Patriots(-9) VS Titans

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  • Sharkl11
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-23-08
    • 636

    #1
    Patriots(-9) VS Titans
    Brady & Co. heads back home after a disappointing close loss in Denver and will face the win less Titans. As -9 Home favorites, I believe this is pretty fair value. Here are some of my reasons why I think Patriots can pull off a double-digit win:

    1) The Titans are plagued by injuries. S Vincent Fuller is out. CB Nick Harper is out.
    CB C. Finnegan(hamstring) S M. Griffin(neck stinger) are both questionable. If they do play, they won't be at %100 health. DE J. Kearse(foot) will also most likely be out.

    2) Pats WRs vs Titans secondary
    -Randy Moss is due for a big game whose against a banged up secondary and whose best corner back(Finnegan) is injured or might not play.
    -Wes Welker is finally healthy and will be guarded by a rookie, either Jason McCourty or Ryan Mouton in the nickel.

    3) Do you remember what the Patriots did after losing a frustrating game in New York? They came back home as -4 favorites against the Falcons and blew them out 26-10. Brady performs better when he is pissed. After fumbling a ball and missing Wes Welker on a short pass that could have potentially led to a TD, Brady is hungry to prove himself...and that is dangerous.

    Why is the line at -9 and not higher?

    1) Titans have a bye week coming up. But are the players really going to put out full effort or look forward to having a break?

    2) Kris Johnson is a monster. (except last game)

    3) Desperate win less teams will play all out because they have nothing to lose.

    4) Some people think they are still a good team? I know many got burned because of "must win" spots w/ Titans these past weeks.


    Patriots play better at home.
    Patriots play harder after a loss.
    Patriots at (3-2) record are hungry and motivated for a Win.

    Titans I believe, is the most disappointing team in the NFL thus far. They are not the same as last year and it's about time to label them with teams like the Browns/Lions/Raiders. The only difference?....Browns(+14)....Lions(+13. 5)....Raiders(+14) They are double digit underdogs. Besides that, the Titans are the most banged up team of them all.

    Steelers/Packers/Eagles need to win double digits to cover...
    In my mind the Patriots are better than three of these teams and only needs to cover -9.

    This is my reasoning why I will happily put my $ on the Patriots and take my chances with them to cover.

    Good Luck and God Speed
  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #2
    agree with most things you point out ('cept for "they are due" or whatever on the NE side).. but NE doesn't win by alot.. score margin is 2.6.. and adjusted is 1.33.. and Ten loses by 11.. adjusted is by 10.. colts kicked their ass bad..

    tens passing just plain out sux.. and their rushing is still very strong, but they can't seem to turn the yards into points..

    been on the losing side of their games when I take them.. no win for me from them this year..

    and with that said, NO PLAY!

    can't count on NE to cover.. and can't count on TEN to cover..

    good luck with your plays!

    Robust
    Comment
    • Sharkl11
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-23-08
      • 636

      #3
      "agree with most things you point out ('cept for "they are due" or whatever on the NE side)"

      I only said Randy Moss was "due" for a big game.
      About the score margin:
      Week1: First game in a year for Brady. He's getting into the groove. Great final drive for win btw.
      Week2: No Wes Welker was HUGE against a blitzy happy team.
      Week3: 26-10 over falcons
      Week4: Respectable 6 pt victory over Ravens who was considered to have Best Defense at that point.
      Week5: Broncos are considered to have best D in NFL now.
      Comment
      • thezzzone
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-04-09
        • 365

        #4
        The respectable 6 point victory over the Ravens never would have happened if not for the officials ( no offence meant but seriously, that was a total farce) and a dropped pass on 4th down inside the Pats 15 yd line. They did look good against the Ravens tho for the most part, especially the D. Shark, you forgot to mention the TD pass Brady missed to Moss when he was waaayyy behind the db's last week. Welker looks healthy, Moss has been solid but not HUGE, Brady still isn't quite there yet. I think they need to run the ball more than they have been period. The D looks solid finally to me.

        I LOVE this game!!!!! Pats-blow-out..it ALL comes together this week!!! 35-10
        Comment
        • alka07
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-04-09
          • 441

          #5
          i take ne -9 easy in this game
          Comment
          • BGboothA
            SBR MVP
            • 08-07-08
            • 4202

            #6
            Tennessee Titans pass defense is horrific. Simple as that, Brady will have a huge game.

            Lets look at Quarterbacks against Tennessee this year so far...

            Week 1 = Roethlishbit(h 363 yards 1 TD
            Week 2 = Schuab 357 4 TD
            Week 3 = Sanchez 171 2TD
            Week 4 = Manning 309 3TD

            Brady will look like the Brady of old and the Titans will fall again. I don't see how Tennessee can keep this close. NE needs to prove they are who they think they are and they won't worry about 'running' up this one. I like NE here as well.
            Comment
            • thezzzone
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-04-09
              • 365

              #7
              ZACTLY BGboothA!!!!!!

              GO USC!!!!!! Wanna cash that and POUND this Pats team Sunday!!!
              Comment
              • R3Sports
                SBR MVP
                • 03-21-07
                • 3167

                #8
                I like the play dude, not sure If I play this game, but If I do, it's NE (-9)
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #9
                  another game that has no need to be bet. its only a matter of time before ten burns people big time
                  Comment
                  • cav1x
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 252

                    #10
                    Ne -9 looks easy
                    Comment
                    • tblues2005
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 07-30-06
                      • 9235

                      #11
                      I like the Titans in this game. NE hasn't been that great all year and the Titans haven't won a game yet. They may make this game close.
                      Comment
                      • Sports Cruncher
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 12-10-08
                        • 98

                        #12
                        Bad weather not going to help the Pats' offense (though they smoked the Cards in poor weather last year, the Titans are a little more accustomed to rainy weather). I have this game very close, regardless.
                        Comment
                        • alex81
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-18-09
                          • 658

                          #13
                          Tom Brady QB rating of 85.9... I think Tennessee keeps it close.
                          Comment
                          • Sharkl11
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-23-08
                            • 636

                            #14
                            Weather forecasts looks to be cloudy. Please no rain.
                            Comment
                            • WINGZ
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-09-09
                              • 186

                              #15
                              Time 4 the Titans to wake up.....takin tenn +9
                              Comment
                              • ezeblazin
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-01-08
                                • 137

                                #16
                                Stay away from the Titans this week... No Finnegan, Harper or Fuller means two rookie CB's starting... and no nickel to match up aganst Welker
                                Comment
                                • RJ89
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-03-09
                                  • 363

                                  #17
                                  Earlier this week Welker was listed as questionable, and I still made the bet. Now he is playing and I am extra confident in the Patriots. This is a terrible spot for the Titans.
                                  Comment
                                  • EdV38
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 04-04-09
                                    • 266

                                    #18
                                    A logical human being that has never seen a football game in their life could read this thread and immediately know NE will win just by analysing the reasons explained by each side.

                                    NE side: Ten injured, Ten terrible pass defense against a good QB, home advantage, in a playoff hunt, NE has looked mostly good throughout the year despite Moss/Brady not really clicking yet - imagine what happens when they do
                                    TEN side: They're due, possibly bad weather.

                                    No one can come up with any good, team specific reason to go in favour of TEN. The only thing that's holding me back is the weather, which I will decide right before game time after a check up on the weather report if to make the bet.
                                    Comment
                                    • Sharkl11
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-23-08
                                      • 636

                                      #19
                                      What's the weather in New England?????I can't watch the game. (From cali)...they showing the freaking Cardinals/Seahawks game.
                                      Comment
                                      • Sharkl11
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-23-08
                                        • 636

                                        #20
                                        Yes. 7-0 Pats. Come on baby.
                                        Comment
                                        • Sharkl11
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-23-08
                                          • 636

                                          #21
                                          So far. Patriots are moving the ball with ease. Titans are struggling mightily. Looks very promising.
                                          Comment
                                          • Sharkl11
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-23-08
                                            • 636

                                            #22
                                            Looks like easy blowout . 17-0
                                            Comment
                                            • Dexter
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-24-08
                                              • 25829

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Sharkl11
                                              What's the weather in New England?????I can't watch the game. (From cali)...they showing the freaking Cardinals/Seahawks game.
                                              snow/wind....field is white
                                              Comment
                                              • Sharkl11
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-23-08
                                                • 636

                                                #24
                                                24-0 !!!!!!! Easiest game today.
                                                Comment
                                                • johnnymapalo
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-14-08
                                                  • 2999

                                                  #25
                                                  Isn't it!!! I was going for the over 38 but saw the snow and changed my mind..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBC77
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-23-07
                                                    • 3816

                                                    #26
                                                    Pats was my only play on Sunday. I keep a really small and tight card every week. The less you bet and the more people focus on just winning a few games instead of carrying a 5, 6, 7 play card.....the better you do in the long run. Never has the less is more approach been practical than in betting sports.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sharkl11
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-23-08
                                                      • 636

                                                      #27
                                                      I like doing these write-ups for myself. Got Panthers/Patriots today. Had falcons last week and steelers before that. Hope this continues.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • windmann2
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-04-09
                                                        • 187

                                                        #28
                                                        Wow Titans...Snow makes you melt I guess..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Sharkl11
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-23-08
                                                          • 636

                                                          #29
                                                          Brady first half stats: 18/19 completions . 4 TD passes. 301 passing yards....and there is still two minutes to play. Just matter of time before ppl start jumping on bandwagon and inflation in point spreads.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Skidcom
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-17-06
                                                            • 1796

                                                            #30
                                                            Looks like Brady figured out a way to get benched and stay warm....5 friggin' td passes in a quarter?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sharkl11
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-23-08
                                                              • 636

                                                              #31
                                                              1) Don't mess with a pissed off Patriots team
                                                              2) Randy Moss was due
                                                              3) Snow is awesome for Patriots.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Betman
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-20-05
                                                                • 300

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by JBC77
                                                                Pats was my only play on Sunday. I keep a really small and tight card every week. The less you bet and the more people focus on just winning a few games instead of carrying a 5, 6, 7 play card.....the better you do in the long wrong. Never has the less is more approach been practical than in betting sports.

                                                                Wise words. Very wise words indeed.

                                                                It's been a pleasure reading your comments. You are one of the few who understands that the secret in making money betting sports is keeping a high winning percentage and the only way you can do that is by limiting the number of games you bet on and reducing RISK EXPOSURE in the process.

                                                                New England was my only play in the NFL too. Had my eyes on Green Bay also but decided to ride NE instead.


                                                                .
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Sharkl11
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-23-08
                                                                  • 636

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Wonder what the line is next week against the shit bucs. Line has to be pretty inflated.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WINGZ
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 09-09-09
                                                                    • 186

                                                                    #34
                                                                    guess Titans are still in hibernation....but i guarantee they wont lose next week!!!!!!!promises to be thier best weekend of the season so far!!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jellobiafra
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 03-08-09
                                                                      • 6291

                                                                      #35
                                                                      50 point cover.

                                                                      Don't get to say that too often.
                                                                      Comment
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