my take on nyj/cincy

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #1
    my take on nyj/cincy
    sanchez doesnt have to be special but if he doesnt hit a big play to butter fingers edwards then jets are in trouble i would expect them to take a few shots early and if they connect it will be a good game if not cincy will roll as you can 4get about jets run game winning this 1 on there own.... cincy d is way to good to get run all over they also saw pretty much jets whole run game playbook i would expect lewis to have a excellent defensive game plan in place...the only other factor that has me worried about takin cincy and the under is i would expect jets to have a few trick play/wrinkles out of that wild cat set and brad smith was a capable passer in college so now there are 2 possibility's for jets to get points with big plays which is honestly the only shot they have...i believe cincy can have marginal success with there run game and the fact that they looked like shit coming down the stretch doesnt concern me to much as that is the way lewis has built this team to win ugly...the way i see it if jets cant produce a big play or 2(as this is what i think they need to take the pressure off sanchez this week) cincy wins somthing like 14-10 20-10...if the jets connect for something big the whole game changes as pressure will fall on cincy's offense(never a good thing) and then id say 17-14 20-17 either way....leaning under hard(may buy 3 points as 37 is as high as i think it goes) just havnt decided on a side as im really not sure if jets hit the big plays i think they need or not...the big play will be there, question is does it bounce off brylan edwards face mask or not?

    nyj/cincy und 34

    playing it with my local but online i will more than likely bite the bullet and buy 3 points as 37 is the absolute worst case imo.....cant wait to hear what every1 thinks...here's to us all profiting on this magical weekend
  • jerseykingpin
    Restricted User
    • 12-03-08
    • 1051

    #2
    I see the Jets playing the run alot to bring the ben gals D up and open up for the passing game
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      jersey that is actually where im getting some of my points for cincy in this 1...from a sachez turnover or 2...i agree with you that cincy is going to be in all out run stop mode and jets are going to have to make some plays in the passing game...whether or not they can make a few plays is certainly the key to whether they win or lose imo... this is the biggest reason im torn on picking a side because i agree there will be plays in the passing game to be made im just not sure if the jets can execute and make the play...as even if sanchez delivers the ball on target it still 50/50 if edwards can actually catch it...if sanchez plays great more power to him as that will just help the under as i dont think cincy will have much success driving the entire field on nyj defense
      Comment
      • BrownTown
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-06-09
        • 624

        #4
        Comment
        • Busterflywheel
          SBR MVP
          • 12-13-09
          • 3991

          #5
          Originally posted by 2daBank
          sanchez doesnt have to be special but if he doesnt hit a big play to butter fingers edwards then jets are in trouble i would expect them to take a few shots early and if they connect it will be a good game if not cincy will roll as you can 4get about jets run game winning this 1 on there own.... cincy d is way to good to get run all over they also saw pretty much jets whole run game playbook i would expect lewis to have a excellent defensive game plan in place...the only other factor that has me worried about takin cincy and the under is i would expect jets to have a few trick play/wrinkles out of that wild cat set and brad smith was a capable passer in college so now there are 2 possibility's for jets to get points with big plays which is honestly the only shot they have...i believe cincy can have marginal success with there run game and the fact that they looked like shit coming down the stretch doesnt concern me to much as that is the way lewis has built this team to win ugly...the way i see it if jets cant produce a big play or 2(as this is what i think they need to take the pressure off sanchez this week) cincy wins somthing like 14-10 20-10...if the jets connect for something big the whole game changes as pressure will fall on cincy's offense(never a good thing) and then id say 17-14 20-17 either way....leaning under hard(may buy 3 points as 37 is as high as i think it goes) just havnt decided on a side as im really not sure if jets hit the big plays i think they need or not...the big play will be there, question is does it bounce off brylan edwards face mask or not?

          nyj/cincy und 34

          playing it with my local but online i will more than likely bite the bullet and buy 3 points as 37 is the absolute worst case imo.....cant wait to hear what every1 thinks...here's to us all profiting on this magical weekend
          Ive been leaning this way myself..Going to hold out a few more days to see which way line moves..Good Luck..
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            busterfly....as ive said b4 im no line expert but im 80% sure this line doesnt move and if it does it certainly doesnt move up
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              FYI, betting is 50/50 through 23,000 bets, so this line won't hit 3 without sharp action on Cincy.
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #8
                i agree LT... pretty sure we talkin about the total and honestly i dont think either line moves
                Comment
                • jerseykingpin
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-03-08
                  • 1051

                  #9
                  ............spread ml o/u
                  JETS ......37% 85% 86%
                  Bengals 63% 15% 14%
                  as of this morning line is 2 1/2 o/u 34 1/2
                  Comment
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