Just gonna copy/paste from my blog post here, if you're confident in the over and wanna put some points on it at even money, check out my thread, link below.
Also putting 1 unit on the Skins +7.5 -105
"I am a huge Redskins fan, because of that, you could say this pick is biased. But the way I see it, after watching every down this team has played, following every offseason transaction and every roster move, I know a lot more than the average better does about the Redskins. I also want to let you guys know that when I say "we" in this, I am referring to the Redskins, I will try not to do that very much, but it is a habit, sorry. Now I will get to the analysis as to why I think the under is a lock.
The Redskins have struggled to score points this year, to put it nicely. We seem to move the ball okay between the 20's, but once we get in the red zone, we just can not find a way to stick it in the end zone. In my opinion, that had a lot to do with the playcalling. If you happen to live under a rock, I will let you know that the Redskins have "tooken care" of that, by stripping Jim Zorn of his playcalling duties. However, I do not Sherm Lewis, the man replacing him to do much better in his first game. Beyond the playcalling, there is a lot of uncertainty going on within this football team. I am not even sure where to start, so I will start with the obvious, the quarterback. Unlike many others, I actually do think Jason Campbell can be a good NFL quarterback. He really did not play good last week if you look at the numbers, or maybe even at all this season, but there is a perfectly good reason for this, the offensive line. Our offensive line is in terrible condition right now due to injuries. Right now we have two starters from the beggining of the year likely out for the season and that has shown. Campbell has had very little time to throw almost every play and I think this will certainly be a reason why we will not score too much points tonight. Another thing that happens as a result of the poor offensive line is that Clinton Portis is hit two yards behind the line of scrimmage way too often. As a result, I would not be suprised to see the Redskins score less than ten points.
Now on to the Seagles. The only Iggles game I have watched this year, was last weeks loss to the Raiders. Obviously that was their worst game of the season. I must admit that I really do not know too much about this Eagles team and I am mainly basing this off of my knowledge of the Redskins which may be a bad idea, but after taking a quick look at a couple of trends and the Eagles previous games, I still like my chances. The Iggles have scored 38, 34 and 33 this year, but those came against the likes of Kansas City, Tampa Bay and Carolina, so I totally disregard those games. What obviously does jump out to me is that they only put up 9 against Oakland. They have played good defense this year though, holding all opponents to under 14 points with the exception of the Saints, and no one holds them under 14 points. Going to close this one out with a couple of trends and a prediction. I expect this game to be pretty damn boring and for the Iggles to win a close game, final score: 17-14. Now onto the trends
"PHILADELPHIA: 12-4 Under at Washington"
"WASHINGTON: 12-1 Under after 1st month of season"
Thanks for reading and good luck!"
Also putting 1 unit on the Skins +7.5 -105
"I am a huge Redskins fan, because of that, you could say this pick is biased. But the way I see it, after watching every down this team has played, following every offseason transaction and every roster move, I know a lot more than the average better does about the Redskins. I also want to let you guys know that when I say "we" in this, I am referring to the Redskins, I will try not to do that very much, but it is a habit, sorry. Now I will get to the analysis as to why I think the under is a lock.
The Redskins have struggled to score points this year, to put it nicely. We seem to move the ball okay between the 20's, but once we get in the red zone, we just can not find a way to stick it in the end zone. In my opinion, that had a lot to do with the playcalling. If you happen to live under a rock, I will let you know that the Redskins have "tooken care" of that, by stripping Jim Zorn of his playcalling duties. However, I do not Sherm Lewis, the man replacing him to do much better in his first game. Beyond the playcalling, there is a lot of uncertainty going on within this football team. I am not even sure where to start, so I will start with the obvious, the quarterback. Unlike many others, I actually do think Jason Campbell can be a good NFL quarterback. He really did not play good last week if you look at the numbers, or maybe even at all this season, but there is a perfectly good reason for this, the offensive line. Our offensive line is in terrible condition right now due to injuries. Right now we have two starters from the beggining of the year likely out for the season and that has shown. Campbell has had very little time to throw almost every play and I think this will certainly be a reason why we will not score too much points tonight. Another thing that happens as a result of the poor offensive line is that Clinton Portis is hit two yards behind the line of scrimmage way too often. As a result, I would not be suprised to see the Redskins score less than ten points.
Now on to the Seagles. The only Iggles game I have watched this year, was last weeks loss to the Raiders. Obviously that was their worst game of the season. I must admit that I really do not know too much about this Eagles team and I am mainly basing this off of my knowledge of the Redskins which may be a bad idea, but after taking a quick look at a couple of trends and the Eagles previous games, I still like my chances. The Iggles have scored 38, 34 and 33 this year, but those came against the likes of Kansas City, Tampa Bay and Carolina, so I totally disregard those games. What obviously does jump out to me is that they only put up 9 against Oakland. They have played good defense this year though, holding all opponents to under 14 points with the exception of the Saints, and no one holds them under 14 points. Going to close this one out with a couple of trends and a prediction. I expect this game to be pretty damn boring and for the Iggles to win a close game, final score: 17-14. Now onto the trends
"PHILADELPHIA: 12-4 Under at Washington"
"WASHINGTON: 12-1 Under after 1st month of season"
Thanks for reading and good luck!"
