Chargers +3 seems way to easy! Chargers vs Titans IN GAME DISCUSSION!

[Glitch]

TRAP GAME CITY. believe that.

titans by enough to f*ck the under.

[The Seer]

It's an advantage for TN on a short holiday week. I expect the chargers to be somewhat flat especially after barely getting by Cincy last week. I'm on the Titans here.

[Mr Nuts]

Total trap game i'm gonna stay away.

[MarkTX]

Sometimes the public is right and this is one of those times.....this reminds me of the Giants last week when everyone was on the Skins....the inferior team .....Chargers+3

[TUDINH]

over for me god game

[goldengoat]

i like sd ml but can see argument for tenn

[The General]

Good luck all. Let's have a competitive game tonight.

[PAULYPOKER]

[PAULYPOKER]

[PAULYPOKER]

[Bsters]

I agree with emoney, Titans recovered well but San Diego is a legit team to make the Conference championship this year

[withoutatout]

I agree fully that this one is too easy. We'll be "Charging Ahead on Christmas Night." Just posted an hour ago on the wrong blog. Here is what I said:

Let's talk about tonight's game pitting the San Diego Chargers against the Tennessee Titans. Some books continue to rate the Chargers as an underdog at +3 points. This is amazing to me.

By my estimation the Chargers have a 0.529 straight-up probability of winning this game, and with that three-point gift (and I mean gift) they have a 0.608 probability of winning against the spread. If you were to place a $100 bet on the Chargers, the wagering value of that bet would be $16.10---not bad for a day's return on investment. Sportsbook players have a good chance of winning against the spread here... a probability of 0.608 against the spread is very good in the world of sports wagering.

As for the Titans, well, betting $100 on that team, favored by three points, has a negative wagering value (-$25.19) according to my calculations. Don't bother betting on the Titans.

Digging deeper, we have to wonder what is going on here. What are the bookmakers thinking? Yes, the Titans are at home. But home field advantage, judging from the recent Sagarin ratings, is less than three points.

What about injuries? The Chargers have six players on injured reserve or out status, as do the Titans. The Chargers have four more players on probable or questionable status than the Titans, but none of these players is essential to winning the game. Phillip Rivers is just fine, thank you. And with 25 touchdowns to 9 interceptions (compared with a 10-to-4 ratio for Vince Young)... well, I'll take Rivers tonight.

Oh, am I forgetting the dreadful trip across the country at Christmas time. We know what the touts have been saying about those poor West Coast teams having to endure the rigors of air travel. Give me a break. These are men who travel for a living and party all hours of the day and night.

Of course, not all the books sit at +3 for the Chargers. So if you aren't shopping the line, you may have to settle for +2.5, +2, or even +1. Nevertheless, game simulations with the Chargers at +1, say, still have them winning against the spread with a probability of 0.542. At +1 for the Chargers, the wagering value of a $100 bet remains positive ($3.49), though nothing to get excited about.

Indeed, it appears that the opening lines for this game may have given the Titans more credit than they deserve. I checked VegasInsider around 6 p.m. on Wednesday, December 23 to get the +3 line. So at that time many books were giving the betting public a gift. Thank you, sportsbooks. Pease do this again, especially with the ensuing playoffs.

The Chargers are clearly on their way to a successful postseason, and this game against the Titans may not mean much in the grand scheme of things. But, I say the Chargers will be in true form tonight. A Christmas stocking awaits them, full of touchdown and field goal goodies. And the poor Titans, well, you know, there used to be a story about bad children getting coal in their stockings.

So much for my holiday report... my first blog on the SBR Forum. Hope it's a winner.

[PAULYPOKER]

Tennessee will win by 6 to13 points out

[GELATINOUS CUBE]

how do you guys know where the $ is? Ten -3 the square play. But, I still took it... Well in theory, I'm not really betting this one, oh yeah I bet SBR points. That makes it fun. But I'm not putting $40,000 on this game either way.

I will be suprised to see the Bolts win, but not shocked. Bolts is probably the sharp play or the gamble. All the $$ probably on the Titans.

[laxdjock]

I'm riding my TEN -3. I just need CLE and Lebron to close this game out and I'll be in the black regardless of this outcome.

[betkill]

Instead of rushing everyone on the field to get 1 sec of prep, why wouldn't they just call a timeout..

[Frosh]

Need a big defensive play here. Really swing the momentum.

[Frosh]

Or instead, we could just not tackle.

[smarmy]

TN is going down hard.

[smarmy]

Now the coaches are going to make sure that they are down by 21 by the half!

[Bread]

Hey I already lost! NEAT!

[NashvilleSteve]

I agree fully that this one is too easy. We'll be "Charging Ahead on Christmas Night." Just posted an hour ago on the wrong blog. Here is what I said:

Let's talk about tonight's game pitting the San Diego Chargers against the Tennessee Titans. Some books continue to rate the Chargers as an underdog at +3 points. This is amazing to me.

By my estimation the Chargers have a 0.529 straight-up probability of winning this game, and with that three-point gift (and I mean gift) they have a 0.608 probability of winning against the spread. If you were to place a $100 bet on the Chargers, the wagering value of that bet would be $16.10---not bad for a day's return on investment. Sportsbook players have a good chance of winning against the spread here... a probability of 0.608 against the spread is very good in the world of sports wagering.

As for the Titans, well, betting $100 on that team, favored by three points, has a negative wagering value (-$25.19) according to my calculations. Don't bother betting on the Titans.

Digging deeper, we have to wonder what is going on here. What are the bookmakers thinking? Yes, the Titans are at home. But home field advantage, judging from the recent Sagarin ratings, is less than three points.

What about injuries? The Chargers have six players on injured reserve or out status, as do the Titans. The Chargers have four more players on probable or questionable status than the Titans, but none of these players is essential to winning the game. Phillip Rivers is just fine, thank you. And with 25 touchdowns to 9 interceptions (compared with a 10-to-4 ratio for Vince Young)... well, I'll take Rivers tonight.

Oh, am I forgetting the dreadful trip across the country at Christmas time. We know what the touts have been saying about those poor West Coast teams having to endure the rigors of air travel. Give me a break. These are men who travel for a living and party all hours of the day and night.

Of course, not all the books sit at +3 for the Chargers. So if you aren't shopping the line, you may have to settle for +2.5, +2, or even +1. Nevertheless, game simulations with the Chargers at +1, say, still have them winning against the spread with a probability of 0.542. At +1 for the Chargers, the wagering value of a $100 bet remains positive ($3.49), though nothing to get excited about.

Indeed, it appears that the opening lines for this game may have given the Titans more credit than they deserve. I checked VegasInsider around 6 p.m. on Wednesday, December 23 to get the +3 line. So at that time many books were giving the betting public a gift. Thank you, sportsbooks. Pease do this again, especially with the ensuing playoffs.

The Chargers are clearly on their way to a successful postseason, and this game against the Titans may not mean much in the grand scheme of things. But, I say the Chargers will be in true form tonight. A Christmas stocking awaits them, full of touchdown and field goal goodies. And the poor Titans, well, you know, there used to be a story about bad children getting coal in their stockings.

So much for my holiday report... my first blog on the SBR Forum. Hope it's a winner.

VERY WELL SAID!!!!!!!

[paste_me]

damn... what a bad day for me

[smarmy]

Hey I already lost! NEAT!

How the hell did you lose already?

[The General]

Tenn 2nd half. Recall their SB vs St Louis?

[Chi_archie]

team stats are pretty even, just comes down to protecting the football

[seaborneq]

The one thing I can say for the Chargers is that they always compete. I don't think they come to Tennesee to lay down.

You didn't see them against the Steelers this year did you? Got pushed around like barbie dolls.

[4TH AND STUPID]

will the refs let the titans play in the second half? or are we going to keep calling false start penalties as offsides on tennessee, and boneheaded pass interference and personal fouls..

its really getting rediculous.

dear nfl, please let them play instead of ruining the game with this rediculous staff.

[4TH AND STUPID]

theyve tried to kill every offensive series of tennessee's with a holding call , and theyve tried to extend every chargers series with defensive offsides.

its really frustrating watching this as a fan of the nfl and my football team.

[big0mar]

Did anyone not expect Rivers to tear through the Titans secondary?

[big0mar]

theyve tried to kill every offensive series of tennessee's with a holding call , and theyve tried to extend every chargers series with defensive offsides.

its really frustrating watching this as a fan of the nfl and my football team.

You cannot be serious. SD got holding penalties. The difference being SD converted on 2nd and 20.

[Frosh]

The refs are calling offsides and neutral zone infractions on Tennessee because they keep committing the infractions.

[big0mar]

You didn't see them against the Steelers this year did you? Got pushed around like barbie dolls.

Yes but you can't expect that type of play from Tennessees defensive front

[4TH AND STUPID]

Pass interfernce on finnegan when he was grabbed and mauled !!????


Are you joking me!!???

[NashvilleSteve]

The refs are calling offsides and neutral zone infractions on Tennessee because they keep committing the infractions.