The NFL GURU.......... PART 2 FOR SUNDAY

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • TheNFLGuru3
    Restricted User
    • 12-10-09
    • 383

    #1
    The NFL GURU.......... PART 2 FOR SUNDAY
    50* NO -3 (BUY IT, NO NEED TO RISK IT) A push is better than a loss.
    I think the New Orlean Saints are Superbowl bound. Look for a continuation of how they played against the AZ Cardinals. Warner was knocked out for a while, couldnt keep his feet stable in the pocket, was inaccurate, rushed into decisions, and turnovered the ball. I see much of the same and we all know Farve is capable of throwing those picks, maybe not this season, but he has been. This Saints Defense is pretty good at causing turnovers and converting them to scores. The Vikings run game seems as though its been missing lately, anyone noticed? Drew Breez has excelled this year and should be on fire in this game. I love the home team here and would like to have it at -3. Injuries... nothing too big on Saints (Jenkins may be most significant), Vikings have Harvin with illness (didnt practice) and Antoine Winfield, Ray Edwards, Kevin Williams with injuries..... Berrian, Hutchinson, and Leber all are nursing injuries. Dont get me wrong, I like the Vikings and Farve a lot, but liking them doesnt mean you win with them.. wouldnt mind seeing them in the superbowl, but wouldnt bet it though. The cause of concern for me is the big play capabilities of the Vikings and possibly a run game... not very sure if it will exist.

    15* NO/MINN UNDER 53
    I think defenses will be far better and no one scores 45 here like against AZ. Looking for a well managed game with cautious play until the 4th Quarter. Maybe some 6-8 min drives, unlike the 2-3 min NO drives of last weekend, lol. Total is too high, but thats why they play the game.

    Play your own units based on my ratio, I play bigger.... unit is a dime for me, others is a hundred.... bet accordingly. Lines will move unfavorably for us so get in.

    7* PARLAY
    IND -7 and NO -3

    3* PARLAY
    IND U 39
    NO U 53
  • peterw111
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-05-10
    • 422

    #2
    Thanks Guru3

    Im certain alot of people have been waiting for this brief.

    Will certainly be tailing you.

    GL with all your weekend bets!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Comment
    • texassoljaz
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-26-09
      • 634

      #3
      gl this weeek!
      Comment
      • THE PROFIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-27-09
        • 17701

        #4
        Sounds good guru, really rooting for Favre here though. Make sure you join that contest I started for sunday, just 5 points.
        Comment
        • gshock1
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-04-09
          • 5366

          #5
          Hey Guru,

          My book hasn't brought down the Saints line (still at -4) and I can't buy a 1 pt. hook. I'll wait until the last second to see if things change, but what do you feel about -4?

          Also, they have the Colts at (-8). That isn't moving any direction either.
          Comment
          • Busterflywheel
            SBR MVP
            • 12-13-09
            • 3991

            #6
            Best of luck this weekend Guru...
            Comment
            • Brocc
              SBR MVP
              • 12-25-09
              • 1660

              #7
              Like this one as well!
              People overlook the rushing attack of the Saints with Thomas, Bush & Bell they've rushed for over 125 yds in 11 games this year. Minny is a different team on the road (4-4) with road wins at Det, Clev, St.L and the only marquee win at GB. Road losses at Pitt, Carl, Chic & Ariz.....We saw what happened to Arizona last week with probably the 2nd most potent passing attack in Warner getting shut down. The crowd at NO will be rabid for the city's first ever Super Bowl trip, making it EXTREMELY hard for Favre to play....Farve hasn't won a playoff game on the road in over a decade....The INTs start flowing this week.....Don't be afraid of the -4, the Saints get up early and don't look back!



              2-0 on the sides this week
              Comment
              • veemister
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-29-08
                • 124

                #8
                good luck guru
                Comment
                • Busterflywheel
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-13-09
                  • 3991

                  #9
                  I will say Gu I hate we are on Opp sides on the N.O game...You had some hell of picks from time to time and I hope this is one of your wrong ones...lol..BOL none the less..good thing is one of us is going to cash or ticket Sunday...:Clover:
                  Comment
                  • Smogs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-08
                    • 4173

                    #10
                    Couldn't agree more with this pick and love that you have it so highly staked
                    Comment
                    • TheNFLGuru3
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 383

                      #11
                      -4 should be ok.... looking for NO to give a smackdown.
                      Comment
                      • thechaoz
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-23-09
                        • 12154

                        #12
                        Could you detail your 10* vs 50* etc system. I had never seen anything other then from 6* to 10*. I don't understand if 6 is a small play (maybe 1 unit?) and 10 was really strong etc. Now this 50* throws me all off.

                        Thanks for your threads and great write ups.
                        Comment
                        • TheNFLGuru3
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-10-09
                          • 383

                          #13
                          Sure.... my stars of old are now units.... for you guys, I assumed you play hundred = 1 star. So 10 units is 1000 bet. 50 stars is 5000. Hope that helps.... if you dont like that much use a similar ratio like NO = 500 IND = 250 IND U = 75 NO U = 125. Make the bets to your taste.... I use dimes so 50 large on NO. I love NO... hearing Harvin may not play. NO at home = easy win. Min on road against good team = bad loss. Under looks good, but play more on the actual teams per my units.
                          Comment
                          • thechaoz
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-23-09
                            • 12154

                            #14
                            Great thanks for the explanation, makes perfect sense now. BOL this weekend.
                            Comment
                            • tbird509
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-05-09
                              • 761

                              #15
                              love saints also,but im really liking colts also
                              Comment
                              • kjus1
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 01-12-10
                                • 91

                                #16
                                BOL
                                Comment
                                • kjus1
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 01-12-10
                                  • 91

                                  #17
                                  I started out liking the jets but turned now and dont really know anymore (spread of course)
                                  Comment
                                  • TheNFLGuru3
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 383

                                    #18
                                    Go COLTS, NO and UNDERS... winner this weekend.
                                    Comment
                                    • bigbadbetter
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 01-22-10
                                      • 13

                                      #19
                                      Rip this parlay as a stand alone for as much as you can handle.

                                      IND U 39
                                      NO U 53

                                      No doubt
                                      Comment
                                      • bigbadbetter
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-22-10
                                        • 13

                                        #20
                                        rollin:
                                        Wager type : Parlay
                                        Select #1 : NFL Football
                                        New York Jets/Indianapolis Colts 1/24/2010 3:00 PM - (EST)
                                        Total Points UNDER 39½ -105 for Game
                                        Select #2 : NFL Football
                                        Minnesota Vikings/New Orleans Saints 1/24/2010 6:40 PM - (EST)
                                        Total Points UNDER 53 -103 for Game
                                        Amount : Risking 2,000.00 To Win 6,030.42 USD

                                        WAGER ACCEPTED

                                        Comment
                                        • regretz
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-18-09
                                          • 370

                                          #21
                                          both under
                                          Comment
                                          • TheNFLGuru3
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-10-09
                                            • 383

                                            #22
                                            You know I'm on unders as well... love unders here big time. I love going back and seeing my bets and then just loving them so much I add to them. I felt like doing this all year and it worked well, dont stop now, right? Good parlay on unders for me as well as IND and NO.
                                            Comment
                                            • thechaoz
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-23-09
                                              • 12154

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by bigbadbetter
                                              rollin:
                                              Wager type : Parlay
                                              Select #1 : NFL Football
                                              New York Jets/Indianapolis Colts 1/24/2010 3:00 PM - (EST)
                                              Total Points UNDER 39½ -105 for Game
                                              Select #2 : NFL Football
                                              Minnesota Vikings/New Orleans Saints 1/24/2010 6:40 PM - (EST)
                                              Total Points UNDER 53 -103 for Game
                                              Amount : Risking 2,000.00 To Win 6,030.42 USD

                                              WAGER ACCEPTED
                                              BOL!
                                              Comment
                                              • Dexter
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-24-08
                                                • 25829

                                                #24
                                                you bet $50,000 on the saints?
                                                Comment
                                                • TheNFLGuru3
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 383

                                                  #25
                                                  I did and I pushed at 50k, on day up 65 units... won 25 units on parlay with Indy and NO push, won 75 units on INDY lost on unders and parlay on unders.... ahead for day due to INDY... NO couldnt stop Minn and a hurt farve... couldnt believe it 5 TO and tied. Refs did help Vikings though a lot.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ol'Tex
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-08-10
                                                    • 318

                                                    #26
                                                    you stack up on indy yet at -4 Guru?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ranman92
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-25-09
                                                      • 111

                                                      #27
                                                      Guru thanks for indy pick and i decided to go with Vikes plus 3 and a half so I won 400 dollars for the day. One thing I disagree with your post that the refs were for the Vikes. That late pass interference call on Vikes was BS. Also on that 4th and 1 Pierre Thomas fumbled and should have only gotten forward progress to where he recovered the fumble which would have made him short of the 1st down. And on Reggie Bushes TD he lost control of the ball going out of bounds and the ball hit the ground before he re controlled it which should have been a touchback. And on the play Favre got hurt he was hit in the knees which is supposed to be a 15 yard penalty which would have overturned an interception, and it was a blatant shot right on his knees. So at best you could say the officiating was a wash, but I say it was way in the favor of New Orleans. But thanks for the picks man. Also you win your parlays when you get a push on 1 of the 2 bets that is amazing I have never heard of that.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BIGRED12
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-05-10
                                                        • 140

                                                        #28
                                                        perfect?

                                                        nobody is guru. good weekend
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Busterflywheel
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-13-09
                                                          • 3991

                                                          #29
                                                          NICE CALL on Indy game...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dexter
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-24-08
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by TheNFLGuru3
                                                            I did and I pushed at 50k, on day up 65 units... won 25 units on parlay with Indy and NO push, won 75 units on INDY lost on unders and parlay on unders.... ahead for day due to INDY... NO couldnt stop Minn and a hurt farve... couldnt believe it 5 TO and tied. Refs did help Vikings though a lot.
                                                            nice call on the colts and sharp move buying the saints down to 3.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • zagat
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-16-09
                                                              • 74

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by bigbadbetter
                                                              rollin:
                                                              Wager type : Parlay
                                                              Select #1 : NFL Football
                                                              New York Jets/Indianapolis Colts 1/24/2010 3:00 PM - (EST)
                                                              Total Points UNDER 39½ -105 for Game
                                                              Select #2 : NFL Football
                                                              Minnesota Vikings/New Orleans Saints 1/24/2010 6:40 PM - (EST)
                                                              Total Points UNDER 53 -103 for Game
                                                              Amount : Risking 2,000.00 To Win 6,030.42 USD

                                                              WAGER ACCEPTED
                                                              welp, see ya round buddy
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheNFLGuru3
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 383

                                                                #32
                                                                Ranman, it turns into a single bet win for 25 units instead of paying 62.5 units... my bet was raised to 25 units if you didnt see that sorry.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TheNFLGuru3
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                                  • 383

                                                                  #33
                                                                  seen NO +6, buy to 7 or play wait game on line movements.. so far NO and OVER
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ol'Tex
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-08-10
                                                                    • 318

                                                                    #34
                                                                    was hoping youd be on the colts! only way ill go to NO is if i can see +8 buy it to 9, and middle... but i know thats just a wet dream
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • woody78
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-18-08
                                                                      • 502

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I think you can wait it will trickle a little more to the Colts side, if you're a Saints backer. Over 56.5, while obviously insanely high, makes me want to crush that over now before it's pushed up even more.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...