GiveMeaBJ Week 11 NFL Plays

[GiveMeaBJ]

YTD: 11-6 (+$410)

Carolina Panthers -3 (-120) to win $200
Panthers finally on the right track. After the 0-3 start they are 4-2 in the last 6 and Delhomme is slowly settling in thanks to the running game returning to last years form. Defense is getting stops in key spots finally and they find themselves right in the NFC wildcard mix. Dolphins record is very misleading. 4-5 but losses to Saints, Colts, Patriots, Falcons, and Chargers. They should have beaten the Saints and Colts btw. However, the Dolphins are without Ronnie Brown who is the catalyst of the Wildcat. Without the wildcat what are the Dolphins? Just another team with a solid defense, shitty QB, and a heavy dose of dives. Many people are going to say Ricky Williams can run the wildcat just fine, he can't. Who will be coming around in place of Williams? Polite? Maybe they can run it with Pat White but then they lose the up the middle wildcat plays. I just don't see this working for them. Someone has to cover Steve Smith, he is waiting to go off.
Panthers 20, Dolphins 10

[Sports Cruncher]

I lean Carolina too, but am concerned with LT Gross being out now, though it's certainly not as big of a loss as Brown..

[GiveMeaBJ]

Yea Gross protecting the blind side is a big loss for Carolina. Though not as big as if they would have lost someone on the right side. Jason Taylor is z primarily right side rusher. The last thing I would want to see is him rushing at an inexperienced lineman. They still may rush the left side but I think the Panthers will adjust with a little extra help that way. Also Porter who rushes left quite a bit is in the doghouse for some reason and I really don't think he is happy with what is going on in Miami he hasn't been playing his hardest this year.

[GiveMeaBJ]

YTD: 11-6 (+4.10 Units)

Carolina Panthers -3 (-120) to win 2 Units

Adding this one:

3 Team 10 Pt Teaser to win 5 Units
Steelers PK/Patriots -0.5/Vikings PK

I know all the arguments about teasers being the sucker bets but I have been profitbale in teasers over the past 5 years and have been good picking my spots. This is one of my favorite types of teasers, barring a tie there is no way I can lose by one of the bets pushing which is the way a lot of these teasers go down. Like last week a lot of my friends had the Saints -15 teased down -5 because they got it late and ended up with a loss because the Saints only won by 5. The Steelers had a really bad loss last week against the Bengals, the offense looked terrible but the defense was still on point holding the Bengals offesne to just 4 FG's. The Chiefs are a sorry team and it is hard to imagine any scenario in which the Chiefs running game has any kind of success against one of the toughest teams to run on in the league. I am expecting Big Ben to air it out and see this Steelers offense put themselves back on track with a win over the Chiefs.
The Patriots are in the eye of the media again for negative reasons and they have a lot to play for against the Jets. For number one they hate the Jets and are looking to avenge a win. Number two they are looking to send a message after Bills descision to go for it on 4th and 2. We all know what a douche he is and I think he will try to unleash hell on the Jets. The Jets still have Sanchez at QB and I think against an amped up defense he may throw his fair share of interceptions.
The Vikings get a home game against the Seahawks who have really been a dissapointment this year. I thought the Seahawks were a little bit better then they have showed and the Vikings are looking to keep pace with the Saints in the race for homefield advantage. Favre has torched this defense in the past and I think we see the same this week. Not to mention AP having his way with this defense.

[Brakon00]

got panthers -3 as well and under 42.5 good picks