you may have to buy some to get that 5.5 ?

    Good luck to Everyone!
  • THEGREAT30
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-04-08
    • 8970

    #2
    good thought. 34-21 Colts will not matter though, good day.
    Comment
    • Joe Dogs
      SBR MVP
      • 07-20-09
      • 1931

      #3
      Sharps were all over opener of Colts-3.5.....Will 5.5 really matter?
      Comment
      • Samhain
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-19-07
        • 159

        #4
        Originally posted by Joe Dogs
        Sharps were all over opener of Colts-3.5.....Will 5.5 really matter?
        NOPE!

        In Vegas John Q is betting the Saints while the BIG $$$ is on the Colts hence the two point line jump.

        Now the President & the Gov. of PA are on the Saints. Saints are the feel good story due to Katrina.

        Anyone remember the Yankees in the WS in 2001?? Yeah they lost the WS.

        With the Freeney situation John Q will now be allover the Saints.

        Colts by 10+
        Comment
        • Jim87675
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-04-09
          • 300

          #5
          I am with you Samhain - I don't see how the Saints even keep this close
          Comment
          • Busterflywheel
            SBR MVP
            • 12-13-09
            • 3991

            #6
            Originally posted by Jim87675
            I am with you Samhain - I don't see how the Saints even keep this close
            Thats what they said about the pats being -14 dogs against the Rams...
            Comment
            • BigdaddyQH
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-13-09
              • 19530

              #7
              If anything, the line is going up, not down. Vegas is fluctuating the line between -4.5 and -6, and the ML between +170 and +190. You simply are not going to see anything over 6 points, or under 4.5 points for this line. I t really matters not when you wager, unless you can sit on every line movement every minute of the day. If the line even hits 6.5, the wiseguys who grabbed 3.5 and 4 will pay the 10% vig and middle themselves to 7.
              Comment
              • SpectacularBid
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-04-09
                • 172

                #8
                Originally posted by Samhain
                NOPE!

                In Vegas John Q is betting the Saints while the BIG $$$ is on the Colts hence the two point line jump.

                Now the President & the Gov. of PA are on the Saints. Saints are the feel good story due to Katrina.

                Anyone remember the Yankees in the WS in 2001?? Yeah they lost the WS.

                With the Freeney situation John Q will now be allover the Saints.

                Colts by 10+
                I agree 100% with your theory
                Comment
                • slacker00
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-05
                  • 12262

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                  If anything, the line is going up, not down. Vegas is fluctuating the line between -4.5 and -6, and the ML between +170 and +190. You simply are not going to see anything over 6 points, or under 4.5 points for this line. I t really matters not when you wager, unless you can sit on every line movement every minute of the day. If the line even hits 6.5, the wiseguys who grabbed 3.5 and 4 will pay the 10% vig and middle themselves to 7.
                  I thought I was gonna get 6 1/2. This sucks. I felt like that was a good number.

                  I still feel like people are betting the Colts, but the line keeps going down. It was at 6 this weekend, and I almost friggin' bought, but now it's down to 5 and falling. I'm seeing some 4 1/2s. I think I'm gonna ride for a while and hope we can get back to 5 1/2 at least!
                  Comment
                  • brandon m
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-06-09
                    • 604

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Samhain
                    NOPE!

                    In Vegas John Q is betting the Saints while the BIG $$$ is on the Colts hence the two point line jump.

                    Now the President & the Gov. of PA are on the Saints. Saints are the feel good story due to Katrina.

                    Anyone remember the Yankees in the WS in 2001?? Yeah they lost the WS.

                    With the Freeney situation John Q will now be allover the Saints.

                    Colts by 10+

                    I just don't get this how are the Saints a feel good story because of Katrina? That shit happened like 5 years ago and they've been to the NFC championship 1 time already since Katrina. Its the same thing people are saying they are Americas team now. Its just beyond me. You know San Francisco burned down a while back, I think they should be Americas team next. And New York had a few buildings get blown to shit back in '01, I think they need to be Americas team after Frisco. And while we're at it you know Atlanta got destroyed also, lets make them the second Americas team, until the next natural disaster strikes.
                    Comment
                    • Ulyses
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-14-10
                      • 111

                      #11
                      Originally posted by THEGREAT30
                      good thought. 34-21 Colts will not matter though, good day.
                      You will lose mate
                      Comment
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