Advice for a forum newb

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  • C Dippa
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-02-09
    • 12

    #1
    Advice for a forum newb
    Hello all,

    First time poster...long time lurker. A lot of you have some good insight, so I would appreciate your thoughts on my strategy for this week/tonight.

    I have a 4-team teaser going that has already hit 3 out of 4, with only the Falcons +18 tonight left to go.

    2 units to win 4 units:
    MIAMI +10 1/2
    SAN FRAN +20
    CAROLINA +17
    ATLANTA +18

    Now I am getting a little paranoid, and am considering a hedge bet such as NO -11 1/2 or a 2-team Teaser of NO -5 1/2 and OVER 49.

    I like the teaser idea since NO could win by between 6 and 17 and I could win both bets .

    Any thoughts would be much appreciated.
  • mdemps9190
    SBR MVP
    • 11-08-07
    • 1957

    #2
    The teaser could be good but you run the risk of it not going over and losing both. I don't think the over/under is a sure thing at all. How much do you have on it? I personally like the falcons and would probably let it ride, but you could hedge a very small amount on NO.
    Comment
    • C Dippa
      SBR Rookie
      • 11-02-09
      • 12

      #3
      Not too much on it, unfortunately this season has been rough to me so far. Main reason I am considering hedging is so that I walk away with something. I guess that would indicate I should hedge on the saints, but I really don't see both hitting and I would be eating away at my profits if I lose the hedge bet.

      I am a Falcons homer and would love to just let it ride, but who knows what to expect on Monday night vs the best team in football?

      Also, I know the over is not guaranteed, but I think that ATL +18 should hold if this is an under 49 game.
      Comment
      • C Dippa
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-02-09
        • 12

        #4
        .
        Comment
        • C Dippa
          SBR Rookie
          • 11-02-09
          • 12

          #5
          Thanks to mdemps for the reply...would've been nice to get some advice from a few others, but I guess you guys are all too busy arguing with the LSU fan about the saints. Good luck arguing with a LSU/Saints fan...they will never ever concede that their team has any chance of losing to anyone.

          Took the teaser of Saints -5 1/2 and OVER 49 in addition to my original Falcons +18....as long as my Falcons score 17 points, I'm makin some money tonight!
          Comment
          • southmadejd
            SBR MVP
            • 08-27-09
            • 1059

            #6
            Hey man.....I am a Falcons Season Ticket holder and I still took the Saints at -12. I also put in another two team teaser of the Saints -6 and Over 49 so I like your bet. Personally, I think +18 will be right around where the Saints win by. So hopefully it goes in your favor and mine .
            Comment
            • C Dippa
              SBR Rookie
              • 11-02-09
              • 12

              #7
              Thanks man, Good luck to ya
              Comment
              • Shahbucks
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-31-09
                • 446

                #8
                I think your ok with the teaser bro. I'd be surprise to see that game get this out of hand.
                Comment
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