We cashed in our 6th straight winning week last week and we're looking to make it 7 in a row! I'm going to go ahead and release one play for Thursday Night, this play comes mostly from the weather conditions for the game. Here's what I like:
Weather is going to have a huge impact in this game, as we're going to have sustained Southwest winds of 25-35 mph and snow falling. The wind is going to be a crosswind on the field, which favors low scoring more than if it were going directionally. With these conditions, you can expect each team to load up the box to stop the run, daring the other to throw deep on them. Given the wind, I doubt we'll see any long completions resulting in quick scores.
Now let's look at how each team is equipped to deal with this situation. For starters, Steelers WR Hines Ward is dealing with a hamstring injury, and may not even play in this game. Pittsburgh's strength this year has been throwing the ball, as they're 4th best in the NFL at yards per pass attempt. With the conditions limiting how effective their air game an be, they'll likely focus on running the ball. While their rushing offense is slightly above average, with the Browns focusing on shutting it down due to the weather conditions, I don't expect a ton of production on the ground for them. On Cleveland's side of the ball, without poor conditions they've been the worst passing offense in the NFL, with their rushing offense ranking 4th worst. Factoring in the weather, I think there is a legitimate chance they don't make it to double digit points. We're likely looking at a sloppy game with a few turnovers, and extreme difficulty kicking field goals. With all of that in mind, the under is the clear play here. Good luck to anyone who bets on the game!
- Steelers/Browns UNDER 33.5
Weather is going to have a huge impact in this game, as we're going to have sustained Southwest winds of 25-35 mph and snow falling. The wind is going to be a crosswind on the field, which favors low scoring more than if it were going directionally. With these conditions, you can expect each team to load up the box to stop the run, daring the other to throw deep on them. Given the wind, I doubt we'll see any long completions resulting in quick scores.
Now let's look at how each team is equipped to deal with this situation. For starters, Steelers WR Hines Ward is dealing with a hamstring injury, and may not even play in this game. Pittsburgh's strength this year has been throwing the ball, as they're 4th best in the NFL at yards per pass attempt. With the conditions limiting how effective their air game an be, they'll likely focus on running the ball. While their rushing offense is slightly above average, with the Browns focusing on shutting it down due to the weather conditions, I don't expect a ton of production on the ground for them. On Cleveland's side of the ball, without poor conditions they've been the worst passing offense in the NFL, with their rushing offense ranking 4th worst. Factoring in the weather, I think there is a legitimate chance they don't make it to double digit points. We're likely looking at a sloppy game with a few turnovers, and extreme difficulty kicking field goals. With all of that in mind, the under is the clear play here. Good luck to anyone who bets on the game!
Last 7 Thur night games have ALL GONE UNDER, so I'll go under too!
Looking forward to reading the weekend write-ups.
