Is Titans and Texans RLM?

pattymayo · 11-23-09, 01:21 AM

i like Houston -4 for this reason

texhooper · 11-23-09, 01:26 AM

titans cover, this is insignificant and shaky movement, and also it is shaky to say 61% are on the titans.

Dark Horse · 11-23-09, 01:38 AM

Yes, it is RLM.

A pass on HOU for me, because I also have a strong dog angle for this one. Conflicting trends.

tango · 11-23-09, 01:54 AM

Originally posted by Dark Horse

Yes, it is RLM.

A pass on HOU for me, because I also have a strong dog angle for this one. Conflicting trends.

Are you on the Titans then?

The game is a coin flip. It's a win of 3 points by either team so if it's at 4 then Titans is the play for me.

Dark Horse · 11-23-09, 02:11 AM

From a football perspective I agree that HOU is the team, which agrees with the RLM and the sharp opinion. But from a systems approach I have a strong dog angle for the game. So I have to pass.

If somebody put a gun to my head to bet on the game I would play TEN, even though the sharps appear to be on HOU. In that case I would be aware of the RLM, and its reason, and then go RRLM.

tango · 11-23-09, 02:18 AM

gotcha. thanks.

texhooper · 11-23-09, 02:27 AM

where's the rlm? the solid rlm, that is. there's rlm in 50-60% of all pro games if you consider this rlm.

Saleen · 11-23-09, 02:34 AM

Did u know the Tenn. has won two of its past three on mnf. and olso has won seven of the past nine meetings. TITANS WILL BE MY PICK .good luck to everyone.

dodger33 · 11-23-09, 02:40 AM

for most of this week it was about 65 on tenn 35 on hou and moved a whole point the wrong way -3.5 to -4.5. it is sneaking closer to 60 40 and moved back a half point.

Totolover1409 · 11-23-09, 03:53 AM

Yeah, I am heavy on Houston and just noticed the move back to -4. Still feel pretty confident but would like it much better with a whole point movement.

Also, it is at Houston so it reinforces the RLM.

If you have more questions, I have a thread called RLM where we have a good group of people who pick RLMs every weekend.

Dark Horse · 11-23-09, 04:07 AM

That RLM thread is one of the few good ones on this forum.

May be useful to add which book initiated the line movement. (Pinnacle, Greek, CRIS, or other) Some may be more reliable than others. The line history is available at SBR odds.

hawaii808 · 11-23-09, 06:36 AM

Originally posted by pattymayo

i like Houston -4 for this reason

same here

Totolover1409 · 11-23-09, 11:12 AM

Much appreciated Dark Horse.

NashvilleSteve · 11-23-09, 11:17 AM

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring HOUSTON in this gameThe betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (112-106)The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-16)The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 48.4% of the time since 1992. (44-47)The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-19)No Edge. As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this gameThe betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 49.3% of the time since 1992. (113-116)The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-16)The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 45.7% of the time since 1992. (48-57)The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 43.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-21)

NashvilleSteve · 11-23-09, 11:18 AM

11/23/2009
08:35 PM 435 - Tennessee Titans

436 - Houston Texans
67092 +3.5 -102
-3.5 -106 +4 -107
-4 -101

NashvilleSteve · 11-23-09, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by NashvilleSteve

11/23/2009
08:35 PM 435 - Tennessee Titans

436 - Houston Texans
67092 +3.5 -102
-3.5 -106 +4 -107
-4 -101

The 63 % is showing for Tennessee, the 37% is showing for Houston!

Unchained · 11-23-09, 01:02 PM

Vince Young doesn't know about RLM.
I also love when people say this team is due to win. lol

Whatever happens is a mystery to us all. Except for the touts they have "inside info on the game" lol

I wish you all well. I like the under

Nguyen · 11-23-09, 01:18 PM

ss

Tenn is on fire and should be paid close attention to in this game. I believe we can take Houston out, winning by 3 or more. The over also seems like a safe bet if you don't want to take the team. Money in the bank!

capper123 · 11-23-09, 01:32 PM

everyone has to stop looking into this game so much. everyone wants an easy at home favorite to win but guess whats thats not the case. i keep hearing tennesee is still that bad football team. texans are the better team take the texans. i think thats a bunch of bull. you have to look at right now and right now vince young is on fire. you better believe jeff fisher is going to have a game plan to win this game. the titans are who we thought they are and thats a good football team. take them getting points here. i been on fire with picks on here and heres another easy one to go along with that easy sunday night pick last night. take the titans and dont think about it go big!

S.K.M. · 11-23-09, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by capper123

i been on fire with picks on here and heres another easy one to go along with that easy sunday night pick last night.

Sunday night was an easy pick? If it wasn't for that blocked FG in the 4th quarter the eagles don't cover.

PorkyPig · 11-23-09, 02:44 PM

Titans are not on fire. No team that is 3-6 can be on fire. Ever. Texans roll.

tango · 11-23-09, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by NashvilleSteve

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring HOUSTON in this gameThe betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (112-106)The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-16)The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 48.4% of the time since 1992. (44-47)The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-19)No Edge. As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this gameThe betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 49.3% of the time since 1992. (113-116)The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-16)The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 45.7% of the time since 1992. (48-57)The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 43.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-21)

In other words, it's still a coin flip as to who's going to win. In this case do we want to go with the hot team or go with the team that's is good coming off a bye with 2 weeks to prepare. Tough call. I think 4 points is too much to give for two evenly matched team.

jamesjames · 11-23-09, 03:28 PM

I checked some stats, and I like Houston -4 coming off a bye week...how can 31st rank pass defense stop Houston with 3rd rank in passing...Obviously, RB Johnson will make some ground, but Texans has 2 weeks prepare for him...Johnson will be limited! therefore, Young will need to throw...surely he will make some mistake...i also like the over....31-20 Houston wins...

kp126 · 11-23-09, 03:35 PM

Originally posted by jamesjames

I checked some stats, and I like Houston -4 coming off a bye week...how can 31st rank pass defense stop Houston with 3rd rank in passing...Obviously, RB Johnson will make some ground, but Texans has 2 weeks prepare for him...Johnson will be limited! therefore, Young will need to throw...surely he will make some mistake...i also like the over....31-20 Houston wins...

good points but have you compared Tennessee's run offense vs Houston's run defense?

just curious

kp126 · 11-23-09, 03:42 PM

just looked up stats and it looks like Houston is ranked 13 rush defense and Tennessee is 2nd rushing offense... Only 4 teams have allowed more rushing tds than Houston(this is with only 9 games played while all the other teams have played 10)...

I would say that Tennessee and Houston both have flaws defensively but Houston being at home will make the difference here...

Also expect this one to go over because of big plays on the ground for both teams