GiveMeaBJ Week 10 NFL

[GiveMeaBJ]

Money Invested: $2,000
Current Bankroll: $2,100
YTD: 1-0 (+$100)

Jacksonville Jaguars +7 (-115) to win $100
Jacksonville Jaguars ML +250 risking $50
The New York Jets have been one of the most inconsistent teams throughout this year. One week the defense dominates, the next they no-show. One week Mark Sanchez manages the game, the next he throws six interceptions. So really how good is this team? Well consider they started the year 3-0 with wins @ Houston, vs New England, and vs Tennessee. Since they are 1-4. The one win? The Oakland Raiders. I think this Jets team is very over valued here. Sanchez seems to have lost all the early season confidence he once had and fans are becoming restless. Not only have the interceptions been a problem but he is fumbling the ball often when he gets hit. If the Jets want to win this game they are going to have to pound the ball. Now without Leon Washington they lack that big play spark he provided and have to resort for Thomas Jones and Shonne Greene grinding out 3-4 yards at a time. The Jaguars will stack the box and let Rasheen Mathis deal with Braylon Edwards on an island. I really think we will see Washington's value in this game. If the Jags can stuff the run on the early downs and leave Sanchez in 3rd and longs they will have a field day.

The Jaguars need to establish Maurice Jones-Drew who has been phenomenal all year. They will let David Garrard manage the game as they always do and be satisfied with anthing he gives them. Jones-Drew I think will have his way with the Jets who still miss Kirs Jenkins inside causing havoc.
Jaguars 20, Jets 16

[sirmartingale]

Jones-Drew will need 150+ for the Jags to have a chance. Garrard had not thrown a road TD all year. The Jets have one of the best Pass D's in the league (allowing a 65 QB rating, 5 TDs all year, no.2 in YPG). I would expect the D to be at its best with 2 weeks to rest and prepare. The last 2 losses by the Jets were due to allowing 2 kickoff return TDs and a fumble return TD in one game, and Sanchez throwing 5 picks in the other. Barring any extreme events they could easily have 2 more wins. I think the Jags offense wil struggle to move the ball at all and the Jets O can get enough FGs to cover here.

[GiveMeaBJ]

Cincinatti Bengals +7 (-115) to win $100
Cincinatti Bengals/Pittsburgh Steelers Under 42 to win $100
This is going to be a brutal game. Both defenses are stellar and I have news for you, the Bengals are for real. They pound the rock with Cedric Benson and are using the run to set up the pass unlike previous years. The Steelers rarely lose at home but this is certainly one that I think will be close in the end.
Steelers 14, Bengals 13

Denver Broncos -3 (-120) to win $100
May be walking into a trap here but the Redskins are really horrible. Clinton Portis is out and this Broncos defense has played well all year. After dropping two straight I think the Broncos come out and play well here.
Broncos 20, Redskins 6

Tennessee Titans -7 (-120) to win $100
Titans finally playing up to their potential and Chris Johnson is simply unbeleivable. He could very well be in store for another 200 yard game. Titans are not better because Vince Young is in thier but rather because they give the rock more to Johnson instead of throwing it. Johnson's carries keep going up and he has the highest ypc this late in the year ever (6.7). Expecting the Titans to continue their roll.
Titans 27, Bills 10

[905prodigy]

under on jacksonville game looks like a good play

[GiveMeaBJ]

Jones-Drew will need 150+ for the Jags to have a chance. Garrard had not thrown a road TD all year. The Jets have one of the best Pass D's in the league (allowing a 65 QB rating, 5 TDs all year, no.2 in YPG). I would expect the D to be at its best with 2 weeks to rest and prepare. The last 2 losses by the Jets were due to allowing 2 kickoff return TDs and a fumble return TD in one game, and Sanchez throwing 5 picks in the other. Barring any extreme events they could easily have 2 more wins. I think the Jags offense wil struggle to move the ball at all and the Jets O can get enough FGs to cover here.

Jones-Drew I think gets very close to that 150 yard total if given the carries. Garrard only has 6 Td's on year and they don't need him to do much more then not turn it over. Jets pass d is irrelevant in my opinion because Garrard won't be doing much more then managing the game. Keep in mind those passing numbers vs the Jets are a bit inflated because of who they played: JaMarcus Russell, Chadd Henne (x2), Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Kerry Collins. Other then that they caught Brady when he was still out of sync with his receivers. Then had Schaub and Brees who they limited to average days. But the Jaguars won't be looking to throw the ball. They know what they are and will run the ball. Sanchez is a Cali boy and I still don't think he likes the cold here in NY. If the Jets offense starts slow the already restless crowd will get on them and Sanchez hasn't responded well to that yet this year. Think this is a good spot for the Jags, don't think Jets are as good as the line indicates.

[sirmartingale]

I agree with the Titans and Broncos picks, got 550 on each.

[GiveMeaBJ]

Saints -14 (-115) to win $100
Seahawks +10 (-115) to win $100
Eagles Pk to win $100
Jags +3.5 1H to win $100
Saints -7.5 1H to win $100
Panthers +0.5 1H to win $100
Steelers Team Total Under 24.5 to win $100
Dolphins -0.5/Saints -4/Jaguars +17 (-130) to win $100

[GiveMeaBJ]

Great start to the afternoon.
9-3 (+$580)

Still have Seahawks and Eagles pending.

Money Invested: $2,000
Current Bankroll: $2,680
YTD: 10-3 (+$680)

[GiveMeaBJ]

Seahawks blow it:
Money Invested: $2,000
Current Bankroll: $2,460
YTD: 10-5 (+$460)