Nfl picks for divisional round

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  • TheNFLGuru3
    Restricted User
    • 12-10-09
    • 383

    #1
    Nfl picks for divisional round
    10**** SD/Jets OVER 42
    8****SD-7 (think 61/2 if possible)
    It's Sundays game, I love all the unders, but this one just stood out. SD is solid on offense and I can't see them being stopped by anyone. At least 24 should be expected by them alone, but I think they'll score more. Rivers is great and will be on fire. The Bengals managed 14 points without a passing game. SD will pass and pass down field more than likely at will. The Jets will play conservative and try to run the ball. With the leagues best rushing attack, I think they will have some success, but this game will comedown to Sanchez passing... will he be as accurate and effective as he was against a fired up Bengals Defense.... I say he will, but it wont matter as SD still gets an easy win and the game goes over.


    8**** MIN/DAL UNDER 46.
    6****MIN-3 (21/2 is my play)
    Look at what the Dallas D has done recently, its great:
    17,17,0,0,14,24,7,6 last 8 games... 24 only bad one. I feel that Minn will win this game and cover, but havent decided to release it as a pick yet... I get Dallas and NYG games wrong more than any other. If I was in my right mind, I would take Dallas since they are HOT and I'm on Minn. I see a hard fought game, my only question is the Vikings Defense.

    8**** IND/BALT UNDER 44
    I love this under, last time they played.. 17-15 was the score (off memory).
    There is a thing in the NFL as too much rest.... do the Colts have this? Will they be rusty? Count on the Balt D coming to play as they did against the PAts. They didnt get tested deep too much in that game, but they will here.
    I dont like the passing game of the Ravens at all, they will need this to win this game. Running will be harder against a well prepared defense. Not seeing too much out of the Ravens in this one, so take the Under and have some fun with:
    8****IND-6 (buy if you dont get it)
    Peyton Manning is the best signal caller ever, I hate him!!! Give him his credit... 4 MVPs.... a guy that calls his own plays pre-snap, one of the best at throwing an accurate deep ball, awesome play action, and one of the best performers in the clutch ever.... I really dislike the Colts (Titan fan), but I give them their props. Some of the most money I have ever made on the NFL is because of Manning and the Colts. Do you guys remember the Colts before Manning? Enough said, lol.
    Take this parlay to the bank.
    8****NO-7
    New Orleans, no longer the aints.... should be superbowl bound. Look for them to play great defense against Warner and the Cards. I love Kurt Warner, I hate for him to go out (retiring) with this game, but the Saints will make light work of the worn out Cards. This number should rise, so I released it now. If you noticed on Fantasy leagues all around, the Saints Defense was ranked in top 3. Why? Turnovers, they force them and they score. I hate going against Warner, but you have to, this is a 2 TD victory or greater for the well rested Saints. The D will take center stage, look at the under on this massive 57 point line. That might be the highest playoff total ever..... take your chances that it wont live up to it.Bolden didnt really practice and might not play again.... Cromartie, Mcfadden, and Rolle sort of banged up in AZ secondary. Love the Saints.
    6****NO/AZ UNDER 57

    PARLAY
    SD-7
    NO-7
    PARLAY
    SD-7
    IND-6
    BIG PARLAY
    SD OVER 42
    MIN UNDER 46

    Good luck to all, if this means anything to you all, I usually hit that first game Saturday... play it.
    *****IF ANYONE WANTS A DIFFERENT PLAY, POST YOUR PICK AND DONATE YOUR POINTS AND LETS WAGER. NO LIMIT. [/color]
  • THE PROFIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-27-09
    • 17701

    #2
    Likin' all the favorites, very interesting guru!
    Comment
    • woody78
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-18-08
      • 502

      #3
      0% chance all faves win. Like the SD pick, no matter what number anyone gets. If I can get Balty at 7 I'll take them too. Told ya last week I liked them to get it done against the Pats. A little different animal this week though in the Colts.

      Not sure right now about the other two games, but am leaning heavy towards AZ.

      GL man.
      Comment
      • Jasonal_98
        SBR MVP
        • 06-16-09
        • 1443

        #4
        I'm with you on the NO pick. Public is falling into a big trap with the Cards.
        Comment
        • kidcd
          Restricted User
          • 12-09-09
          • 444

          #5
          GL guru thanks for posting.
          Comment
          • supplykim
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-09-09
            • 609

            #6
            GL Guru
            Comment
            • TheNFLGuru3
              Restricted User
              • 12-10-09
              • 383

              #7
              Woody, you sound like an educated better, why AZ? Can you give me some feedback? I looked long and hard at this game, really like AZ as a team with Warner. His poise and anticipation are among the best I see. However, I cant get around their D giving up 45 in the playoffs, then playing a similar caliber offense this weekend right after. Kurt Warners Heroics cant be expected back to back, can they? They will need a lot to cover in my opinion.... I see a big let down 31-14. The Saints can play ball hog like the Colts too with a short passing attack.... run clock down. Thats why I liked the under as well. The Cards do have some secondary questions with injuries... making me think about a 10**** delivery here.

              It might be a rare thing to expect all faves to cover, I just think SD, IND, and NO will standout.... I question the Vikings after reviewing the Cowboys and thats why its an opinion play (6****). Dallas D is playing so well.... just love that under.

              PLAY SD/NO/and MIN UNDER on a 3 team parlay or safer NO/ MIN UNDER 2 teamer.... adding money to both tonight.
              Comment
              • Brocc
                SBR MVP
                • 12-25-09
                • 1660

                #8
                I like your card today Guru!
                Agree about a well rested NO defense vs Ariz.....They're finally healthy and can get back to being one of the best defenses in the playoffs.

                Chargers roll! People who aren't familar with Phil Rivers will really see a superstar tomorrow.

                The only lean I have against you is Dallas, as much as I hate them, I can't dismiss they roll they've been on & I think Minny needs alot of AP and he's been coming up small the past 10+ weeks. Farve has that interception DNA that is begging to come out.
                Comment
                • tgunn11
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-21-09
                  • 5731

                  #9
                  Nice picks Guru, I'm going along on your parlays!
                  Comment
                  • bballs84
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-11-09
                    • 5461

                    #10
                    Best of luck GURU
                    Comment
                    • veemister
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-29-08
                      • 124

                      #11
                      GOOD LIKE GURU LIKE THOSE PICS
                      Comment
                      • dvb02
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-30-09
                        • 2941

                        #12
                        I like the Saints play alot Guru. Good luck today!!!
                        Comment
                        • Grux
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-24-09
                          • 494

                          #13
                          Good Luck!
                          Comment
                          • Skidcom
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-17-06
                            • 1796

                            #14
                            I appreciate your thoughts and ideas. I like your totals plays. Usually I am inclined to take dogs with unders. Still thinking......
                            Comment
                            • Vangel330
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-14-09
                              • 127

                              #15
                              GL guru n thanx for sharing
                              Comment
                              • chickenwang
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 11-22-09
                                • 133

                                #16
                                Took all your over/unders mixed with Colts -6 and Saints -7. $10 pays $500. Bring it home
                                Comment
                                • Busterflywheel
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-13-09
                                  • 3991

                                  #17
                                  Looks like we are on some opposites today...Best of luck
                                  Comment
                                  • RockoSocko
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-03-09
                                    • 443

                                    #18
                                    let's go get em' again guru
                                    Comment
                                    • blackbeSSt
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-06-08
                                      • 9398

                                      #19
                                      lets do it today guru!
                                      Comment
                                      • BigdaddyQH
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-13-09
                                        • 19530

                                        #20
                                        Why would you waste your money in buying Indy down to 6 from 6 1/2? You are just throwing money away if you do that. If Indy loses or fails to conver, you just gave your book an extra 10% for absolutely nothing.

                                        You are not going to get San Diego -6.5. I actually think that the under is the play in San Diego tomorrow, because I do not see the Jets scoring many, if any points at all. If the Chargers are held to 24 points, the Jets have to score 19 to cover the over, and that means that they also cover the spread. 24-14 is more like it, with the Chargers scoring late to put the game out of reach.
                                        Comment
                                        • aca
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-20-06
                                          • 2111

                                          #21
                                          Best of luck, Guru3!
                                          Comment
                                          • Skidcom
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-17-06
                                            • 1796

                                            #22
                                            An opinion from someone who was 6-2 last week: The first week of the playoffs was interesting and perhaps indicative of future upsets. The Cards proved once again that they're a lot better than the pundits give them credit for. In the endless pre game analyses, not ONE prognosticator gave them a chance against the supposedly tough (ranked second) Packer defence. Well, Kurt Warner put on a clinic. Unbelievably, they go in against a weak Saints secondary as 7 point dogs. N O's game vs. Was sticks in my memory like a sore thumb, they were the luckiest kind of winner in that contest, you may recall. As good as Brees may be, he doesn't have the playoff credentials that Warner has. Take the 7 and a light bet on under 57.

                                            A similar situation exists in the Rave/Colts matchup; a dog getting no respect. Anyone who watched Bal take the Pats apart last week has to have been impressed. With Ed Reid back and Suggs and Lewis putting on the pressure, Manning, for all his brilliance, is likely to have a rough day. The Raves were a loser by 2 at Ind earlier this season and a case can certainly be made that they're better now than at that time. Again, take the 6.5 and go over 44.

                                            Dal is a dog at Min and again, one wonders why. The formerly high flying Packers revealed how mediocre that division is and the Vikes finished the regular season with exceedingly poor performances. The Cowboys conversely, powered their way to a division title and are arguably playing better ball than Minny. Take the 2.5 and go over 45.5.

                                            S D is 7 over the Jets in the weekend's finale. The Chargers are a legit fave in here, as N Y is a total fraud. They backed into the playoffs and drew the worst of the opening round's home teams. Rivers should be salivating and the S D running game is a great complement to their air attack. Lay the wood and go over 42.
                                            Comment
                                            • RockoSocko
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-03-09
                                              • 443

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                              Why would you waste your money in buying Indy down to 6 from 6 1/2? You are just throwing money away if you do that. If Indy loses or fails to conver, you just gave your book an extra 10% for absolutely nothing.

                                              You are not going to get San Diego -6.5. I actually think that the under is the play in San Diego tomorrow, because I do not see the Jets scoring many, if any points at all. If the Chargers are held to 24 points, the Jets have to score 19 to cover the over, and that means that they also cover the spread. 24-14 is more like it, with the Chargers scoring late to put the game out of reach.
                                              bigdaddy did you ever respond to guru's bet? He gave you exactly what you wanted... and what you CONSTANTLY tell people in here. "Put your money where you mouth is". So, did you?
                                              Comment
                                              • woody78
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-18-08
                                                • 502

                                                #24
                                                The more I look and read about the NO/AZ game the more I worry AZ could be struggling after that crazy game last week. I still think AZ can run the ball when they need to and not have Warner throw 45 times, unless of course they get down 14 and they are forced to do that. It looks like Cromartie, Rolle and McFadden are all gonna be in, which makes me feel better about AZ. They have some playoff experience on their side and I have to think there was some good fundamental review of what they did wrong against Green Bay, so I really can't foresee another huge letdown by them in back-to-back weeks. I also have seen a questionable Saints offense over the last month of the season and not sure how they just start clicking again when game time comes. Saints have given up between 145-178 rushing yards in each of their last three games. That normally doesn't just fix itself with a week off to rest. I think I've just talked myself into taking the 7 for sure now. GL.
                                                Comment
                                                • Brocc
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-25-09
                                                  • 1660

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Skidcom
                                                  An opinion from someone who was 6-2 last week: The first week of the playoffs was interesting and perhaps indicative of future upsets. The Cards proved once again that they're a lot better than the pundits give them credit for. In the endless pre game analyses, not ONE prognosticator gave them a chance against the supposedly tough (ranked second) Packer defence. Well, Kurt Warner put on a clinic. Unbelievably, they go in against a weak Saints secondary as 7 point dogs. N O's game vs. Was sticks in my memory like a sore thumb, they were the luckiest kind of winner in that contest, you may recall. As good as Brees may be, he doesn't have the playoff credentials that Warner has. Take the 7 and a light bet on under 57.
                                                  I really believe you will see the Saints of the first half of the year. They're well rested & focused. For Cards to travel across country on 6 days between games and put up another offensive shootout is asking a lot. They're #2 WR Bouldin may not play and if he does won't be near 75%. So Breaston has to repeat, highly unlikely. I think the 40 yo Warner starts showing his age.

                                                  Keep in mind the Saints secondary gave up 15 TDs through the air, that's 1 a game and considering many of their games were blowouts, the opposition was in pass mode all the way. GB gave up 29 passing TDs....The Saints have a veteren secondary that is well rested and 100% healthy. Factor in 26 interceptions & 35 sacks, almost 2 per game ints & 2+ sacks a game.

                                                  Saints make a statement today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • woody78
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-18-08
                                                    • 502

                                                    #26
                                                    Brocc - I see the 15 passing TD's that the Saints gave up having a little bit to do with the awful passing teams they played twice a year in their division. Not many time have they covered a team as diverse as AZ and all the WR and TE options they have, even with Boldin out.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sooner13
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 05-06-09
                                                      • 426

                                                      #27
                                                      Stay away from the SD/Jets over! It's supposed to rain tomorrow in SD and that favors the Jets style. Game control, clock management and rushing will probably turn this one into a 17-13 snoozer.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • t-wizzle
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-18-09
                                                        • 38099

                                                        #28
                                                        Guru hold on... Manning is a great quarterback, but to call him "one of the best performers in the clutch ever" is just wrong.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TheNFLGuru3
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 383

                                                          #29
                                                          T-wizzle??? He is not? I'm not on his bandwagon, but I know the truth.... how is he not?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TheNFLGuru3
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 383

                                                            #30
                                                            Someone say rain in SD??? Dont question the GURU bud.

                                                            http://www.weather.com/outlook/events/nfl/gameforecast/92108?eventid=325274&from=NFL_teamsched
                                                            Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
                                                            1:40 PM
                                                            66° F
                                                            50° F
                                                            20%
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dakid420
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 04-25-09
                                                              • 44

                                                              #31
                                                              With you on Chargers, N.O. and the under.... but I can't shake this Baltimore feeling I have with 7 points!!! I can't pick the Dallas game, I am a homer and bias, but Go Cowboys!!!
                                                              But seriously Chargers beat Baltimore next week to face my boys in the bowl.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RockoSocko
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-03-09
                                                                • 443

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by sooner13
                                                                Stay away from the SD/Jets over! It's supposed to rain tomorrow in SD and that favors the Jets style. Game control, clock management and rushing will probably turn this one into a 17-13 snoozer.
                                                                i see 0% of rain....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • t-wizzle
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-18-09
                                                                  • 38099

                                                                  #33
                                                                  7-8 record... I understand that the whole team lost but if we're gonna give him all the credit for their success we gotta place blame on him for the team's struggles in the postseason. His qb rating is 10 pts lower than in the regular season and he has thrown 22 tds to 17 ints.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheNFLGuru3
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                                    • 383

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Manning will shine, no worries here.... Got Saints easily for 50k, under lost 5k... up 45k. IND and IND U.... guaranteed to be up on day because I bet 10k on each and 5k parlay..... UNder should be good... thinking of adding more.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Gameboy
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-12-09
                                                                      • 233

                                                                      #35
                                                                      nice pickin again guru. continued success on tomorrows games
                                                                      Comment
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