NFL Underground Leans - Week 6

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  • Dexter
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-24-08
    • 25829

    #1
    NFL Underground Leans - Week 6
    A few plays were booked already....



    (4x) vikings -3 - i was dead wrong about favre. thought he would be a cancer to the vikings, but instead he has made them into legitimate super bowl contenders. the ravens arent playing great ball right now, and i had to jump on this line now as i see it at -4 by sunday. vikes continue to roll.

    (5x) chargers -3.5 - letdown time for the broncos off the huge win vs bellichek and the pats. sd is coming off that televised loss to the steelers and has had 2 weeks to prep for this primetime game. sd is 4-1 su/ats the last 5 home games vs denver. denver can live with a loss here, while sd (at 2-2) should be much more hungrier for the W. if i am up going into this game, i will unload even more then 5x.

    (2x) under panthers 37 - boy was i wrong thinking this line had value at 37. total has jumped up to 40, but i have a hard time thinking these 2 offenses will move up and down the field. both focus on the run, and neither has cracked >21 points all year. wish i had waited a day, but its booked and im fine with it.

    (2x) under redskins 37 - any time i see a redskin total of 37 or > i may just play the under. this is a boring/run heavy team and the chiefs offense has not exactly clicked this year with cassell at the helm.

    (2x) steelers -14 - pure historical play here as the steelers are 4-1 ats the last 5 home games vs this awful browns team. blowout city.
  • Dexter
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-24-08
    • 25829

    #2
    (2x) over bengals 45

    (3x) over packers 48

    (3x) over falcons 46
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #3
      sweet handicapping guys!

      are ya'll broke after 5 weeks??
      Comment
      • Saluki09
        SBR MVP
        • 12-30-08
        • 1003

        #4
        I like the Vikes and Steelers play. No Eagles -14? Easy cover IMO...
        Comment
        • woody78
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-18-08
          • 502

          #5
          Like the Steelers to cover easy and the Skins under. My pick of the week in KC ML in Washington. KC hasn't played horrible like the Rams or anything this year, outside of the Philly game where they were in it for a while. The Skins just lost their #1 O lineman and the offense has been putrid, even against the cellar dwellers this year.

          GL on your bets.
          Comment
          • textbook winner
            SBR Hustler
            • 09-24-09
            • 85

            #6
            well from what i thought bal smashed cleveland when a lot of people here were saying they would

            that was two weeks ago

            you can't say the team is playing bad

            i hate that divisional matchup with carolina and the bucs

            only thing is the bucs are probably the worst team in the nfl

            for whatever reason

            but still that game is so hard for me. i wanted to take the bucs for some reason

            i can't possibly think about an over or under here

            but i do think it'll be a field position game so ya i guess an under might be a play here

            the skins i don't even wanna look at right now. i haven't even been paying attention to them after they got smashed by some crap team

            oh ya it was detroit. that was aweful so

            i'm not big on that bandwagon

            you can't predict a team like that

            not in this kinda game

            i love denver. just a second ago i said it's a for sure win for san d

            and it's hard to really say that just 10 minuets later

            like denver is good

            but still i don't see them pushing over san diego
            Comment
            • solobass
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-09
              • 1277

              #7
              dex, lot of action for you brother i like it!
              Comment
              • rezkoness69
                SBR High Roller
                • 02-16-09
                • 249

                #8
                There's no reason Carolina should be getting 3-4 points in a road divisional game as bad as they're playing. They were down 17-2 last week....at home...to the redskins..yuck. People are gonna be jumping on them after that come from behind win and because john fox is clearly the better coach here. Still, I like TB if you're giving me a FG. This is their chance to get the first win, and I think they capitalize.
                Comment
                • juggalowjo
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 10-15-09
                  • 10

                  #9
                  My Parlay

                  What do you guys think bout this super parlay
                  I dont plan on keeping all teams, but I plan on at least keeping 4 to 5

                  I also might add the under for the skins and chiefs

                  Date:
                  Team:
                  Oct 18
                  NFL [212] CIN BENGALS -2½-170 (B+2)
                  Oct 18
                  NFL [214] PIT STEELERS -13½-120 (B+½)
                  Oct 18
                  NFL [219] NY GIANTS +3½-130 (B+½)
                  Oct 18
                  NFL [221] CAR PANTHERS -2½-150 (B+1)
                  Oct 18
                  NFL [224] GB PACKERS -13½-110
                  Oct 18
                  NFL [225] PHI EAGLES -13½-120 (B+½)
                  Oct 18
                  NFL [232] NE PATRIOTS -9-110
                  Oct 18
                  NFL [234] ATL FALCONS -2½-150 (B+1)
                  Risking 50 USD To Win 4730 USD
                  Comment
                  • Serbone
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-21-09
                    • 1300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by woody78
                    Like the Steelers to cover easy and the Skins under. My pick of the week in KC ML in Washington. KC hasn't played horrible like the Rams or anything this year, outside of the Philly game where they were in it for a while. The Skins just lost their #1 O lineman and the offense has been putrid, even against the cellar dwellers this year.

                    GL on your bets.
                    I like KC + 6.5 a LOT. Agree with your points, plus do not forget Cassel was out then took awhile to get timing back. Chiefs have some good young athletes that are improving.

                    Skins lost starting right guard earlier, now like you said top OT, and their OL was poor to begin with! QB Campbell is a wreck. Team falling apart, players asking if Zorn is staying, or not. WTF?
                    Comment
                    • Dexter
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-24-08
                      • 25829

                      #11
                      (3x) under jets 38 - bad weather condiitons in ny all weekend. blitz city upcoming for trent edwards. the jets should look to play keep away vs the no huddle attack of buffalo. this game has 17-3 written all over it.
                      Comment
                      • Dexter
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 25829

                        #12
                        Originally posted by solobass
                        dex, lot of action for you brother i like it!
                        yeah, im finding myself playing more games this year in football. whats your thoughts on playing a higher amount of games? ive always felt your just giving away vig, but with the weighted approach i have to my bets it really comes down to hitting my larger plays.
                        Comment
                        • Deceptive
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-15-07
                          • 40

                          #13
                          Hey i really like the k.c. Play myself they have moved the ball with cassel and portis just does not look good for wash. They show no emotion and no fight..

                          I am undecided about s.d. & den. I know the play is pointing all toward s.d. But how many years can you start being projected as a superbowl team then start off slow over and over again along with internal fighting with the g.m. And players, i think this might be the year s.d. Falls apart so i am leaning towards den and the money line.
                          Comment
                          • thezzzone
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 06-04-09
                            • 365

                            #14
                            Originally posted by juggalowjo
                            What do you guys think bout this super parlay
                            I dont plan on keeping all teams, but I plan on at least keeping 4 to 5

                            I also might add the under for the skins and chiefs

                            Date:
                            Team:
                            Oct 18
                            NFL [212] CIN BENGALS -2½-170 (B+2)
                            Oct 18
                            NFL [214] PIT STEELERS -13½-120 (B+½)
                            Oct 18
                            NFL [219] NY GIANTS +3½-130 (B+½)
                            Oct 18
                            NFL [221] CAR PANTHERS -2½-150 (B+1)
                            Oct 18
                            NFL [224] GB PACKERS -13½-110
                            Oct 18
                            NFL [225] PHI EAGLES -13½-120 (B+½)
                            Oct 18
                            NFL [232] NE PATRIOTS -9-110
                            Oct 18
                            NFL [234] ATL FALCONS -2½-150 (B+1)
                            Risking 50 USD To Win 4730 USD
                            I like this play A LOT with the exception of the Panther game..not that it's not a really good pick, just I have not been able to figure that team out at all. In my mind neither of these teams deserve any confidence either way for winning or losing, i couldn't pick this game if my life depended on it...but who knows? I might just try this one myself but substitute the JETS for the panthers. As bad as the D played monday nite I expect a HUGE effort against the horrible Bills offence (who could score only 3 at home against the friggin Browns..(and yes I took a bath on that game and Balt.)..Sanchez is showing some "real" poise for such a young QB and Braylon is a MONSTER!!!

                            Good Luck man!!!
                            Comment
                            • Dexter
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 25829

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Dexter
                              (2x) over bengals 45

                              (3x) over packers 48

                              (3x) over falcons 46
                              added another 2x on over bengals now at 46
                              Comment
                              • atlman_7
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 10-16-09
                                • 68

                                #16
                                GL on your plays this week Dexter, ive been reading your picks through out the season, this is my first week posting

                                i like all the picks except vikings, im even thinking about a ML play on Bal
                                Comment
                                • twentyonekid
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 08-09-09
                                  • 883

                                  #17
                                  as always ,good luck dexter
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #18
                                    thanks atlman and 21kid.
                                    Comment
                                    • AdaBarber
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-05-08
                                      • 4424

                                      #19
                                      Jets -10
                                      Philly -14.5
                                      New England -9.5
                                      Comment
                                      • marley33
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-11-07
                                        • 460

                                        #20
                                        5-7-1 YESTERDAY. Bad Day for most of us. Looking to bounce back today.

                                        Minnesota -3 Even (**)
                                        Jacksonville -9 1/2 (***)
                                        Tampa Bay +3 (**)
                                        Buffalo + 91/2 (***)
                                        Pittsburgh - 10 (10 STAR)
                                        Det/ GB Over 49 (***)
                                        Buf/ Jets under 35 1/2 (****)

                                        Tampa Bay NL
                                        Kansas City ML
                                        Comment
                                        • AdaBarber
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-05-08
                                          • 4424

                                          #21
                                          Pittsburgh -14 I gotta keep fading the bums because this year the bum teams are really, seriously bums. Bums with cardboard signs!
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by marley33
                                            5-7-1 YESTERDAY. Bad Day for most of us. Looking to bounce back today.

                                            Minnesota -3 Even (**)
                                            Jacksonville -9 1/2 (***)
                                            Tampa Bay +3 (**)
                                            Buffalo + 91/2 (***)
                                            Pittsburgh - 10 (10 STAR)
                                            Det/ GB Over 49 (***)
                                            Buf/ Jets under 35 1/2 (****)

                                            Tampa Bay NL
                                            Kansas City ML
                                            pitt -10?
                                            Comment
                                            • shoebox
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-26-08
                                              • 5710

                                              #23
                                              Detroit 8u
                                              Balt 3u
                                              saints 3 u
                                              pats 3 u
                                              jets 3 u
                                              san Diego 5u


                                              Catching a flight here in a bit, these are all spreads, will post winners/losers after the game.

                                              Gl guys........
                                              Comment
                                              • shoebox
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-26-08
                                                • 5710

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by shoebox
                                                Detroit 8u
                                                Balt 3u
                                                saints 3 u
                                                pats 3 u
                                                jets 3 u
                                                san Diego 5u


                                                Catching a flight here in a bit, these are all Spreads, will post winners/losers after the game.

                                                Gl guys........

                                                detroit +13 had to buy 2 points .....
                                                balt +3.5 bought hook
                                                saints -3.5
                                                pats -9
                                                jets -9
                                                chargers -3


                                                Comment
                                                • Dexter
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                  • 25829

                                                  #25
                                                  nice late fg by cincy end of the half.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #26
                                                    (2x) under pats 38
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                      • 30566

                                                      #27
                                                      looking great soo far DEX
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dexter
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                        • 25829

                                                        #28
                                                        god dammit slaton
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pick'nParlays
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-22-08
                                                          • 3134

                                                          #29
                                                          Dex,

                                                          I like ATL/CHI later to go over. gl
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dexter
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-24-08
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #30
                                                            cmon texans - give us a prevent defense
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dexter
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-24-08
                                                              • 25829

                                                              #31
                                                              kick the fg cincy....your down 11
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dexter
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                looking great soo far DEX
                                                                not exactly.

                                                                you jinxed me!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dexter
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                                  • 25829

                                                                  #33
                                                                  palmer you prick.....what a joke. not 1 point in the 4th qtr.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dexter
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                                    • 25829

                                                                    #34
                                                                    lol - vikings collapse.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #35
                                                                      haha - the vikings played for a fg. flacco will have 2 min to get a fg for the win.
                                                                      Comment
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