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  • TheNFLGuru3
    Restricted User
    • 12-10-09
    • 383

    #1
    Nfl guru ready to make some money
    Guys, we are doing units via popular request. Each number in front represents how many units should be based on the games this weekend. Anyhow, lets get started.

    25* IND -7 1/2 (I bought mine on a favorable cost to -7) If you can get -7, do it.
    This game represents a top notch Defense against a top notch offense led by MVP Manning. Manning looked decent against Balt, a defense similar to the Jets. Manning is not the reason for this pick though, he helps, its their Defense. They contained the Ravens run game and made Flacco throw. Sounds very similar to how this game will be played. I link the Jets of this year to the Ravens of last year. They are very similar teams. Sanchez has looked great this playoff season, but I dont expect this to continue at Indy. I think the Colts will play great defense and once again try to control the clock with a precise short passing attack. I love the Colts at -7, but to some people that cant happen, so I'm releasing this as a big play, but not the biggest of the weekend.

    8* IND/JETS UNDER 39
    I cant say enough about the defenses here... Jets are phenominal and INDY has and will play great against a one dimensional conservative Jets offense. They nearly blanked a good offense beating Baltimore 20-3. I see the same score here UNLESS turnovers become a big factor. I dont anticipate that here with great coaches and conservative play styles.


    More to come, but wanted to give a bonus out to who read this early.....
    Loyola Marymount +11 1/2 in college hoops
    Cal ST Fullerton OVER 126
    I played 10 and 8 units trying to start weekend off the right way.... by no means am I the expert, love the line movement and heard through the grapevine.
  • Brocc
    SBR MVP
    • 12-25-09
    • 1660

    #2
    I like the play here, the overlooked aspect of this game is Indy's defense. They shut down the Ravens potent attack & forced Flacco to beat them...same thing happens here...Jets move the ball between the 30s but are going to be settling for FGs, while Peyton score TDs.




    Now I'll check game 2 thread..
    Comment
    • veemister
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-29-08
      • 124

      #3
      Thanks guru i like INDY in this game 31-9 jets wont see the endzone except for feild goals
      Comment
      • aceking
        SBR MVP
        • 09-07-05
        • 4782

        #4
        indy 24
        Jets 10
        Comment
        • slacker00
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-06-05
          • 12262

          #5
          Jets 20
          Indy 17

          What do we get if we predict the correct score?
          Comment
          • tblues2005
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-30-06
            • 9235

            #6
            good luck on these plays. I like the Colts.
            Comment
            • TheNFLGuru3
              Restricted User
              • 12-10-09
              • 383

              #7
              You get a cookie, lol..... 23-6 INDY of course
              Comment
              • Busterflywheel
                SBR MVP
                • 12-13-09
                • 3991

                #8
                Originally posted by TheNFLGuru3
                You get a cookie, lol..... 23-6 INDY of course


                Make mine Chocolate chip with a little Viking on top...
                Comment
                • Serbone
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-21-09
                  • 1300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by TheNFLGuru3
                  Guys, we are doing units via popular request. Each number in front represents how many units should be based on the games this weekend. Anyhow, lets get started.

                  25* IND -7 1/2 (I bought mine on a favorable cost to -7) If you can get -7, do it.
                  This game represents a top notch Defense against a top notch offense led by MVP Manning. Manning looked decent against Balt, a defense similar to the Jets. Manning is not the reason for this pick though, he helps, its their Defense. They contained the Ravens run game and made Flacco throw. Sounds very similar to how this game will be played. I link the Jets of this year to the Ravens of last year. They are very similar teams. Sanchez has looked great this playoff season, but I dont expect this to continue at Indy. I think the Colts will play great defense and once again try to control the clock with a precise short passing attack. I love the Colts at -7, but to some people that cant happen, so I'm releasing this as a big play, but not the biggest of the weekend.

                  8* IND/JETS UNDER 39
                  I cant say enough about the defenses here... Jets are phenominal and INDY has and will play great against a one dimensional conservative Jets offense. They nearly blanked a good offense beating Baltimore 20-3. I see the same score here UNLESS turnovers become a big factor. I dont anticipate that here with great coaches and conservative play styles.


                  More to come, but wanted to give a bonus out to who read this early.....
                  Loyola Marymount +11 1/2 in college hoops
                  Cal ST Fullerton OVER 126
                  I played 10 and 8 units trying to start weekend off the right way.... by no means am I the expert, love the line movement and heard through the grapevine.
                  Excellent. I like Indy BIG, too! One of my favorite plays of the yr!

                  Jets are a nice disciplined team, but incredibly fortunate. SD blew it last week, sloppy, not just missed FG's but sloppy WR play and poor game plan. Jets backed into playoffs, how about that loss at home to Atlanta w/o QB or RB's? In way over their heads, 3rd straight road game. If Jets get behind and Sanchez has to throw.... could be absolute blowout. Sacks, INT's, etc!

                  Some myth out there about Indy not stopping the run... look at games vs Balt and Tenn! Stopped them cold. Indy "D" most underrated unit in the playoffs IMO. Very fast "D" against the run and the pass. Manning will not let Indy let this slip out of their hands. Leadership matters. Indy, BIG!

                  (Hey, I almost NEVER deal with over/unders).
                  Comment
                  • Brocc
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-25-09
                    • 1660

                    #10
                    Originally posted by slacker00
                    Jets 20
                    Indy 17

                    What do we get if we predict the correct score?
                    Don't worry, you're not even close

                    27-13 Colts
                    Comment
                    • iceaxe56
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 325

                      #11
                      can you iimagine the jets in the super bowl--ugh--i can't see it happening altjough the cards were in last year--got to be colts versus vikings/saints either one ok--but hope favre has his day
                      Comment
                      • TheNFLGuru3
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 383

                        #12
                        Guys, IND is early game... success in early game is crazy for me.... making IND a 50* game now... follow if you like. Love anything below 8, especially 7 if possible.... may raise this up even more depending on info coming in..... in addition, huge parlay guys.... NO AND IND buying to 3 and 7 on parlays is easy... do it!!! I'm up to 25 units on this parlay. HUGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                        Comment
                        • Samhain
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 10-19-07
                          • 159

                          #13
                          In my opinion I don't think the Jets will sniff over 10, but I'll give them the benefit of the doubt.

                          Colts 24
                          Jets 10

                          (Sanchez will be good for at least 3 INT's)
                          Comment
                          • woody78
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-18-08
                            • 502

                            #14
                            Good luck with these, I'm really thinking about the under hard here. Might be my one and only play of the weekend.
                            Comment
                            • msec512
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-02-09
                              • 346

                              #15
                              Not sure about the under. But, I love Indy and NO on a parlay.
                              Comment
                              • coloradobuff
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-22-09
                                • 1488

                                #16
                                Agree on buying it to -7..good luck bro.
                                Comment
                                • tabasquito
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 11-27-09
                                  • 19

                                  #17
                                  I like the Under on the Colts. And I like NO to win.

                                  Might be time for a big teaser to get NO some points and go under a Colts mid-40's score.
                                  Comment
                                  • chickenwang
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-22-09
                                    • 133

                                    #18
                                    I hate to bet against ya Guru, but I can see the NFL setting up a Jets vs. Vikings Superbowl
                                    Comment
                                    • RayzHELL
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-18-09
                                      • 2164

                                      #19
                                      Indy COLTS!!!!!!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • no1here
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-23-09
                                        • 5914

                                        #20
                                        Jets ain't scared and they believe that they can win besides their defense is #1 as well as running game. Best team will win but don't disrespect NY. The under seems to be best play here.
                                        Comment
                                        • Frosh
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-14-09
                                          • 343

                                          #21
                                          I think Indy NO parlay is not all that soilid. No way both the favorites cash this weekend.
                                          Comment
                                          • Busterflywheel
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-13-09
                                            • 3991

                                            #22
                                            Better buy that damn hook..I just cant see Sanchez doing a damn thing to keep them in the game..
                                            Comment
                                            • tgunn11
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-21-09
                                              • 5731

                                              #23
                                              Kind of surprised that last week the "sure thing" play was SD/NY over 42 and it was only a 10*, now Indy started out a 25* and up to a 50*. Quite a difference in units for both being big plays.
                                              Comment
                                              • slacker00
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-06-05
                                                • 12262

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Busterflywheel
                                                Better buy that damn hook..I just cant see Sanchez doing a damn thing to keep them in the game..
                                                There are 52 other players helping him. Namely, defense, o-line, RBs, etc.


                                                Originally posted by tgunn11
                                                Kind of surprised that last week the "sure thing" play was SD/NY over 42 and it was only a 10*, now Indy started out a 25* and up to a 50*. Quite a difference in units for both being big plays.
                                                He's using what's called a Martingale scheme. It is the last step before bankruptcy for a gambling addict.
                                                Comment
                                                • TheNFLGuru3
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 383

                                                  #25
                                                  I already explained the star vs units- this week units so you get the actual value of my plays because people were betting too little on certain games that I loved through the year. Its all in the post, 25 units now 50 on IND.... is 5k bet for 100 dollar player... if you cant do it, play a ratio favoring the bigger plays.
                                                  I just gone and did it... COLTS added more. I cant imagine what this bookie will do if I win. I'm taking his free and clear house this weekend, lol.
                                                  IF you bet like me, I'm up to 75 on this bad boy. Liking under more and more too. Dont get crazy like me, I'm up huge on year and its not hurting me to give back a little. At one point this year I hit my 2 majors 6 consecutive weeks... had round robbins on them hitting at 75%, then having huge parlays on the majors like this week with NO and IND... that stretch would easily cover triple my bets this weekend so no big deal... as always bet what you can stand to lose... no more than that.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • eMdOtkay
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 01-17-10
                                                    • 112

                                                    #26
                                                    Dont sleep on the jets.. The line is gunma jump another .5-1.. Take the jets
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bigbadbetter
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 01-22-10
                                                      • 13

                                                      #27
                                                      Listen, my opinion is no different than an assho*e. 6 posts so take it for what it's worth BUT I have a STRONG feeling that the kickers for the Bengals (have it on good authority) and an online post I found BEFORE the game http://thedirty.com/2010/01/09/graham-does-it-again/ and the Chargers were paid to shave points. Worked out well for those who bet I guess....so...could someone who favours the jets be able to get to the right players? who knows. I'm taking both underdog's heavy on the business angle backed up but injuries. Stats only go so far and I think with only 4 teams left were beyond stats. Good luck.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TheNFLGuru3
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                        • 383

                                                        #28
                                                        Man, I dont know about being paid off but I do know they did miss some kicks they have nailed time in and time out. I hate for that to be a thought, but I've seen it first hand on a betting side.... Toledo and Fresno ST 3-4 years ago, my money was on Toledo before Gradkowski missed the game... indications and investigations went on to conclude a guy paid him to sit and some others.... on top of that that guy paid some Toledo BB players off too. I lost big because I didnt know and was ill prepared because my info had him starting that game. Bet too early in that one and in that NE game recently with Moss being a decoy.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RayzHELL
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-18-09
                                                          • 2164

                                                          #29
                                                          Indy & UNDER!

                                                          Parlay Bet

                                                          Description
                                                          Risk
                                                          Win
                                                          Jan 24 03:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 302 Indianapolis Colts -6 buying 2 points -170 for Game

                                                          Jan 24 03:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 302 New York Jets / Indianapolis Colts Under 44 buying 4 points -220 for Game

                                                          Jan 24 06:40 PM EST - Football NFL - 303 Minnesota Vikings +7 buying 3½ points -220 for Game

                                                          3 Team Parlay




                                                          Bet Slip Total
                                                          Risk
                                                          Win

                                                          $300.00 USD
                                                          $713.07 USD
                                                          Comment
                                                          • texassoljaz
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-26-09
                                                            • 634

                                                            #30
                                                            very nice write up
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ttwarrior1
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 06-23-09
                                                              • 28464

                                                              #31
                                                              lol you really went out a limb on that one saying colts will win, pff
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wheell
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-11-07
                                                                • 1380

                                                                #32
                                                                I don't like the Vikes as a road team. I feel the Saints are the play there.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • S.K.M.
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-06-09
                                                                  • 1115

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Colts are laying 8.5 at my book. I would have a hard time laying that many points in a game with a total set below 40. 8.5 points is a shitload in a low scoring game. At 8.5 I like the Jets. I just don't get why they are still getting no love. Are the colts that much better than the Chargers? I don't think so. The Chargers were the hottest team in the league along with the Cowgirls
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bballs84
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                                    • 5461

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Skidcom
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-17-06
                                                                      • 1796

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I just hate following the public on the Colts and the Under. Guess it doesn't matter if it is the right play
                                                                      Comment
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