Just a thought for Saturday's Games

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  • statnerds
    SBR MVP
    • 09-23-09
    • 4047
    #1
    Just a thought for Saturday's Games
    i will be taking both home teams in the first quarter. you cannot under estimate the value of having 13 days off when the other team only had 6. i am dumb enough to think that playing indoors on turf will augment this advantage and it will become apparent that one team seems "to be a step faster". fresh legs and all.

    couple that with Baltimore's defense being absolute shit against the pass and i really like the Colts 1st Qtr. however, too many injuries on defense for the colts for me to back them full game.

    GL

    saints game is going under
    Tags: None
    • Johnny 55
      Restricted User
      • 05-16-09
      • 1079
      #2
      You can also never understimate not having played a meaningful game in a month and how it will factor into their start. I am no genius but when team has more time off than the other team, wouldnt this advantage take hold in the second half, rather than the first when players start to become worn down as opposed to a team which played a game last week and cant help but be more in rhythm.

      I think people would take you more seriously if you learn how to capitalize and produce cogent sentences.
        Comment
        • statnerds
          SBR MVP
          • 09-23-09
          • 4047
          #3
          Originally posted by Johnny 55
          I think people would take you more seriously if you learn how to capitalize and produce cogent sentences.
          i don't need people to take me serious, i only need to win my plays. the only people i do take serious at this point are:

          Hammew and Justin7. there were a couple others, but i quit betting the NBA.

          other than that, all i can find is loud-mouthed posters with no records that talk out of their asses.

          GL to you sir.
            Comment
            • Johnny 55
              Restricted User
              • 05-16-09
              • 1079
              #4
              I would submit to you that there is a very high correlation between winning one's plays over a large sample size and being able to produce articulate thoughts through the written word.

              I would also submit to you that no one who really knows what they are doing are ever going to give out plays or post a record because so much of what they do is math and market driven and dependent on when they place their bets and with whom they do so.
                Comment
                • Johnny 55
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-16-09
                  • 1079
                  #5
                  know one. bad on my part.

                  you didnt respond to my previous post about the fallacy in your first quarter play thinking.
                    Comment
                    • JMF2479
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-29-09
                      • 592
                      #6
                      like the under play as well
                        Comment
                        • statnerds
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-23-09
                          • 4047
                          #7
                          well, it worked out well. not perfect, but well. had Saints -.5 1st Qtr, Saints -3.5 1st H, Colts -.5 1st Qtr, Colts -3.5 1st Half

                          3-1 is worth my time.
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