Got Bengals & Jets for AFC Champ/SuperBowl

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  • MichaelC
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-25-09
    • 211

    #1
    Got Bengals & Jets for AFC Champ/SuperBowl
    Got them both so high, I plan to start hedging at the Divisional Playoffs and then profit.
  • xxxvince
    SBR MVP
    • 12-17-07
    • 2567

    #2
    both will lose this week
    Comment
    • slacker00
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-06-05
      • 12262

      #3
      You'd better hedge. Neither of these two teams deserves to be in the playoffs, from a quality of team standpoint.
      Comment
      • PAULYPOKER
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-06-08
        • 36581

        #4
        Shit you should of told me I would of took the bet in a New york second
        Comment
        • MichaelC
          SBR High Roller
          • 10-25-09
          • 211

          #5
          You guys misunderstand me....@ SB +3600(+1800) and +4300(+2000) for these two teams...by them playing each other...I can bet the other sides for the remainder of the playoffs and either profit slightly or make good money since they meet each other first round.
          Comment
          • MichaelC
            SBR High Roller
            • 10-25-09
            • 211

            #6
            Originally posted by xxxvince
            both will lose this week
            ??????

            WTF you talking about...
            Comment
            • slacker00
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-06-05
              • 12262

              #7
              Originally posted by MichaelC
              You guys misunderstand me....@ SB +3600(+1800) and +4300(+2000) for these two teams...by them playing each other...I can bet the other sides for the remainder of the playoffs and either profit slightly or make good money since they meet each other first round.
              You will lose money.

              When these two teams start playing some of the big boys, they'll be 4-1 underdogs. If you would have just bet the ML week by week, you'd be getting maybe 60-1. You'll be laying huge odds just trying to cut your losses.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by xxxvince
                both will lose this week
                I would like to know how this possible.
                Comment
                • MichaelC
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-25-09
                  • 211

                  #9
                  Originally posted by slacker00
                  You will lose money.

                  When these two teams start playing some of the big boys, they'll be 4-1 underdogs. If you would have just bet the ML week by week, you'd be getting maybe 60-1. You'll be laying huge odds just trying to cut your losses.
                  I don't see any team being bigger than -225 against either one of these teams. Certainly not 4-1.
                  Comment
                  • slacker00
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-06-05
                    • 12262

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MichaelC
                    I don't see any team being bigger than -225 against either one of these teams. Certainly not 4-1.
                    Cincy @ SD three weeks ago, SD was laying 3-1. If the Jets win, it'll be higher. If they play Indy, it'll be at least that. It's very standard for the bye team to be laying these kinds of odds. Personally, I think Cincy & NYJ are a joke and will probably drive even higher odds, approaching 4-1.

                    P.S. Anyone remember Cards getting 6-1 on the ML going into Carolina last year in the playoffs?
                    Comment
                    • jerseykingpin
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-03-08
                      • 1051

                      #11
                      Originally posted by xxxvince
                      both will lose this week
                      NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ONE OF THEM HAS TO WIN HAVE ANOTHER ONE MAKE THAT I WILL AFTER THIS ONE
                      Comment
                      • jerseykingpin
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-03-08
                        • 1051

                        #12
                        Originally posted by xxxvince
                        both will lose this week
                        Before the wifes lawyer take it all im going to let him place all my bets I would rather give it the book then her
                        Comment
                        • Jag8917
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-15-09
                          • 207

                          #13
                          Originally posted by xxxvince
                          both will lose this week
                          lol
                          Comment
                          • MichaelC
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 10-25-09
                            • 211

                            #14
                            Lock it in!
                            Comment
                            • slacker00
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-06-05
                              • 12262

                              #15
                              Originally posted by MichaelC
                              You guys misunderstand me....@ SB +3600(+1800) and +4300(+2000) for these two teams...by them playing each other...I can bet the other sides for the remainder of the playoffs and either profit slightly or make good money since they meet each other first round.


                              So, the Jets @ +120 vs Cincy, @+320 vs SD, @+300 vs Indy works out to +3600 EV.

                              Do you still like your bet?
                              Comment
                              • MichaelC
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-25-09
                                • 211

                                #16
                                Originally posted by slacker00
                                So, the Jets @ +120 vs Cincy, @+320 vs SD, @+300 vs Indy works out to +3600 EV.

                                Do you still like your bet?
                                You can't count Cincy since I had them as one of my two futures...I had one of those two teams coming out from that game...In the end it was +320, +295/300...so not +3600
                                Comment
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