DL's 7 point NFL teaser. You likey?

Robust · 10-18-09, 03:59 AM

because its a WONG, i like it.. but there is a good chance that NE might lose (from the posts i read on here..)

and you are going against RLM bro.. lol

RLM on the Rams and BUF.. a mere .5 move tho.. DEN with RLM won last week.. granted, these two teams have a very little chance of actually winning, but that would get me to tease them like so...

7.5 teaser
+17 for the dogs.. not bad, eh? unless tie = loss in your sports book..

good luck tho.. I really believe you have a shot at winning this parlay/teaser.. but think it out some more before pulling the trigger..

Robust

DeluxeLiner · 10-18-09, 04:17 AM

I agree about the RLM...i usually don't fade it, but since the games don't qualify as plays I don't feel terrible (I would never fade a full point of movement).

These three teams are also playing at home, and their opponents are having terrible seasons. Scrub teams on the road might cover but I would be shocked if they win one of these.

Not sure about Titans game. There might be some value on the Titans money line but they don't look like the team from last year at all.

I will have to think about it a little more that is for sure.

Dark Horse · 10-18-09, 05:42 AM

Weather could play a major factor in two of those three games.

Wind is expected to be 21 mph at the Pats game. The total has dropped from 43 to 40. Brady has been going to the short pass to Welker a lot (taking out the wind risk) and the TEN defense is decimated with injuries. But TEN has a better running game than the Pats, which could be magnified under these windy conditions. DEN defense shut out NE in 2H last week, and had their number, but Bellichick is not going to be so predictable again. Pats rarely lose two in a row, and TEN's season is already over, so this teased play should work.

Wind expected to blow at 20 mph at the Jets game. Total has dropped a couple of points here as well. Jets have the better D and the running edge. Plus the coach expressed embarrassment about the defense in the loss to MIA. Jets will be ready.

Jags come off a shutout loss at SEA. They have also expressed embarrassment about last week. Problem with two bad teams is that anything can happen; because neither has much control over how the game unfolds. Jags could take down a teaser if they misfired. Even the Rams have to win sometime, somewhere. But if JAX does produce they are also the most likely of the three teams in the teaser to cover the spread; just because of how bad STL is. So I would take JAX minus the points instead of including them in a teaser. Bulger should be back so the Rams could be less hopeless than last week.

I parlayed Pats 1H -6 and Jets 1H -6. Motivational, home game of a frustrating and close loss. But that was before I learned of the wind. If the scoring is very low at the half, I may parlay the 2H unders for these two games. Books can only lower a total so much. I did include Pats and Jets in a 7 pt teaser, but it's open and for 12 teams. lol

Dark Horse · 10-18-09, 07:25 PM

Teaser lost because of the weather. Sanchez couldn't handle it.

Both parlays mentioned above cashed. Teasers seem easier, but parlays are often the better way. Especially when weather is a factor.