It's been a stressful week for various reasons, which might be why I've struggled to find bets or think clearly about the games. Anyway, this is what my addled mind has spewed out for week 15:
New England @ Buffalo
I only discovered AFTER placing my bet that the Patriots have injury problems on both lines. That's not good, and sums up my poor week or research and preparation. However, my view of the game is that Buffalo simply aren't good enough in any area to seriously test a New England team that needs this win like Tiger Woods needs a good divorce lawyer. The Bills have an apparent strength in defensive passer rating, but I think this is a game where that will be exposed as somewhat deceptive, and the Patriots will rack up another comfortable win at Ralph Wilson Stadium
Mystic Limey forsees: NE 31 - 17 BUF
Patriots -7 for 6 units
Cincinnatti @ San Diego
The Bengals got whacked on their last trip to the West Coast, by lowly Oakland. I have a feeling Marvin Lewis won't stand for that again and that the striped ones will be taking seriously the opportunity to wrap up their division and have a shot at bettering the Chargers in the playoff seedings. Not that San Diego won't be without similar motivation, but I just can't buy that the Bolts keep winning indefinitely with their unbalanced attack.
Mystic Limey forsees: CIN 23 - 24 SD
Bengals +6.5 for 5 units
Minnesota @ Carolina
Carolina really aren't that bad a team, you know. One year removed from sewing up the umber one seed in the NFC, they surely wouldn't be 5-8 if poor Jake Del'homme hadn't had an autumnus horribilis. As long as they haven't thrown in the towel - and it didn't look that way last Sunday at Foxboro - then I give the cats a good shot at competing with Minnesota in what represents an uninspiring trip South for the Vikings. NB: I could have done without the Saints losing to renew Vikings shot at number one seed.
Mystic Limey forsees: CAR 20 - 24 MIN
Panthers +9 for 5 units
Under/Overs
Keyed by a statistical indicator of teams whose performance against the total line should move one way or the other, here are this week's two:
NYG @ Washington UNDER 43.5 for 3 units
Miami @ Tennessee UNDER 42.5 for 3 units
I also intend to play the Jets/Falcons game but the chickenshit site I use currently doesn't have a line up. God knows why? Snow?? I will update if I get on it.
New England @ Buffalo
I only discovered AFTER placing my bet that the Patriots have injury problems on both lines. That's not good, and sums up my poor week or research and preparation. However, my view of the game is that Buffalo simply aren't good enough in any area to seriously test a New England team that needs this win like Tiger Woods needs a good divorce lawyer. The Bills have an apparent strength in defensive passer rating, but I think this is a game where that will be exposed as somewhat deceptive, and the Patriots will rack up another comfortable win at Ralph Wilson Stadium
Mystic Limey forsees: NE 31 - 17 BUF
Patriots -7 for 6 units
Cincinnatti @ San Diego
The Bengals got whacked on their last trip to the West Coast, by lowly Oakland. I have a feeling Marvin Lewis won't stand for that again and that the striped ones will be taking seriously the opportunity to wrap up their division and have a shot at bettering the Chargers in the playoff seedings. Not that San Diego won't be without similar motivation, but I just can't buy that the Bolts keep winning indefinitely with their unbalanced attack.
Mystic Limey forsees: CIN 23 - 24 SD
Bengals +6.5 for 5 units
Minnesota @ Carolina
Carolina really aren't that bad a team, you know. One year removed from sewing up the umber one seed in the NFC, they surely wouldn't be 5-8 if poor Jake Del'homme hadn't had an autumnus horribilis. As long as they haven't thrown in the towel - and it didn't look that way last Sunday at Foxboro - then I give the cats a good shot at competing with Minnesota in what represents an uninspiring trip South for the Vikings. NB: I could have done without the Saints losing to renew Vikings shot at number one seed.
Mystic Limey forsees: CAR 20 - 24 MIN
Panthers +9 for 5 units
Under/Overs
Keyed by a statistical indicator of teams whose performance against the total line should move one way or the other, here are this week's two:
NYG @ Washington UNDER 43.5 for 3 units
Miami @ Tennessee UNDER 42.5 for 3 units
I also intend to play the Jets/Falcons game but the chickenshit site I use currently doesn't have a line up. God knows why? Snow?? I will update if I get on it.