Is the OVER the square play tonight?

jaymac82980 · 11-30-09, 07:43 PM

Vegas hasn't had much luck with getting it's cash back on football this year. The reason people are hammering it is because it is low. but was is vegas supposed to do? open the over at 75? it's not college ball, they wouldnt post a total that high in the NFL.

think about why they got killed a few weeks ago, horrible teams all got blown out by good teams. and the reason given...."we just couldn't make the lines high enough". linesmakers just dont post high lines in the NFL like they do in college. it just doesnt happen. when the pats were dominating back in 07, they were setting records with lines in the 20's.....when people knew the lines should be higher. then what happened? when vegas made the lines even high to adjust, people bet the other way and vegas lost.

take that over and dont question it.

BrownTown · 11-30-09, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

Vegas hasn't had much luck with getting it's cash back on football this year. The reason people are hammering it is because it is low. but was is vegas supposed to do? open the over at 75? it's not college ball, they wouldnt post a total that high in the NFL.

think about why they got killed a few weeks ago, horrible teams all got blown out by good teams. and the reason given...."we just couldn't make the lines high enough". linesmakers just dont post high lines in the NFL like they do in college. it just doesnt happen. when the pats were dominating back in 07, they were setting records with lines in the 20's.....when people knew the lines should be higher. then what happened? when vegas made the lines even high to adjust, people bet the other way and vegas lost.

take that over and dont question it.

Good info ... so it sounds like you are stronger on the total apposed to a side?

Skidcom · 11-30-09, 07:47 PM

Interesting way to look at it

jaymac82980 · 11-30-09, 07:51 PM

I took OVER 56.5 for $300
Pats 1st Half -0 for $275
and I parlayed the total and pats +1 for $100 to pay $260

I think the pats win outright. I just like the total more. I didnt want to put out too much money on the 1st game of the week. which is why I wrapped up the pats winning the game into a small parlay.

The saints play shittty 1st half, and come alive towards the end of games scoring 3 td's in the forth or whatever (look into it if you want). I think the pats will be up at the half which is why I liked that 1st half bet.

I dont like the 1st half over - back to the thought i mentioned above, there could be 4 td's in the 1st half, but who knows what the Saints do. But I'm not betting the UNDER at all!

jaymac82980 · 11-30-09, 07:54 PM

I'm playing it safe early this week, safe enough to go up a little bit here and there, then I'm pounding my secret little college game system that paid me a but load the past few weeks.

BrownTown · 11-30-09, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

I'm playing it safe early this week, safe enough to go up a little bit here and there, then I'm pounding my secret little college game system that paid me a but load the past few weeks.

Do tell!!!!!
If you don't want it broadcast on SBR, can you send me a PM? Interested in any angle ...

College has been kicking my ass and NFL saving me each week.